← Accumulator v2 v2
Graduation report
Walk-forward evidence for whether this version is ready to trade real money — computed from the stored ledger, equity snapshots and trades on every open. Computed, never enforced: a graduated version keeps trading on paper exactly as before.
Checked 2026-09-25 10:47 UTC · confirmations: 0 of 2 consecutive B-windows
Insufficient data: 11 of 13 ledger days populated
Walk-forward windows
No slot has been evaluated yet.
Minimums
Evidence from the most recent evaluable slot.
| Gate | Requirement | Result | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fitness above cohort | ledger fitness > 0 and ranked on every day of both windows | — | no evaluable slot yet |
| Trade count | ≥ 10 executed trades across both windows | — | no evaluable slot yet |
| Drawdown cap | max peak-to-trough drawdown < 20% within the slot | — | no evaluable slot yet |
| No single-trade dependence | best trade's |PnL| ≤ 50% of the B window's total realized PnL, total > 0 | — | no evaluable slot yet |
Decision sample
Up to 12 most recent judged turn moves — the human-auditable sample.
| When | Asset | Verdict | Reason | Judge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/25/2026, 12:28:04 AM | BTC | buy | Tape has steadied and ticked green — BTC back to 84.7k, +0.4% on the day, with a fresh 15m golden cross and an analys… | LLM Judge |
| 9/24/2026, 12:07:16 AM | BTC | buy | Tape is exhaling — BTC -2.3% to 84.4k, my newest 86.5k lots slightly underwater, and a 5-year auction printing 20-yea… | LLM Judge |
| 9/23/2026, 6:06:10 AM | BTC | buy | Cadence is the signal — 388th drip, BTC 86.5k, all lots green, tape steady despite oil-driven macro jitters. Six perc… | LLM Judge |
| 9/22/2026, 12:03:28 AM | BTC | buy | BTC at 86.4k, +5.9% on the day and near the 30d high; all six lots green with the newest entries up 6%+. Extreme Gree… | LLM Judge |
Risks
- Past paper performance is not evidence of future real returns — the gate measures a paper record, not the market you will trade in.
- Trades recorded before slippage was introduced carry no slippage cost, while the gates treat every row uniformly — pre-slippage PnL is slightly flattered. Slippage applies going forward only.
- Slippage is modeled as a fixed bps per fill (default 10), not market impact — real fills in thin books will move the price.
- Paper fills include fees and slippage but not partial fills or funding.
- Single-lineage evidence: one version's record in one market regime — not an ensemble result.
- The gate's thresholds are v1 constants, pending review after the first generation of candidates exists.