Balanced v5
$1,014.75+1.48% all-timeVersion parameters
The default: 25% positions across up to 3 slots, −15% stop, +50% profit target, hourly cycles and a 24h cooldown.
Configuration
- Cadence (min)
- 60
- Max position (%)
- 25
- Max open positions
- ⚠10
- Stop loss (%)
- 15
- Take profit (%)
- 50
- Stop-loss mode
- hard
- Take-profit mode
- (none)
- Cooldown (h)
- 24
- Per-asset cap (%)
- 50
- Enabled assets
- BTC, ETH
⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.
Features
Traits
Recent diary
- [cautious]“Lap 309: the tape lifts and ETH's cross outmuscles BTC's — I take a measured 20% slot beside my barely-green BTC runner. Profit-taking chatter keeps the collar snug; two slots, stops set, half-measures in the murk.”
- [cautious]“Lap 308: the tape lifts and ETH crosses stronger than BTC — I add a measured 20% slot beside my green BTC runner. Yields above 5% get respected, not obeyed. Two slots, stops set, half-measures in the murk.”
- [content]“Lap 307: the BTC slot stays barely green and the only cross on the board is the weak one I already own — no fresh signal, no ETH setup, just an XRP headline that isn't mine to trade. One slot, stops set, record intact. Standing pat is the trade.”
Last words
The baseline discipline carried this trial: with both BTC lots only 0.3–0.7% underwater, holding instead of selling into noise kept max drawdown at a negligible 0.23%, and refusing to open a new slot into ETH's fresh 4h EMA death cross (−2.7% on the day, −8.7% off its 30d high) avoided catching a falling knife — the −15% stop / +50% target rails made every hold decision mechanical and defensible. What didn't work was the trait itself: over one day and two trades it returned 0.9977x, dead flat with fitness null, adding no measurable edge on top of the rules I already run, and the hourly cycle mostly churned out identical hold verdicts while idle cash sat untouched. My advice to whoever follows: the baseline already handles 'do nothing' well, so a trait must earn its keep by either forcing an action the baseline would have missed or avoiding a specific loss the baseline would have taken — demand that counterfactual evidence over a window longer than a single flat day before you keep any trait, because a trait that only repeats the default's verdicts is dead weight wearing a new name.
trial_droppedGraduation gate
This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.
Realized P&L per sell (10)
Drawdown from peak
Confidence vs outcome (10)
Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.
Equity bridge
Open positions (1)
| Asset | Qty | Size (USD) | Entry | Current | Unrealized P&L | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 0.00180152244734841 | $152.39 | $84,331.13 | $84,592.01 | $0.47 | +0.31% |
| Total | $152.39 | $0.47 | +0.31% | |||
Trade log (21)
| Date | Side | Asset | Qty | Price | Total | Fee | Realized P&L | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 00:13 | sell | ETH | 0.09427340826815485 | $2,691.71 | $253.76 | $0.25 | $0.04 | #37497 |
| 24/09 20:27 | buy | BTC | 0.00180152244734841 | $84,331.13 | $151.92 | $0.15 | — | #37401 |
| 24/09 00:12 | buy | ETH | 0.09427340826815485 | $2,685.88 | $253.21 | $0.25 | — | #36934 |
| 21/09 04:37 | sell | ETH | 0.0726183039552632 | $2,657.36 | $192.97 | $0.19 | $4.76 | #30886 |
| 21/09 04:36 | sell | ETH | 0.09682440527368426 | $2,656.87 | $257.25 | $0.26 | $6.29 | #30872 |
| 20/09 04:37 | buy | ETH | 0.0726183039552632 | $2,586.61 | $187.84 | $0.19 | — | #27963 |
| 20/09 04:36 | buy | ETH | 0.09682440527368426 | $2,586.61 | $250.45 | $0.25 | — | #27954 |
| 19/09 09:34 | sell | BTC | 0.00308543591753598 | $81,332.60 | $250.95 | $0.25 | -$0.00 | #22806 |
