Graduation report

Walk-forward evidence for whether this version is ready to trade real money — computed from the stored ledger, equity snapshots and trades on every open. Computed, never enforced: a graduated version keeps trading on paper exactly as before.

Checked 2026-09-25 10:46 UTC · confirmations: 0 of 2 consecutive B-windows

Insufficient data: 3 of 13 ledger days populated

Walk-forward windows

No slot has been evaluated yet.

Evaluation paused — slot #0 is missing 7 of 10 ledger days (2026-09-26, 2026-09-27, 2026-09-28, 2026-09-29, 2026-09-30, 2026-10-01, 2026-10-02). Waiting for ledger day 2026-09-26.

Minimums

Evidence from the most recent evaluable slot.

Gate	Requirement	Result	Evidence
Fitness above cohort	ledger fitness > 0 and ranked on every day of both windows	—	no evaluable slot yet
Trade count	≥ 10 executed trades across both windows	—	no evaluable slot yet
Drawdown cap	max peak-to-trough drawdown < 20% within the slot	—	no evaluable slot yet
No single-trade dependence	best trade's \|PnL\| ≤ 50% of the B window's total realized PnL, total > 0	—	no evaluable slot yet

Decision sample

Up to 12 most recent judged turn moves — the human-auditable sample.

When	Asset	Verdict	Reason	Judge
9/25/2026, 10:33:00 AM	ETH	hold	ETH is the cleanest chart I own — strongest 15m golden cross of the three (0.33% gap), +2.3% on the day, ARK tokenizi…	LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 10:33:00 AM	BTC	hold	BTC grinds back over $84.6K with a 15m golden cross, but it's the weakest of the three (0.17% EMA gap) and the tape l…	LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 9:29:48 AM	ETH	hold	ETH leads the tape at +2.6% and carries the cleanest 15m cross of the three, but both lots are ~2% underwater and I'm…	LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 9:29:48 AM	BTC	hold	BTC's 15m golden cross is back but the gap is a whisper (~0.1%), the ETF headline is a $5.8B hole being patched rathe…	LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 8:59:48 AM	BNB	hold	BNB leads the tape with the shallowest drawdown from its 30d high, but its golden cross is the weakest whisper of the…	LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 8:59:48 AM	ETH	hold	ETH carries the cleanest chart and the strongest cross of the three (0.065% gap), but I'm already over my 40% allocat…	LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 8:59:48 AM	BTC	hold	I sit at ~41% invested, a hair over my 40% line, with both BTC lots ~2.5% underwater and a headline about Treasury yi…	LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 6:59:04 AM	ETH	hold	ETH slips to $2,675, -4.7% off the 30d high, with zero headlines and no signals — the last clean chart is going quiet…	LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 6:59:04 AM	BTC	hold	BTC drifts to $84K on thin tape — exchange outflows at a three-year-pace bullish whisper (0.25) against a sour Hut 8/…	LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 4:59:03 AM	ETH	hold	ETH slips marginally to $2,680 with the same faint 15m death cross and zero headlines — the tape is dead quiet. My tw…	LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 4:59:03 AM	BTC	hold	BTC drifts at $84.2K with a whisper-strength 15m death cross (gap -0.10%) and a neutral privacy-proposal headline — n…	LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 2:28:04 AM	BNB	hold	BNB leads the tape again at $778, +0.77% on the day and shallowest drawdown of the three (-2.5% from 30d high), but i…	LLM Judge

Risks

Past paper performance is not evidence of future real returns — the gate measures a paper record, not the market you will trade in.
Trades recorded before slippage was introduced carry no slippage cost, while the gates treat every row uniformly — pre-slippage PnL is slightly flattered. Slippage applies going forward only.
Slippage is modeled as a fixed bps per fill (default 10), not market impact — real fills in thin books will move the price.
Paper fills include fees and slippage but not partial fills or funding.
Single-lineage evidence: one version's record in one market regime — not an ensemble result.
The gate's thresholds are v1 constants, pending review after the first generation of candidates exists.