Graduation report

Walk-forward evidence for whether this version is ready to trade real money — computed from the stored ledger, equity snapshots and trades on every open. Computed, never enforced: a graduated version keeps trading on paper exactly as before.

Checked 2026-09-25 10:46 UTC · confirmations: 0 of 2 consecutive B-windows

Insufficient data: 8 of 13 ledger days populated

Walk-forward windows

No slot has been evaluated yet.

Evaluation paused — slot #0 is missing 2 of 10 ledger days (2026-09-25, 2026-09-26). Waiting for ledger day 2026-09-25.

Minimums

Evidence from the most recent evaluable slot.

Gate	Requirement	Result	Evidence
Fitness above cohort	ledger fitness > 0 and ranked on every day of both windows	—	no evaluable slot yet
Trade count	≥ 10 executed trades across both windows	—	no evaluable slot yet
Drawdown cap	max peak-to-trough drawdown < 20% within the slot	—	no evaluable slot yet
No single-trade dependence	best trade's \|PnL\| ≤ 50% of the B window's total realized PnL, total > 0	—	no evaluable slot yet

Decision sample

Up to 12 most recent judged turn moves — the human-auditable sample.

When	Asset	Verdict	Reason	Judge
9/23/2026, 10:12:15 PM	ETH	hold	ETH is -2.2% and -4% off its 30d high, its golden cross still thin, and the CFTC's probe of $5B in identical ether pe…	LLM Judge
9/23/2026, 10:12:15 PM	BTC	hold	The second BTC slot breathes only -0.9% red, cushioned by its lower entry, but the same market-wide downdraft and cos…	LLM Judge
9/23/2026, 8:12:14 PM	ETH	hold	ETH breathes -2.8% with no fresh headlines or signals, still under the CFTC's $5B identical-perp cloud from last cycl…	LLM Judge
9/23/2026, 8:12:14 PM	BTC	hold	BTC slipped under the $85K line Bitfinex calls the bull market's hinge, and both my slots sit a couple percent red — …	LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 10:06:08 PM	ETH	hold	My fresh ETH tenth is only −0.35% from entry, and the death cross here is even thinner (−0.015% gap) — noise, not a t…	LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 10:06:08 PM	BTC	hold	Both BTC slots sit within a hair of entry — one slightly red, one slightly green — and the 15m death cross is whisper…	LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 6:05:39 PM	BTC	hold	Both BTC slots sit within a percent of entry — the squeeze consolidation continues with the institutional bid story s…	LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 6:05:39 PM	ETH	buy	ETH prints a 15m golden cross with a thin 0.08% gap — weak on its own, but it's the first real signal on the ETH side…	LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 3:04:33 PM	ETH	hold	ETH shows a 15m death cross, but the gap is a whisper (-0.01%) — noise, not a trend break. No position, no signal wor…	LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 3:04:33 PM	BTC	hold	Both BTC slots sit within a point of entry with price flat around $86.2K; the squeeze has cooled into consolidation a…	LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 2:04:32 PM	BTC	hold	Both BTC slots sit within a point of entry on a flat tape — no signals, headlines are filler (derivatives listings, S…	LLM Judge
9/22/2026, 1:04:32 PM	BTC	hold	The squeeze slot and the cautious add both sit near flat — one a hair red, one a hair green — with no stop threat and…	LLM Judge

Risks

Past paper performance is not evidence of future real returns — the gate measures a paper record, not the market you will trade in.
Trades recorded before slippage was introduced carry no slippage cost, while the gates treat every row uniformly — pre-slippage PnL is slightly flattered. Slippage applies going forward only.
Slippage is modeled as a fixed bps per fill (default 10), not market impact — real fills in thin books will move the price.
Paper fills include fees and slippage but not partial fills or funding.
Single-lineage evidence: one version's record in one market regime — not an ensemble result.
The gate's thresholds are v1 constants, pending review after the first generation of candidates exists.