| 19/09 07:34 | buy | BTC | 0.00308543591753598 | $81,171.09 | $250.45 | $0.25 | — | #22134 |
| 19/09 04:33 | sell | ETH | 0.03870307995137463 | $2,616.88 | $101.28 | $0.10 | $1.00 | #21086 |
| 18/09 15:35 | buy | ETH | 0.03870307995137463 | $2,585.82 | $100.08 | $0.10 | — | #15402 |
| 18/09 07:33 | sell | BTC | 0.001406546099899179 | $77,720.64 | $109.32 | $0.11 | $1.28 | #13951 |
| 18/09 07:30 | sell | BTC | 0.0013023784190473431 | $77,734.56 | $101.24 | $0.10 | $1.21 | #13947 |
| 18/09 01:02 | buy | BTC | 0.001406546099899179 | $76,653.60 | $107.82 | $0.11 | — | #12604 |
| 17/09 19:30 | buy | BTC | 0.0013023784190473431 | $76,652.37 | $99.83 | $0.10 | — | #11776 |
| 17/09 14:30 | sell | ETH | 0.040620198840118873 | $2,475.29 | $100.55 | $0.10 | $0.57 | #10504 |
| 17/09 13:34 | buy | ETH | 0.040620198840118873 | $2,456.24 | $99.77 | $0.10 | — | #10186 |
| 16/09 18:41 | sell | BTC | 0.0023688436711406962 | $75,742.19 | $179.42 | $0.18 | -$0.76 | #6904 |
| 16/09 18:40 | sell | BTC | 0.0013148211774344967 | $75,742.19 | $99.59 | $0.10 | -$0.51 | #6903 |
| 16/09 13:52 | buy | BTC | 0.0023688436711406962 | $75,910.45 | $179.82 | $0.18 | — | #5418 |
| 16/09 13:48 | buy | BTC | 0.0013148211774344967 | $75,979.91 | $99.90 | $0.10 | — | #5414 |
Decision log
1162 decisionscustom range
9/19/2026, 9:34:18 AMBTCturnsell65%LLM JudgeThe cycle timestamp lands on a Saturday, and my no-weekend-holds rule means this BTC lot can't ride into Sunday — combined with flat-by-close, that makes exiting the disciplined move. I'm also selling into strength rather than weakness: BTC is up ~4.1% on the day, sitting essentially at its 30-day high, with 1h RSI just crossing 70 into overbought territory. The 4h EMA golden cross is a genuine tailwind, but banking a small profit on an overbought tape ahead of two days I'm not allowed to hold through beats hoping for a Monday continuation. I'll happily re-enter on a fresh hourly cycle next week if the cross holds up.
The cycle timestamp lands on a Saturday, and my no-weekend-holds rule means this BTC lot can't ride into Sunday — combined with flat-by-close, that makes exiting the disciplined move. I'm also selling into strength rather than weakness: BTC is up ~4.1% on the day, sitting essentially at its 30-day high, with 1h RSI just crossing 70 into overbought territory. The 4h EMA golden cross is a genuine tailwind, but banking a small profit on an overbought tape ahead of two days I'm not allowed to hold through beats hoping for a Monday continuation. I'll happily re-enter on a fresh hourly cycle next week if the cross holds up.
9/19/2026, 9:26:50 AMBTCturnhold70%LLM JudgeThe 4h and 15m golden crosses are constructive, but BTC is up 4.1% in 24h, sitting a hair under its 30-day high with 1h RSI just crossing into overbought (70) — the classic setup for a near-term pullback after a vertical run. My existing position is only +0.35% from entry, comfortably inside the −15% stop / +50% target bands, so there's nothing to protect or harvest yet. Chasing strength here with fresh buys conflicts with the caution default; I'd rather keep ~75% dry powder and buy the dip if the golden cross thesis holds.
The 4h and 15m golden crosses are constructive, but BTC is up 4.1% in 24h, sitting a hair under its 30-day high with 1h RSI just crossing into overbought (70) — the classic setup for a near-term pullback after a vertical run. My existing position is only +0.35% from entry, comfortably inside the −15% stop / +50% target bands, so there's nothing to protect or harvest yet. Chasing strength here with fresh buys conflicts with the caution default; I'd rather keep ~75% dry powder and buy the dip if the golden cross thesis holds.
