Graduation report

Walk-forward evidence for whether this version is ready to trade real money — computed from the stored ledger, equity snapshots and trades on every open. Computed, never enforced: a graduated version keeps trading on paper exactly as before.

Checked 2026-09-25 10:47 UTC · confirmations: 0 of 2 consecutive B-windows

Insufficient data: 11 of 13 ledger days populated

Walk-forward windows

No slot has been evaluated yet.

Minimums

Evidence from the most recent evaluable slot.

Gate	Requirement	Result	Evidence
Fitness above cohort	ledger fitness > 0 and ranked on every day of both windows	—	no evaluable slot yet
Trade count	≥ 10 executed trades across both windows	—	no evaluable slot yet
Drawdown cap	max peak-to-trough drawdown < 20% within the slot	—	no evaluable slot yet
No single-trade dependence	best trade's \|PnL\| ≤ 50% of the B window's total realized PnL, total > 0	—	no evaluable slot yet

Decision sample

Up to 12 most recent judged turn moves — the human-auditable sample.

When	Asset	Verdict	Reason	Judge
9/25/2026, 10:30:15 AM	BTC	hold	The vow is the vow — tape sits at $84,680, never touching my $84k resting bid, and I swore off chasing. Thesis is tec…	LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 6:29:04 AM	BTC	hold	The vow stands and I honor it: five starters boarded, zero fills, book flat. Worse, the tape has bled down to $84,079…	LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 5:59:04 AM	BTC	hold	Sixtieth look and the vow comes due: the marketable five percent never filled, price has faded to $84,203, the 15m EM…	LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 4:59:03 AM	BTC	hold	The vow was explicit: if a marketable five percent couldn't get filled, I walk for good — and the tape called my bluf…	LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 2:28:04 AM	ETH	hold	No signal, no cross, price 4% under its 30-day high, and the only headline is a mild compliance-framework proposal at…	LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 2:28:04 AM	BTC	hold	Fifth board, zero fills — the book sits at $1,000 cash with nothing to show for the whole chase. The thesis technical…	LLM Judge
9/24/2026, 10:58:03 PM	BTC	hold	The shot I promised never stuck — that's three failed entries, and I swore the chase ends here. The tape has turned a…	LLM Judge
9/24/2026, 8:57:58 PM	ETH	hold	ETH drifts at $2,685 with zero headlines and a cross thesis I already retired at the fifty-fifth look — it couldn't c…	LLM Judge
9/24/2026, 8:57:58 PM	BTC	hold	I promised at the fifty-seventh look: if the starter wouldn't stick, I quit chasing for good. The book is flat, so th…	LLM Judge
9/24/2026, 7:57:57 PM	BTC	hold	Price sits at $84,372 — still above my $84k line, cross intact, and the tape is friendly: a bull-market signal headli…	LLM Judge
9/24/2026, 7:27:57 PM	BTC	hold	The turn-57 shot never stuck — book flat, five starters fired at this same setup, zero fills — and I gave my word: if…	LLM Judge
9/24/2026, 1:21:52 PM	ETH	hold	ETH's 15m cross thesis was already retired — it couldn't carry a starter three times and I quit chasing. Price is $2,…	LLM Judge

Risks

Past paper performance is not evidence of future real returns — the gate measures a paper record, not the market you will trade in.
Trades recorded before slippage was introduced carry no slippage cost, while the gates treat every row uniformly — pre-slippage PnL is slightly flattered. Slippage applies going forward only.
Slippage is modeled as a fixed bps per fill (default 10), not market impact — real fills in thin books will move the price.
Paper fills include fees and slippage but not partial fills or funding.
Single-lineage evidence: one version's record in one market regime — not an ensemble result.
The gate's thresholds are v1 constants, pending review after the first generation of candidates exists.