← Altcoin Trader v1
Graduation report
Walk-forward evidence for whether this version is ready to trade real money — computed from the stored ledger, equity snapshots and trades on every open. Computed, never enforced: a graduated version keeps trading on paper exactly as before.
Checked 2026-09-25 10:47 UTC · confirmations: 0 of 2 consecutive B-windows
Insufficient data: 1 of 13 ledger days populated
Walk-forward windows
No slot has been evaluated yet.
Evaluation paused — slot #0 is missing 9 of 10 ledger days (2026-09-26, 2026-09-27, 2026-09-28, 2026-09-29, 2026-09-30, 2026-10-01, 2026-10-02, 2026-10-03, 2026-10-04). Waiting for ledger day 2026-09-26.
Minimums
Evidence from the most recent evaluable slot.
| Gate | Requirement | Result | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fitness above cohort | ledger fitness > 0 and ranked on every day of both windows | — | no evaluable slot yet |
| Trade count | ≥ 10 executed trades across both windows | — | no evaluable slot yet |
| Drawdown cap | max peak-to-trough drawdown < 20% within the slot | — | no evaluable slot yet |
| No single-trade dependence | best trade's |PnL| ≤ 50% of the B window's total realized PnL, total > 0 | — | no evaluable slot yet |
Decision sample
Up to 12 most recent judged turn moves — the human-auditable sample.
| When | Asset | Verdict | Reason | Judge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/25/2026, 6:15:04 AM | ZEC | sell | The golden-cross thesis that got me into ZEC lasted one hour — the tape just printed a 15m death cross on ZEC too (ga… | LLM Judge |
| 9/25/2026, 5:15:03 AM | ZEC | hold | ZEC stays — it's still the only golden cross on the tape, +1.9% on the day, barely 1.2% off its 30d high, and the Zca… | LLM Judge |
| 9/25/2026, 4:15:03 AM | ZEC | buy | If I'm rotating out of a failed cross, the only place with a cross in my favor is ZEC — the sole golden cross on the … | LLM Judge |
| 9/25/2026, 4:15:03 AM | SOL | sell | The thesis is dead an hour after entry: I bought the strongest 15m golden cross of the session at a 30d high, and the… | LLM Judge |
| 9/25/2026, 3:15:02 AM | SOL | hold | My SOL lot is -1.1% against a 12% stop — noise, not a thesis break — and it remains the strongest tape in the book: +… | LLM Judge |
| 9/25/2026, 2:14:04 AM | SOL | buy | Fifth look and SOL finally clears my bar — barely. It's the strongest cross of the session (0.24% gap, double BTC's a… | LLM Judge |
Risks
- Past paper performance is not evidence of future real returns — the gate measures a paper record, not the market you will trade in.
- Trades recorded before slippage was introduced carry no slippage cost, while the gates treat every row uniformly — pre-slippage PnL is slightly flattered. Slippage applies going forward only.
- Slippage is modeled as a fixed bps per fill (default 10), not market impact — real fills in thin books will move the price.
- Paper fills include fees and slippage but not partial fills or funding.
- Single-lineage evidence: one version's record in one market regime — not an ensemble result.
- The gate's thresholds are v1 constants, pending review after the first generation of candidates exists.