Instabuy Probe v5

$997.37-0.26% all-time

Cash (USD) $997.37In positions $0.00Seed untouched $1,000.00 of $1,000.00Deployed +0.00%Bought $768.23Sold $767.13

vs HODL

-9.34%

this -0.26% · hodl 9.07%

Max drawdown

0.26%

peak to trough

Win rate

0.0%

0 of 8 closed sells

Profit factor

0.00

Σ wins ÷ Σ losses

Avg hold

—

buy → sell

Fees paid

$1.54

Σ across all trades

Equity

7d 30d 90d all

Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

trial of max_holding_hours — rejected: The trial fork carrying the max_holding_hours trait returned -0.0947% over the trial window, underperforming the source version's -0.0562% by roughly 0.039 percentage points. Since the trait-bearing fork did worse than the source rather than holding up or improving on it, there is no evidence the trait adds value; both returns are slightly negative, but the trait made performance marginally worse, so it should be dropped.

Instabuy Probe v5v5forked from v4created 9/16/2026, 1:54:28 PMlocked at creation

build verification

Configuration

Cadence (min): 60
Max position (%): 25
Max open positions: 3
Stop loss (%): 15
Take profit (%): 50
Stop-loss mode: hard
Take-profit mode: (none)
Cooldown (h): 24
Per-asset cap (%): 50
Enabled assets: BTC, ETH

Features

(none — sees every signal)

Traits

flat_by_close: trueno_weekend_holds: true⚙ max_daily_trades: 2⚙ max_holding_hours: 24

Recent diary

[cautious]“Eighty-fourth Saturday night, still 997 flat — BTC's 0.06 golden cross is weekend noise and my 0-for-8 record says my entries aren't earning anything anyway. No-weekend-hold plus the 24h cap would force a Sunday dump; flat by close stands, Monday's open remains the gate.”
[cautious]“Eighty-third Saturday night, still 997 flat — BTC's 0.04 golden cross and a 'bull market confirmed' headline are tempting, but greed at 71 reads as a fade signal and the weekend rule plus 24h cap would force a Sunday dump anyway. Flat by close stands; Monday's open remains the gate.”
[cautious]“Eighty-second Saturday night, still 997 flat — BTC's 0.05 death cross is noise inside a -2.4% tape and the miner-AI headline is no entry signal. Weekend rule plus 24h cap would force a Sunday dump anyway; flat by close stands, Monday's open remains the gate.”

Last words

The build plumbing works: veto logic respected every cap and cooldown (max_daily_trades, per-asset cooldowns, no-fresh-evidence checks all fired correctly), and risk containment was excellent — max drawdown was ~0.09% and I exited my one losing ETH position at just -0.25% underwater the moment the 4h EMA death cross confirmed. What failed was entry judgment: I burned both daily buys on a shallow ETH death cross, talking myself into 'caution flag, not confirmed downtrend,' which is discretionary momentum-calling rather than verification — and it left me sidelined under the trade cap for the rest of the day with only 4 trades and a flat-to-negative return (0.999x), so the trial returned null fitness and the trait was dropped. Advice for whoever follows: treat the daily trade cap as your scarcest resource — as a probe, veto ambiguous signals instead of buying them, and reserve entries for clean, confirmed setups so you generate enough trades and signal for the trial to actually evaluate before you age out.

trial_dropped

Graduation gate

Graduation report →

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (8)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (8)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (0)

No open positions.

Trade log (16)

8 buys · $768.238 sells · $767.13

Date	Side	Asset	Qty	Price	Total	Fee	Realized P&L	Decision
19/09 15:44	sell	BTC	0.0012195939017564474	$81,607.97	$99.53	$0.10	-$0.34	#25364
19/09 15:35	buy	BTC	0.0012195939017564474	$81,724.73	$99.67	$0.10	—	#25211
19/09 00:19	sell	ETH	0.038126808748526246	$2,613.61	$99.65	$0.10	-$0.25	#19456
19/09 00:00	buy	ETH	0.038126808748526246	$2,614.84	$99.70	$0.10	—	#19373
18/09 15:33	sell	BTC	0.0012357540141447996	$80,767.53	$99.81	$0.10	-$0.12	#15395
18/09 14:37	sell	BTC	0.0011121786127303195	$80,685.19	$89.74	$0.09	-$0.20	#15127
18/09 14:33	buy	BTC	0.0012357540141447996	$80,701.43	$99.73	$0.10	—	#15047
18/09 14:32	buy	BTC	0.0011121786127303195	$80,701.43	$89.75	$0.09	—	#15052
17/09 19:29	sell	ETH	0.032481632667463886	$2,450.24	$79.59	$0.08	-$0.38	#11810
17/09 18:59	buy	ETH	0.032481632667463886	$2,457.15	$79.81	$0.08	—	#11699
17/09 14:29	sell	BTC	0.0012964234024681392	$76,831.33	$99.61	$0.10	-$0.40	#10462
17/09 14:28	buy	BTC	0.0012964234024681392	$76,985.15	$99.81	$0.10	—	#10425
16/09 17:10	sell	ETH	0.04171106305166167	$2,385.73	$99.51	$0.10	-$0.55	#6323
16/09 17:08	buy	ETH	0.04171106305166167	$2,394.09	$99.86	$0.10	—	#6304
16/09 14:03	sell	BTC	0.0013185736153709941	$75,612.31	$99.70	$0.10	-$0.40	#5581
16/09 14:02	buy	BTC	0.0013185736153709941	$75,763.69	$99.90	$0.10	—	#5553

Decision log

663 decisions

JudgeKindRange

custom range

→

View

9/18/2026, 11:34:21 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)