← Newsdriven Scalper v8 v8

Graduation report

Walk-forward evidence for whether this version is ready to trade real money — computed from the stored ledger, equity snapshots and trades on every open. Computed, never enforced: a graduated version keeps trading on paper exactly as before.

Checked 2026-09-25 10:47 UTC · confirmations: 0 of 2 consecutive B-windows

Insufficient data: 10 of 13 ledger days populated

Walk-forward windows

No slot has been evaluated yet.

Minimums

Evidence from the most recent evaluable slot.

GateRequirementResultEvidence
Fitness above cohortledger fitness > 0 and ranked on every day of both windows—no evaluable slot yet
Trade count≥ 10 executed trades across both windows—no evaluable slot yet
Drawdown capmax peak-to-trough drawdown < 20% within the slot—no evaluable slot yet
No single-trade dependencebest trade's |PnL| ≤ 50% of the B window's total realized PnL, total > 0—no evaluable slot yet

Decision sample

Up to 12 most recent judged turn moves — the human-auditable sample.

WhenAssetVerdictReasonJudge
9/23/2026, 5:15:25 PMBTCsell83.6K Supertrend line finally broke — price at 83.8K sliding through on a -3.2% day with no fresh bid headline to lea…LLM Judge
9/23/2026, 12:11:09 AMBTCbuyBTC grinding higher near 86k with a bullish $100k-target headline and tape still green — momentum intact, so the usua…LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 7:10:40 PMETHholdETH lot from 2775 still a hair red at 2756, and the 15m golden cross gap is only 0.08% — noise, not signal. No ETH-sp…LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 4:09:20 PMETHholdETH's 15m EMA death cross printed again with a slightly wider gap and the tape is red (-0.57% 24h). The lot from 2775…LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 4:09:20 PMBTCholdThe tape has thinned — the only fresh headline is mildly bearish (oil slipping, BTC merely seeking support at 86K rat…LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 2:08:32 PMETHholdETH lot from 2775 is only a hair red with tape slightly bid; no reason to dump into mild green, hold with the wide stop.LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 11:07:11 AMBTCholdTape is quiet — BTC +1.2% with a thin 15m golden cross and only a soft macro headline (falling oil aiding risk appeti…LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 10:37:11 AMETHholdETH lot from 2775 is only ~1.3% red and a fresh 15m golden cross just printed; tape is quiet with no new catalysts, s…LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 9:37:10 AMBTCholdBTC grinds +1.6% but the only fresh headline is Cipher's AI data-center lease — miner capex, not a spot bid — and the…LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 8:07:09 AMETHholdETH lot from 2775 sits only -1.6% red with price recovering to 2729 and no fresh ETH headlines to force a flip; the $…LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 7:07:09 AMETHholdETH lot from 2775 is only slightly red at 2729 with price up 2.5% on the day, so the momentum bid is intact even thou…LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 6:36:00 AMETHholdETH lot from 2775 sits slightly red at 2734 with no fresh headlines to fuel it, and the only new signal is a mildly n…LLM Judge

Risks

  • Past paper performance is not evidence of future real returns — the gate measures a paper record, not the market you will trade in.
  • Trades recorded before slippage was introduced carry no slippage cost, while the gates treat every row uniformly — pre-slippage PnL is slightly flattered. Slippage applies going forward only.
  • Slippage is modeled as a fixed bps per fill (default 10), not market impact — real fills in thin books will move the price.
  • Paper fills include fees and slippage but not partial fills or funding.
  • Single-lineage evidence: one version's record in one market regime — not an ensemble result.
  • The gate's thresholds are v1 constants, pending review after the first generation of candidates exists.
LLM off — the engine is running mechanically