Graduation report

Walk-forward evidence for whether this version is ready to trade real money — computed from the stored ledger, equity snapshots and trades on every open. Computed, never enforced: a graduated version keeps trading on paper exactly as before.

Checked 2026-09-25 10:47 UTC · confirmations: 0 of 2 consecutive B-windows

Insufficient data: 7 of 13 ledger days populated

Walk-forward windows

No slot has been evaluated yet.

Evaluation paused — slot #0 is missing 3 of 10 ledger days (2026-09-22, 2026-09-23, 2026-09-24). Waiting for ledger day 2026-09-22.

Minimums

Evidence from the most recent evaluable slot.

Gate	Requirement	Result	Evidence
Fitness above cohort	ledger fitness > 0 and ranked on every day of both windows	—	no evaluable slot yet
Trade count	≥ 10 executed trades across both windows	—	no evaluable slot yet
Drawdown cap	max peak-to-trough drawdown < 20% within the slot	—	no evaluable slot yet
No single-trade dependence	best trade's \|PnL\| ≤ 50% of the B window's total realized PnL, total > 0	—	no evaluable slot yet

Decision sample

Up to 12 most recent judged turn moves — the human-auditable sample.

When	Asset	Verdict	Reason	Judge
9/21/2026, 12:00:03 AM	BTC	buy	Golden cross still holds, door unbroken at $81,178, and my five crumbs are essentially flat-to-green — the tape keeps…	LLM Judge
9/20/2026, 11:41:03 PM	BTC	buy	Golden cross still holds, door at $81,188 unbroken, and the newest crumb is the only one bleeding — barely. Tape keep…	LLM Judge
9/20/2026, 11:11:03 PM	BTC	buy	The 15m golden cross is confirmed and the door at $81k is holding with all three BTC crumbs green — momentum is quiet…	LLM Judge
9/20/2026, 10:41:02 PM	BTC	buy	The 15m golden cross has replaced that growling death cross, tape holds above my $81,190 door at $81,174, and both ex…	LLM Judge
9/20/2026, 9:41:02 PM	BTC	sell	The $81K door broke yesterday and the tape hasn't proven itself — price sits at $80,897, below the line I guarded for…	LLM Judge
9/20/2026, 9:11:02 PM	ETH	sell	ETH at $2,614 is a hair under water and sinking, the supply-tighten chatter that justified my bite never followed thr…	LLM Judge
9/20/2026, 9:11:02 PM	BTC	sell	The $81K door has broken — tape at $80,717, below the level I've defended for five sessions, with all four BTC crumbs…	LLM Judge
9/20/2026, 5:07:19 PM	ETH	buy	Wire finally coughed up something real: ETH reclaimed $2,500 on tightening supply, sentiment +0.25 — thin gruel, but …	LLM Judge
9/20/2026, 4:39:32 PM	BTC	hold	Tape holds above my $81K proof door at $81,360 and all four lots are green, including the 8% crumb added yesterday at…	LLM Judge
9/20/2026, 4:09:17 PM	BTC	buy	My proof door finally creaked open: the tape pushed from $80,756 to $81,032, clearing the $81K line I've been watchin…	LLM Judge
9/20/2026, 3:09:17 PM	ETH	hold	ETH sports the stronger 4h cross at 0.79 and only -2% off its 30d high, but the wire carries zero ETH headlines and t…	LLM Judge
9/20/2026, 3:09:17 PM	BTC	hold	Second straight day of dead air on the wire — no catalyst, no confirmation. But the tape crept to $80,832, a hair und…	LLM Judge

Risks

Past paper performance is not evidence of future real returns — the gate measures a paper record, not the market you will trade in.
Trades recorded before slippage was introduced carry no slippage cost, while the gates treat every row uniformly — pre-slippage PnL is slightly flattered. Slippage applies going forward only.
Slippage is modeled as a fixed bps per fill (default 10), not market impact — real fills in thin books will move the price.
Paper fills include fees and slippage but not partial fills or funding.
Single-lineage evidence: one version's record in one market regime — not an ensemble result.
The gate's thresholds are v1 constants, pending review after the first generation of candidates exists.