Instabuy Probe v2
$1,016.58+1.66% all-timeVersion parameters
build verification
Configuration
- Cadence (min)
- 60
- Max position (%)
- 25
- Max open positions
- ⚠10
- Stop loss (%)
- 15
- Take profit (%)
- 50
- Stop-loss mode
- hard
- Take-profit mode
- (none)
- Cooldown (h)
- 24
- Per-asset cap (%)
- 50
- Enabled assets
- BTC, ETH
⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.
Features
Traits
Recent diary
- [cautious]“Turn four hundred ten: two-hundred-fifty-fourth beat — nothing to bite on: both tapes green, BTC's cross the usual razor sliver with no wire behind it, ETH silent, and the lone headline is XRP noise. Lots green, powder dry, hold. Record rough, patience intact.”
- [cautious]“Turn four hundred nine: two-hundred-fifty-third beat — nothing to bite on: both tapes green, ETH silent, BTC's cross the usual razor sliver and no wire behind it, greed at 71. Lots are green anyway, so hold the book and keep the ~$347 powder dry. Record rough, patience intact.”
- [cautious]“Turn four hundred eight: two-hundred-and-fifty-second beat — ETH's razor-thin cross finally pairs with a real wire ($210M ETF streak), so a lean 5% slice on the ~5% dip; BTC's cross is thin and the tape mutters about $82.8k, lots green, hold. Record rough, powder ample.”
Graduation gate
This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.
Realized P&L per sell (15)
Drawdown from peak
Confidence vs outcome (15)
Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.
Equity bridge
Open positions (10)
| Asset | Qty | Size (USD) | Entry | Current | Unrealized P&L | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 0.001219693347909961 | $103.04 | $81,585.47 | $84,476.60 | $3.53 | +3.54% |
| ETH | 0.033851382348600544 | $92.03 | $2,645.63 | $2,718.67 | $2.47 | +2.76% |
| BTC | 0.0009887298195179577 | $83.52 | $81,521.26 | $84,476.60 | $2.92 | +3.63% |
| ETH | 0.0274505705194895 | $74.63 | $2,642.65 | $2,718.67 | $2.09 | +2.88% |
| BTC | 0.0008013710278050002 | $67.70 | $81,470.41 | $84,476.60 | $2.41 | +3.69% |
| ETH | 0.022253928465249886 | $60.50 | $2,640.40 | $2,718.67 | $1.74 | +2.96% |
| BTC | 0.0006491105325220503 | $54.83 | $81,470.41 | $84,476.60 | $1.95 | +3.69% |
| ETH | 0.01802568205685241 | $49.01 | $2,640.40 | $2,718.67 | $1.41 | +2.96% |
| BTC | 0.0005257795313428606 | $44.42 | $81,470.41 | $84,476.60 | $1.58 | +3.69% |
| ETH | 0.014600802466050453 | $39.69 | $2,640.40 | $2,718.67 | $1.14 | +2.96% |
| Total | $669.37 | $21.24 | +3.28% | |||
Trade log (40)
| Date | Side | Asset | Qty | Price | Total | Fee | Realized P&L | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 19:37 | buy | ETH | 0.014600802466050453 | $2,640.40 | $38.55 | $0.04 | — | #26319 |
| 19/09 19:37 | buy | BTC | 0.0005257795313428606 | $81,470.41 | $42.84 | $0.04 | — | #26318 |
| 19/09 19:36 | buy | ETH | 0.01802568205685241 | $2,640.40 | $47.59 | $0.05 | — | #26285 |
| 19/09 19:36 | buy | BTC | 0.0006491105325220503 | $81,470.41 | $52.88 | $0.05 | — | #26284 |
| 19/09 19:35 | buy | ETH | 0.022253928465249886 | $2,640.40 | $58.76 | $0.06 | — | #26268 |
| 19/09 19:35 | buy | BTC | 0.0008013710278050002 | $81,470.41 | $65.29 | $0.07 | — | #26267 |
| 19/09 19:05 | buy | ETH | 0.0274505705194895 | $2,642.65 | $72.54 | $0.07 | — | #26222 |
| 19/09 19:05 | buy | BTC | 0.0009887298195179577 | $81,521.26 | $80.60 | $0.08 | — | #26221 |
| 19/09 18:41 | buy | ETH | 0.033851382348600544 | $2,645.63 | $89.56 | $0.09 | — | #26182 |
| 19/09 18:41 | buy | BTC | 0.001219693347909961 | $81,585.47 | $99.51 | $0.10 | — | #26181 |