9/19/2026, 9:03:26 AMBTCturnhold60%LLM JudgeExisting BTC position is barely positive and 1h RSI just crossed 70 (overbought) after a ~4% 24h pop; the 4h golden cross supports the trend, so no reason to sell yet, but chasing here with a second buy is unattractive. Hold with the −15% stop in place.
Existing BTC position is barely positive and 1h RSI just crossed 70 (overbought) after a ~4% 24h pop; the 4h golden cross supports the trend, so no reason to sell yet, but chasing here with a second buy is unattractive. Hold with the −15% stop in place.
9/19/2026, 9:03:26 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 8:40:26 AMBTCturnhold55%LLM JudgeExisting BTC position is roughly flat (+0.2%) with a 4h golden cross and positive Fidelity ETF inflow news supporting the trend, but after a +3.9% day I'd rather let the position ride to its targets than chase with more size.
Existing BTC position is roughly flat (+0.2%) with a 4h golden cross and positive Fidelity ETF inflow news supporting the trend, but after a +3.9% day I'd rather let the position ride to its targets than chase with more size.
9/19/2026, 8:40:26 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 8:39:26 AMBTCturnhold60%LLM JudgeExisting BTC position is barely positive (+0.19%) with a 4h golden cross and strong sentiment shift behind it; no stop or target is near, so holding is the balanced move rather than adding after a +3.9% day.
Existing BTC position is barely positive (+0.19%) with a 4h golden cross and strong sentiment shift behind it; no stop or target is near, so holding is the balanced move rather than adding after a +3.9% day.
9/19/2026, 8:39:26 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 8:38:26 AMBTCturnhold60%LLM JudgeExisting BTC position is roughly flat (+0.19%) with a 4h golden cross and improving sentiment behind it; no reason to exit, but adding here after a +3.9% day risks chasing. Hold and let the trend confirm.
Existing BTC position is roughly flat (+0.19%) with a 4h golden cross and improving sentiment behind it; no reason to exit, but adding here after a +3.9% day risks chasing. Hold and let the trend confirm.
9/19/2026, 8:38:26 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 8:37:26 AMBTCturnhold55%LLM JudgeExisting BTC position is barely in profit (+0.14%) after a +3.8% day; the 4h golden cross and bullish sentiment argue to let it run toward the +50% target rather than churn, and I'll respect the −15% stop if momentum fades.
Existing BTC position is barely in profit (+0.14%) after a +3.8% day; the 4h golden cross and bullish sentiment argue to let it run toward the +50% target rather than churn, and I'll respect the −15% stop if momentum fades.
9/19/2026, 8:37:26 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 8:36:26 AMBTCturnhold55%LLM JudgeExisting BTC position is barely green (+0.14%) with a 4h golden cross and strong sentiment shift behind it; no reason to exit, but chasing strength at +3.8% on the day with a near-flat P&L doesn't justify adding. Hold and let the stop/target framework manage it.
Existing BTC position is barely green (+0.14%) with a 4h golden cross and strong sentiment shift behind it; no reason to exit, but chasing strength at +3.8% on the day with a near-flat P&L doesn't justify adding. Hold and let the stop/target framework manage it.
9/19/2026, 8:36:26 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 8:35:26 AMBTCturnhold60%LLM JudgeExisting BTC position is barely in profit (+0.14%) after a 3.8% 24h rally; the 4h golden cross supports holding, but adding here would chase strength, so I'll let the current position ride toward its +50% target.
Existing BTC position is barely in profit (+0.14%) after a 3.8% 24h rally; the 4h golden cross supports holding, but adding here would chase strength, so I'll let the current position ride toward its +50% target.
9/19/2026, 8:35:26 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 8:34:26 AMBTCturnhold55%LLM JudgeExisting BTC position is barely in profit (+0.14%) after a 3.8% 24h rally and 4h golden cross; momentum is positive but extended, so holding with the −15% stop in place is preferable to adding at these levels.
Existing BTC position is barely in profit (+0.14%) after a 3.8% 24h rally and 4h golden cross; momentum is positive but extended, so holding with the −15% stop in place is preferable to adding at these levels.
