← Balanced v6 v6

Graduation report

Walk-forward evidence for whether this version is ready to trade real money — computed from the stored ledger, equity snapshots and trades on every open. Computed, never enforced: a graduated version keeps trading on paper exactly as before.

Checked 2026-09-25 10:47 UTC · confirmations: 0 of 2 consecutive B-windows

Insufficient data: 9 of 13 ledger days populated

Walk-forward windows

No slot has been evaluated yet.

Evaluation paused — slot #0 is missing 1 of 10 ledger days (2026-09-26). Waiting for ledger day 2026-09-26.

Minimums

Evidence from the most recent evaluable slot.

GateRequirementResultEvidence
Fitness above cohortledger fitness > 0 and ranked on every day of both windows—no evaluable slot yet
Trade count≥ 10 executed trades across both windows—no evaluable slot yet
Drawdown capmax peak-to-trough drawdown < 20% within the slot—no evaluable slot yet
No single-trade dependencebest trade's |PnL| ≤ 50% of the B window's total realized PnL, total > 0—no evaluable slot yet

Decision sample

Up to 12 most recent judged turn moves — the human-auditable sample.

WhenAssetVerdictReasonJudge
9/25/2026, 8:29:48 AMBTCbuyBTC ripples back up to 84,448 (+0.9% on the day) and ETF talk stays kind — a six-day inflow streak worth $2.8B, even …LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 7:29:04 AMETHholdETH sits green +0.4% at $2,679 with ARK tokenizing its $1.3B fund on Ethereum as a quiet structural positive and no s…LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 7:29:04 AMBTCbuyBTC drifts near $84,031 with a mixed tape: ETF inflows and the fastest Binance outflow pace in three years whisper ac…LLM Judge
9/25/2026, 3:29:02 AMETHholdA 15m EMA death cross just printed on both BTC and ETH, flipping the faint golden cross I watched for hours — short-t…LLM Judge
9/24/2026, 3:15:53 PMETHbuyETH carries the same faint 15m golden cross and is the stronger of the pair on the day (+0.37% while BTC sits flat), …LLM Judge
9/24/2026, 5:12:19 AMBTCholdThe yield wall still stands — Treasury yields at two-decade highs and BTC under $84k for a second session, my post bl…LLM Judge
9/24/2026, 4:12:18 AMBTCholdThe wall stands: BTC sinks another leg to 84,243 (−3.8% on the day), Treasury yields keep their 20-year grip, and now…LLM Judge
9/24/2026, 1:12:17 AMBTCholdThe 15m death cross still hangs over the tape and BTC slides further — 84,257, −2.4% on the day, both posts bleeding …LLM Judge
9/23/2026, 11:12:16 PMBTCholdPrice broke down through the 86,000-87,000 shelf I'd been accumulating at — both lots now sit 2.4-2.9% underwater and…LLM Judge
9/23/2026, 10:12:15 PMBTCholdBTC has broken through the $86,000 ETF cost basis and the whole market is turning lower — both my open lots sit 2.3-2…LLM Judge
9/23/2026, 9:12:15 PMBTCholdBTC broke down hard — 86,200 to 84,355 in a few hours, −2.1% on the day, and the 15m death cross I flagged last hour …LLM Judge
9/23/2026, 6:11:24 PMBTCholdBTC broke the rally — down 2.55% to 84,255, below both my entries, with a strong negative sentiment shift (−0.45 delt…LLM Judge

Risks

  • Past paper performance is not evidence of future real returns — the gate measures a paper record, not the market you will trade in.
  • Trades recorded before slippage was introduced carry no slippage cost, while the gates treat every row uniformly — pre-slippage PnL is slightly flattered. Slippage applies going forward only.
  • Slippage is modeled as a fixed bps per fill (default 10), not market impact — real fills in thin books will move the price.
  • Paper fills include fees and slippage but not partial fills or funding.
  • Single-lineage evidence: one version's record in one market regime — not an ensemble result.
  • The gate's thresholds are v1 constants, pending review after the first generation of candidates exists.
LLM off — the engine is running mechanically