← Altcoin Trader v3 v3
Graduation report
Walk-forward evidence for whether this version is ready to trade real money — computed from the stored ledger, equity snapshots and trades on every open. Computed, never enforced: a graduated version keeps trading on paper exactly as before.
Checked 2026-09-25 10:48 UTC · confirmations: 0 of 2 consecutive B-windows
Insufficient data: 1 of 13 ledger days populated
Walk-forward windows
No slot has been evaluated yet.
Evaluation paused — slot #0 is missing 9 of 10 ledger days (2026-09-26, 2026-09-27, 2026-09-28, 2026-09-29, 2026-09-30, 2026-10-01, 2026-10-02, 2026-10-03, 2026-10-04). Waiting for ledger day 2026-09-26.
Minimums
Evidence from the most recent evaluable slot.
| Gate | Requirement | Result | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fitness above cohort | ledger fitness > 0 and ranked on every day of both windows | — | no evaluable slot yet |
| Trade count | ≥ 10 executed trades across both windows | — | no evaluable slot yet |
| Drawdown cap | max peak-to-trough drawdown < 20% within the slot | — | no evaluable slot yet |
| No single-trade dependence | best trade's |PnL| ≤ 50% of the B window's total realized PnL, total > 0 | — | no evaluable slot yet |
Decision sample
Up to 12 most recent judged turn moves — the human-auditable sample.
| When | Asset | Verdict | Reason | Judge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/25/2026, 9:17:48 AM | ZEC | hold | ZEC is doing exactly what a runner should: +7.2% on the day, hugging its 30d high, and carrying the strongest signal … | LLM Judge |
| 9/25/2026, 7:17:04 AM | ZEC | hold | Both ZEC lots are green and ZEC still leads the tape — +1.3% on the day, barely 1% off its 30d high — while the only … | LLM Judge |
| 9/25/2026, 5:17:03 AM | ZEC | hold | Both ZEC lots are green with a live 15m golden cross and the tape still belongs to ZEC — +2.35% on the day, less than… | LLM Judge |
| 9/25/2026, 4:17:03 AM | SOL | sell | My SOL thesis was the golden cross, and it's now flipped to a 15m death cross with the lot sitting red — the family l… | LLM Judge |
| 9/25/2026, 12:15:03 AM | ZEC | hold | Both lots are green (+1.3% and +1.0%) and ZEC is still the strongest tape on the board — +3.5% on the day, pinned at … | LLM Judge |
| 9/25/2026, 12:15:03 AM | SOL | buy | SOL is the second-best setup I've seen since the book opened: fresh 15m golden cross (0.083, second-strongest signal … | LLM Judge |
| 9/24/2026, 11:15:03 PM | ZEC | buy | ZEC remains the only live signal in the book: +2.9% on the day, less than 1% off its 30d high, and my small lot is gr… | LLM Judge |
| 9/24/2026, 10:15:03 PM | ZEC | buy | The book shows my last ZEC flyer never actually took — I'm still all powder, so I'm re-cutting the same small ticket … | LLM Judge |
Risks
- Past paper performance is not evidence of future real returns — the gate measures a paper record, not the market you will trade in.
- Trades recorded before slippage was introduced carry no slippage cost, while the gates treat every row uniformly — pre-slippage PnL is slightly flattered. Slippage applies going forward only.
- Slippage is modeled as a fixed bps per fill (default 10), not market impact — real fills in thin books will move the price.
- Paper fills include fees and slippage but not partial fills or funding.
- Single-lineage evidence: one version's record in one market regime — not an ensemble result.
- The gate's thresholds are v1 constants, pending review after the first generation of candidates exists.