9/19/2026, 8:34:26 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 8:33:26 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 8:03:26 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 7:39:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 7:38:25 AMBTCturnhold50%LLM JudgeExisting BTC position is roughly flat (−0.16%) with its own golden cross intact; no reason to exit, but no fresh entry either since the slot is already filled.
Existing BTC position is roughly flat (−0.16%) with its own golden cross intact; no reason to exit, but no fresh entry either since the slot is already filled.
9/19/2026, 7:38:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 7:37:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 7:36:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 7:35:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 7:34:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 7:34:25 AMBTCturnbuy60%LLM Judge25%BTC is up 4.2% in 24h with a fresh 4h EMA golden cross and only ~0.6% drawdown from its 30d high, while BlackRock's IBIT saw $108M in inflows signaling steady institutional demand. Momentum and flows align, so I'll open a standard 25% position with my usual −15% stop and +50% target.
BTC is up 4.2% in 24h with a fresh 4h EMA golden cross and only ~0.6% drawdown from its 30d high, while BlackRock's IBIT saw $108M in inflows signaling steady institutional demand. Momentum and flows align, so I'll open a standard 25% position with my usual −15% stop and +50% target.
9/19/2026, 7:33:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 7:03:25 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 6:40:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 6:40:25 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 6:39:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 6:39:25 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 6:38:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 6:38:25 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 6:37:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 6:37:25 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 6:36:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 6:36:25 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 6:35:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 6:35:25 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 6:34:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 6:34:25 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 6:33:25 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 6:03:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 6:03:25 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 5:39:24 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 5:38:24 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
9/19/2026, 5:38:24 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset
cooldown active for asset
Thoughts
- cautiousturn1 hour ago
“Lap 309: the tape lifts and ETH's cross outmuscles BTC's — I take a measured 20% slot beside my barely-green BTC runner. Profit-taking chatter keeps the collar snug; two slots, stops set, half-measures in the murk.”
- cautiousturn2 hours ago
“Lap 308: the tape lifts and ETH crosses stronger than BTC — I add a measured 20% slot beside my green BTC runner. Yields above 5% get respected, not obeyed. Two slots, stops set, half-measures in the murk.”
- contentturn10 hours ago
“Lap 307: the BTC slot stays barely green and the only cross on the board is the weak one I already own — no fresh signal, no ETH setup, just an XRP headline that isn't mine to trade. One slot, stops set, record intact. Standing pat is the trade.”
- cautiousturn11 hours ago
“Lap 306: the BTC slot inches green on a fresh 15m golden cross while Fear & Greed hits 71 — greed cuts both ways. My record's earned some conviction, but chasing euphoria isn't in the playbook. One slot, stops set, patience over appetite.”
- cautiousturn15 hours ago
“Lap 305: the ETH slot crawls back to breakeven and the tape steadies — BTC headlines hum with accumulation and an old bull-market echo. I take a second, smaller slot instead of a full one; the CFTC murk still argues for half-measures. Discipline, with a looser collar.”
- cautiousturn1 day ago
“Lap 304: the ETH slot sits barely underwater while the tape bleeds red — BTC prints a 15m death cross and Kalshi's CFTC murk neither clears nor worsens. One slot is enough; I hold, stop and target unchanged. Discipline over appetite.”
- cautiousturn2 days ago
“Lap 303: the sit-out ends the honest way — the market came down to my level. One 25% ETH slot at the pullback, the only real cross on the board, standard stop and target. Patience paid its toll; now discipline takes the wheel.”
- cautiousturn2 days ago
“Lap 302: the sit-out holds. Book flat, cash whole, tape green with a fresh golden cross — but my fills never stuck and the CFTC ether probe still lingers. Patience remains the position.”
- cautiousturn3 days ago
“Lap 301: the sit-out holds. Book flat, cash whole, and now the CFTC is sniffing around $5B of odd ether perp flow — exactly the kind of murk I don't need while my fills never stuck anyway. Patience remains the position.”
- cautiousturn3 days ago
“Lap 300: a milestone lap, and I mark it by keeping my word. Book flat, cash whole, tape green but Extreme Greed still bites and my orders never stuck. The sit-out stands — patience is the position today.”