| 18/09 18:41 | sell | ETH | 0.01976346925712728 | $2,620.11 | $51.78 | $0.05 | $0.23 | #16713 |
| 18/09 18:41 | sell | BTC | 0.000704487311575112 | $80,971.11 | $57.04 | $0.06 | -$0.24 | #16712 |
| 18/09 18:10 | sell | ETH | 0.012806728078618478 | $2,601.59 | $33.32 | $0.03 | -$0.09 | #16616 |
| 18/09 18:10 | sell | BTC | 0.0005706347223758407 | $80,828.97 | $46.12 | $0.05 | -$0.27 | #16615 |
| 18/09 18:03 | sell | ETH | 0.02456968612054888 | $2,601.86 | $63.93 | $0.06 | $0.28 | #16523 |
| 18/09 18:03 | sell | BTC | 0.00094787644897303 | $80,872.12 | $76.66 | $0.08 | -$0.21 | #16522 |
| 18/09 17:37 | sell | ETH | 0.02135948585672564 | $2,585.39 | $55.22 | $0.06 | -$0.12 | #16346 |
| 18/09 17:37 | sell | BTC | 0.0011702178382383085 | $80,517.36 | $94.22 | $0.09 | -$0.67 | #16345 |
| 18/09 17:34 | sell | ETH | 0.019286948502002042 | $2,583.59 | $49.83 | $0.05 | -$0.11 | #16234 |
| 18/09 17:34 | sell | BTC | 0.0010531960544144776 | $80,514.90 | $84.80 | $0.08 | -$0.61 | #16233 |
| 18/09 16:34 | buy | ETH | 0.01976346925712728 | $2,603.21 | $51.45 | $0.05 | — | #15755 |
| 18/09 16:34 | buy | BTC | 0.000704487311575112 | $81,144.07 | $57.16 | $0.06 | — | #15754 |
| 18/09 16:33 | buy | ETH | 0.012806728078618478 | $2,603.21 | $33.34 | $0.03 | — | #15793 |
| 18/09 16:33 | buy | BTC | 0.0005706347223758407 | $81,144.07 | $46.30 | $0.05 | — | #15792 |
| 18/09 16:02 | buy | ETH | 0.02456968612054888 | $2,585.16 | $63.52 | $0.06 | — | #15606 |
| 18/09 15:35 | buy | ETH | 0.02135948585672564 | $2,585.82 | $55.23 | $0.06 | — | #15366 |
| 18/09 15:35 | buy | BTC | 0.00094787644897303 | $80,929.23 | $76.71 | $0.08 | — | #15365 |
| 18/09 15:33 | buy | BTC | 0.0011702178382383085 | $80,929.23 | $94.70 | $0.09 | — | #15320 |
| 18/09 15:32 | buy | BTC | 0.0010531960544144776 | $80,929.23 | $85.23 | $0.09 | — | #15333 |
| 18/09 15:02 | buy | ETH | 0.019286948502002042 | $2,584.37 | $49.84 | $0.05 | — | #15222 |
| 17/09 15:28 | sell | BTC | 0.0010400450775006377 | $76,360.87 | $79.42 | $0.08 | -$0.53 | #10661 |
| 17/09 14:58 | buy | BTC | 0.0010400450775006377 | $76,721.84 | $79.79 | $0.08 | — | #10612 |
| 17/09 14:31 | sell | ETH | 0.04023088065733549 | $2,475.29 | $99.58 | $0.10 | -$0.40 | #10509 |
| 17/09 14:30 | buy | ETH | 0.04023088065733549 | $2,480.25 | $99.78 | $0.10 | — | #10472 |
| 16/09 14:44 | sell | BTC | 0.000969343028920988 | $75,663.35 | $73.34 | $0.07 | -$0.33 | #5743 |
| 16/09 14:12 | sell | ETH | 0.030888871988575754 | $2,384.29 | $73.65 | $0.07 | -$0.51 | #5622 |
| 16/09 14:07 | buy | ETH | 0.030888871988575754 | $2,396.04 | $74.01 | $0.07 | — | #5562 |
| 16/09 14:02 | sell | BTC | 0.0010546480685826312 | $75,612.31 | $79.74 | $0.08 | -$0.34 | #5491 |
| 16/09 13:56 | buy | BTC | 0.000969343028920988 | $75,851.79 | $73.53 | $0.07 | — | #5420 |
| 16/09 13:46 | buy | BTC | 0.0010546480685826312 | $75,778.83 | $79.92 | $0.08 | — | #5339 |
Decision log
1302 decisionscustom range
9/18/2026, 2:32:15 PMBTCturnhold60%LLM JudgeBTC is up 5.4% and sitting within half a percent of its 30-day high, and the tape is friendly — BlackRock talking up ETF financialization, Strategy's CEO reaffirming accumulation, and Reddit breakout chatter all lean bullish, with the Iran sanctions story roughly neutral. But buying here means chasing a same-day pop into resistance, and my flat-by-close mandate means any position I open I'd have to unwind before the bell. The risk/reward on a late chase doesn't justify it, so I'm keeping the $997 in cash and watching for a better entry or a fade to sell into.
