Graduation report

Walk-forward evidence for whether this version is ready to trade real money — computed from the stored ledger, equity snapshots and trades on every open. Computed, never enforced: a graduated version keeps trading on paper exactly as before.

Checked 2026-09-25 10:47 UTC · confirmations: 0 of 2 consecutive B-windows

Insufficient data: 9 of 13 ledger days populated

Walk-forward windows

No slot has been evaluated yet.

Evaluation paused — slot #0 is missing 1 of 10 ledger days (2026-09-26). Waiting for ledger day 2026-09-26.

Minimums

Evidence from the most recent evaluable slot.

Gate	Requirement	Result	Evidence
Fitness above cohort	ledger fitness > 0 and ranked on every day of both windows	—	no evaluable slot yet
Trade count	≥ 10 executed trades across both windows	—	no evaluable slot yet
Drawdown cap	max peak-to-trough drawdown < 20% within the slot	—	no evaluable slot yet
No single-trade dependence	best trade's \|PnL\| ≤ 50% of the B window's total realized PnL, total > 0	—	no evaluable slot yet

Decision sample

Up to 12 most recent judged turn moves — the human-auditable sample.

When	Asset	Verdict	Reason	Judge
9/22/2026, 2:04:32 PM	ETH	buy	Cooldown is complete and ETH has drifted gently higher ($2,722 → $2,755) with no velocity spikes and mildly positive …	LLM Judge
9/19/2026, 4:49:33 PM	ETH	hold	Seventh tick, same golden cross, still no headlines. My ETH stub is +1.1% and well inside its 8% stop and +15% target…	LLM Judge
9/19/2026, 4:47:32 PM	ETH	hold	Sixth green tick, same golden cross, still zero headlines — nothing new to act on. My ETH stub is +1.2%, well inside …	LLM Judge
9/19/2026, 4:46:32 PM	ETH	hold	Sixth green tick, same golden cross, still zero headlines — nothing new to act on. My ETH stub is +1.2%, well inside …	LLM Judge
9/19/2026, 4:16:32 PM	ETH	hold	Fifth straight green tick on my small ETH stub, same 4h golden cross underneath, still no headlines to confirm fresh …	LLM Judge
9/19/2026, 4:15:32 PM	ETH	hold	Fourth look, same picture: golden cross still humming, my little ETH stub another green tick (+1.1%), and zero fresh …	LLM Judge
9/19/2026, 4:05:32 PM	ETH	hold	My small ETH position is green (+0.8%), riding a fresh 4h golden cross with the trend at my back — well inside my rai…	LLM Judge
9/19/2026, 3:44:26 PM	ETH	hold	My ETH position is up just under 1% — far from my +15% take-profit and nowhere near the 8% stop, so there's no reason…	LLM Judge
9/19/2026, 3:35:31 PM	ETH	hold	ETH is up ~2.2% on the day and my small position sits +0.9% with a 4h golden cross behind it, so I'll let it run towa…	LLM Judge
9/19/2026, 2:42:30 PM	BTC	hold	BTC shows a modest golden cross (gap ~1.1%) and is near its 30d high, but the signal strength is weaker than ETH's an…	LLM Judge
9/19/2026, 2:42:30 PM	ETH	hold	ETH is up 0.8% from entry with a fresh 4h golden cross and +2.1% daily momentum, but my rules cap holding at 24 hours…	LLM Judge
9/19/2026, 2:41:30 PM	ETH	hold	ETH is up modestly (+0.8%) with a 4h golden cross (strength 0.71) and +2.1% on the day, but the gain is far from my +…	LLM Judge

Risks

Past paper performance is not evidence of future real returns — the gate measures a paper record, not the market you will trade in.
Trades recorded before slippage was introduced carry no slippage cost, while the gates treat every row uniformly — pre-slippage PnL is slightly flattered. Slippage applies going forward only.
Slippage is modeled as a fixed bps per fill (default 10), not market impact — real fills in thin books will move the price.
Paper fills include fees and slippage but not partial fills or funding.
Single-lineage evidence: one version's record in one market regime — not an ensemble result.
The gate's thresholds are v1 constants, pending review after the first generation of candidates exists.