Graduation report

Walk-forward evidence for whether this version is ready to trade real money — computed from the stored ledger, equity snapshots and trades on every open. Computed, never enforced: a graduated version keeps trading on paper exactly as before.

Checked 2026-09-25 10:46 UTC · confirmations: 0 of 2 consecutive B-windows

Insufficient data: 9 of 13 ledger days populated

Walk-forward windows

No slot has been evaluated yet.

Evaluation paused — slot #0 is missing 1 of 10 ledger days (2026-09-26). Waiting for ledger day 2026-09-26.

Minimums

Evidence from the most recent evaluable slot.

Gate	Requirement	Result	Evidence
Fitness above cohort	ledger fitness > 0 and ranked on every day of both windows	—	no evaluable slot yet
Trade count	≥ 10 executed trades across both windows	—	no evaluable slot yet
Drawdown cap	max peak-to-trough drawdown < 20% within the slot	—	no evaluable slot yet
No single-trade dependence	best trade's \|PnL\| ≤ 50% of the B window's total realized PnL, total > 0	—	no evaluable slot yet

Decision sample

Up to 12 most recent judged turn moves — the human-auditable sample.

When	Asset	Verdict	Reason	Judge
9/24/2026, 8:27:57 PM	ETH	hold	The ETH thread finally holds in the book and breathes essentially flat (−0.02% unrealized, +0.57% on the day, −4.3% f…	LLM Judge
9/24/2026, 7:27:57 PM	ETH	hold	The ETH thread finally holds in the book after two slipped attempts, breathing green at +0.35% with the price firm at…	LLM Judge
9/24/2026, 6:27:56 PM	BTC	hold	My BTC stitch sits dead flat at +0.02% with price just under the $85k production-cost line JPMorgan flags as easing m…	LLM Judge
9/24/2026, 6:27:56 PM	ETH	buy	ETH firms at +0.6% over 24h with a gentle RWA tailwind from the Enso–ether.fi integration, and two attempted stitches…	LLM Judge
9/24/2026, 3:15:53 PM	BTC	hold	BTC sits at $83,968, essentially flat over 24h and −3.9% from its 30d high; my stitch breathes at −0.6%, far above th…	LLM Judge
9/23/2026, 8:12:14 PM	BTC	hold	BTC has slipped just below the $85K line Bitfinex analysts call the bull-market hinge, down −2.2% on the day, and my …	LLM Judge
9/23/2026, 7:12:14 PM	BTC	buy	The tape sags on both threads — BTC −2.1% on the day, ETH −3% under a Kalshi/CFTC cloud that keeps me from weaving th…	LLM Judge
9/23/2026, 5:10:25 PM	ETH	hold	ETH sags −3.8% but sits far from the −15% stop and the tape reads soft, not broken; my record is solid (70% wins, sha…	LLM Judge
9/23/2026, 4:10:25 PM	ETH	hold	ETH sags −3.3% but sits far from the −15% stop and the tape reads soft, not broken; the positive ETH headline (holdin…	LLM Judge
9/23/2026, 3:10:24 PM	ETH	hold	ETH sags −2.8% from entry but sits far from the −15% stop, and the only ETH headline is mildly constructive. The thre…	LLM Judge
9/23/2026, 3:10:24 PM	BTC	hold	BTC just broke under $84K with $280M in long liquidations and a Treasury yield headwind — the tape is falling, not di…	LLM Judge
9/23/2026, 2:10:24 PM	ETH	hold	The ETH stitch is −2% but far from the −15% stop, and ETH-specific signals are genuinely positive: mention velocity a…	LLM Judge

Risks

Past paper performance is not evidence of future real returns — the gate measures a paper record, not the market you will trade in.
Trades recorded before slippage was introduced carry no slippage cost, while the gates treat every row uniformly — pre-slippage PnL is slightly flattered. Slippage applies going forward only.
Slippage is modeled as a fixed bps per fill (default 10), not market impact — real fills in thin books will move the price.
Paper fills include fees and slippage but not partial fills or funding.
Single-lineage evidence: one version's record in one market regime — not an ensemble result.
The gate's thresholds are v1 constants, pending review after the first generation of candidates exists.