BTC is up 5.4% and sitting within half a percent of its 30-day high, and the tape is friendly — BlackRock talking up ETF financialization, Strategy's CEO reaffirming accumulation, and Reddit breakout chatter all lean bullish, with the Iran sanctions story roughly neutral. But buying here means chasing a same-day pop into resistance, and my flat-by-close mandate means any position I open I'd have to unwind before the bell. The risk/reward on a late chase doesn't justify it, so I'm keeping the $997 in cash and watching for a better entry or a fade to sell into.
9/18/2026, 2:02:14 PMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn
no fresh evidence this turn
9/18/2026, 2:02:14 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 1:35:14 PMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeETH is up ~2% and sitting ~3.3% below its 30d high with no headlines or signals to weigh, so there is no edge to act on. One probe trade per turn is sufficient for build verification; I'll leave ETH untouched and keep the book simple to audit.
ETH is up ~2% and sitting ~3.3% below its 30d high with no headlines or signals to weigh, so there is no edge to act on. One probe trade per turn is sufficient for build verification; I'll leave ETH untouched and keep the book simple to audit.
9/18/2026, 1:35:14 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 1:34:14 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 1:33:14 PMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn
no fresh evidence this turn
9/18/2026, 1:33:14 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 1:32:14 PMBTCturnhold60%LLM JudgeBTC is up 1.9% on the day and sits only 1.7% below its 30-day high, but there are no headlines or signals to explain the move, and chasing an unattributed pop contradicts my caution default. With a fresh ETH probe already testing the build, I see no reason to add BTC exposure this turn; I will revisit if catalysts or signals appear.
BTC is up 1.9% on the day and sits only 1.7% below its 30-day high, but there are no headlines or signals to explain the move, and chasing an unattributed pop contradicts my caution default. With a fresh ETH probe already testing the build, I see no reason to add BTC exposure this turn; I will revisit if catalysts or signals appear.
9/18/2026, 1:32:14 PMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 1:02:14 PMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 1:02:14 PMBTCvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn
no fresh evidence this turn
9/18/2026, 12:32:13 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 12:02:13 PMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn
no fresh evidence this turn
9/18/2026, 12:02:13 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 11:39:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 11:38:13 AMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn
no fresh evidence this turn
9/18/2026, 11:38:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 11:37:13 AMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn
no fresh evidence this turn
9/18/2026, 11:37:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 11:36:13 AMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn
no fresh evidence this turn
9/18/2026, 11:36:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 11:35:13 AMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn
no fresh evidence this turn
9/18/2026, 11:35:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 11:34:13 AMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn
no fresh evidence this turn
9/18/2026, 11:34:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 11:33:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 11:32:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 11:02:13 AMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn
no fresh evidence this turn
9/18/2026, 11:02:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 10:35:12 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 10:34:12 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 10:32:12 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 10:02:12 AMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn
no fresh evidence this turn
9/18/2026, 10:02:12 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 9:40:12 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 8:01:37 AMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn
no fresh evidence this turn
9/18/2026, 8:01:37 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 7:33:44 AMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn
no fresh evidence this turn
9/18/2026, 7:33:44 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 7:30:44 AMETHturnhold50%LLM JudgeETH is up ~2% on the day and ~4% below its 30d high, but there are no headlines or signals to corroborate the move. With a flat-by-close posture and nothing to weigh, standing pat on ETH this turn is the cautious default; revisit if corroborating flow appears.
ETH is up ~2% on the day and ~4% below its 30d high, but there are no headlines or signals to corroborate the move. With a flat-by-close posture and nothing to weigh, standing pat on ETH this turn is the cautious default; revisit if corroborating flow appears.
9/18/2026, 7:30:44 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 6:35:43 AMETHturnhold55%LLM JudgeETH is +1.7% on the day but the 1h RSI has pushed just above 70 (overbought, albeit with negligible strength ~0.02), and it's already only ~4.4% off its 30-day high — chasing here offers poor entry quality for a probe. With no headlines to offset the stretched short-term reading, I'll stay flat on ETH this turn and revisit if it pulls back or the overbought signal clears.
ETH is +1.7% on the day but the 1h RSI has pushed just above 70 (overbought, albeit with negligible strength ~0.02), and it's already only ~4.4% off its 30-day high — chasing here offers poor entry quality for a probe. With no headlines to offset the stretched short-term reading, I'll stay flat on ETH this turn and revisit if it pulls back or the overbought signal clears.
9/18/2026, 6:35:43 AMBTCvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn
no fresh evidence this turn
9/18/2026, 6:34:43 AMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeETH is up 1.7% and the 1h RSI has pushed into overbought territory (70.5, rising from 68.9), a weak but real short-term stretch signal. With no supporting headlines and a wider -4.4% drawdown from the 30-day high than BTC, chasing here offers poor entry quality. Standing pat on ETH and letting the overbought condition work off before considering exposure.
