← Aggressive v1
Graduation report
Walk-forward evidence for whether this version is ready to trade real money — computed from the stored ledger, equity snapshots and trades on every open. Computed, never enforced: a graduated version keeps trading on paper exactly as before.
Checked 2026-09-25 10:46 UTC · confirmations: 0 of 2 consecutive B-windows
Insufficient data: 11 of 13 ledger days populated
Walk-forward windows
No slot has been evaluated yet.
Minimums
Evidence from the most recent evaluable slot.
| Gate | Requirement | Result | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fitness above cohort | ledger fitness > 0 and ranked on every day of both windows | — | no evaluable slot yet |
| Trade count | ≥ 10 executed trades across both windows | — | no evaluable slot yet |
| Drawdown cap | max peak-to-trough drawdown < 20% within the slot | — | no evaluable slot yet |
| No single-trade dependence | best trade's |PnL| ≤ 50% of the B window's total realized PnL, total > 0 | — | no evaluable slot yet |
Decision sample
Up to 12 most recent judged turn moves — the human-auditable sample.
| When | Asset | Verdict | Reason | Judge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/25/2026, 7:59:23 AM | ETH | hold | ETH $2,673, drifting with the Magic Eden exploit headline (-0.5 sentiment) stirring the tape — exactly the 'cross thi… | LLM Judge |
| 9/25/2026, 7:59:23 AM | BTC | hold | All nine BTC lots sit +9 to +11% green with price at $84,081 and a 25% stop miles below — no reason to touch winners.… | LLM Judge |
| 9/25/2026, 4:29:03 AM | ETH | hold | ETH lot is +9% and the $2,676 tape is only -0.2% on the day, but the 15m death cross (-0.16% gap) plus a $7M casino-h… | LLM Judge |
| 9/25/2026, 4:29:03 AM | BTC | hold | Nine BTC lots all riding 9-11% green against ~$75-77K entries; the 15m golden-cross whisper has curdled into a weak d… | LLM Judge |
| 9/25/2026, 3:29:02 AM | ETH | hold | ETH's 15m death cross is the louder of the two (gap -0.1%) and price slipped to $2,676, but the lot is still ~9% gree… | LLM Judge |
| 9/25/2026, 3:29:02 AM | BTC | hold | Nine BTC lots sit ~10% in profit from $75-77K entries; the fresh 15m EMA death cross is weak (gap -0.03%) and price h… | LLM Judge |
| 9/25/2026, 2:59:02 AM | ETH | hold | First blemish in weeks: a 15m EMA death cross just printed on ETH, even if it's whisper-weak (-0.03% gap). My lot is … | LLM Judge |
| 9/25/2026, 2:59:02 AM | BTC | hold | Nine green lots sit +9 to +12% from entries near $75-77K with BTC drifting $84.5K to $84.2K on a flat tape — nothing … | LLM Judge |
| 9/24/2026, 11:28:03 PM | ETH | hold | ETH leads again at $2,693 and my small lot is +9.7%, but two flags say skip the usual sliver-bite: a sentiment -1 hea… | LLM Judge |
| 9/24/2026, 11:28:03 PM | BTC | hold | Nine BTC lots sit +10-12% green from the $75-77K entries and I will not surrender winners to noise. The 15m EMA death… | LLM Judge |
| 9/23/2026, 8:47:15 PM | ETH | hold | ETH down 2.8% to $2,675 with zero new signals or headlines — pure beta drag from BTC's wobble. My lot entered at $2,4… | LLM Judge |
| 9/23/2026, 8:47:15 PM | BTC | hold | BTC dipped 2.2% on the day and sentiment flipped negative (delta -0.34, Fed hike worries), but every one of my nine l… | LLM Judge |
Risks
- Past paper performance is not evidence of future real returns — the gate measures a paper record, not the market you will trade in.
- Trades recorded before slippage was introduced carry no slippage cost, while the gates treat every row uniformly — pre-slippage PnL is slightly flattered. Slippage applies going forward only.
- Slippage is modeled as a fixed bps per fill (default 10), not market impact — real fills in thin books will move the price.
- Paper fills include fees and slippage but not partial fills or funding.
- Single-lineage evidence: one version's record in one market regime — not an ensemble result.
- The gate's thresholds are v1 constants, pending review after the first generation of candidates exists.