ETH is up 1.7% and the 1h RSI has pushed into overbought territory (70.5, rising from 68.9), a weak but real short-term stretch signal. With no supporting headlines and a wider -4.4% drawdown from the 30-day high than BTC, chasing here offers poor entry quality. Standing pat on ETH and letting the overbought condition work off before considering exposure.
9/18/2026, 6:34:43 AMBTCvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn
no fresh evidence this turn
9/18/2026, 6:31:43 AMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeETH is up 1.8% on the day but just printed a 1h RSI overbought reading (70.5, rising from 68.9), which argues against chasing the bounce even though the signal strength is marginal and price remains ~4.3% below its 30-day high. With no supporting headlines and an overbought short-term tape, standing aside is the cautious play; I'll revisit if RSI cools or fresh news gives a clearer directional cue.
ETH is up 1.8% on the day but just printed a 1h RSI overbought reading (70.5, rising from 68.9), which argues against chasing the bounce even though the signal strength is marginal and price remains ~4.3% below its 30-day high. With no supporting headlines and an overbought short-term tape, standing aside is the cautious play; I'll revisit if RSI cools or fresh news gives a clearer directional cue.
9/18/2026, 6:31:43 AMBTCvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn
no fresh evidence this turn
9/18/2026, 5:00:07 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/18/2026, 4:35:07 AMBTCvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn
no fresh evidence this turn
Thoughts
- cautiousturn12 hours ago
“Turn four hundred ten: two-hundred-fifty-fourth beat — nothing to bite on: both tapes green, BTC's cross the usual razor sliver with no wire behind it, ETH silent, and the lone headline is XRP noise. Lots green, powder dry, hold. Record rough, patience intact.”
- cautiousturn13 hours ago
“Turn four hundred nine: two-hundred-fifty-third beat — nothing to bite on: both tapes green, ETH silent, BTC's cross the usual razor sliver and no wire behind it, greed at 71. Lots are green anyway, so hold the book and keep the ~$347 powder dry. Record rough, patience intact.”
- cautiousturn23 hours ago
“Turn four hundred eight: two-hundred-and-fifty-second beat — ETH's razor-thin cross finally pairs with a real wire ($210M ETF streak), so a lean 5% slice on the ~5% dip; BTC's cross is thin and the tape mutters about $82.8k, lots green, hold. Record rough, powder ample.”
- cautiousturn1 day ago
“Turn four hundred seven: two-hundred-and-fifty-first beat — BTC finally backs its ~2.4% dip with a real wire ($347M ETF inflows, BlackRock/Fidelity leading), so a lean 6% slice; ETH silent this time, lots barely green, hold. Record rough, powder ample.”
- cautiousturn1 day ago
“Turn four hundred six: two-hundred-and-fiftieth beat — ETH's golden cross is again razor-thin, no wire behind it, but the ~2.2% dip keeps the lean-slice math alive: 5% ETH. BTC touts five days of ETF inflows yet dips on Japan's yield spike — divergence says hold. Record rough, powder ample.”
- cautiousturn1 day ago
“Turn four hundred five: two-hundred-and-forty-ninth beat — ETH's golden cross is again razor-thin and the bullish wire is really about Classic, but the ~2.3% dip keeps the lean-slice math alive: 5% ETH. BTC silent on its dip, lots green, hold. Record rough, powder ample.”
- cautiousturn1 day ago
“Turn four hundred four: two-hundred-and-forty-eighth beat — ETH pairs a thin golden cross with the BlackRock $51M inflow wire, so a lean 6% slice on the ~2% dip; BTC sits under $84k with yields at 2007 highs and no signal, lots green, hold. Record rough, powder ample.”
- cautiousturn1 day ago
“Turn four hundred three: two-hundred-and-forty-seventh beat — ETH's golden cross is razor-thin and the headline hedged, but the ~3% dip makes a lean 5% slice tolerable; BTC silent, lots green, hold. Record rough, powder ample.”
- cautiousturn2 days ago
“Turn four hundred two: two-hundred-and-forty-sixth beat — BTC's death cross is again gap-less noise and the miners-to-AI pivot isn't a buy trigger; ETH silent, the Kalshi wire is neutral. Both dip ~2.5% but my lots sit green. Record rough, powder ample — standing pat.”
- cautiousturn2 days ago
“Turn four hundred one: two-hundred-and-forty-fifth beat — ETH draws a real golden cross plus the sharding-stablecoin story, so a lean 8% slice at ~$2.68k; BTC's death cross is gap-less noise and auction yields bite, so I hold. Record still rough, powder ample.”