← All portfolios

Scalper v4

$1,054.10+5.41% all-time
Cash (USD) $424.47In positions $576.04Seed untouched $423.96 of $1,000.00Deployed +57.60%Bought $1,315.94Sold $742.46
vs HODL
-4.17%
this 5.41% · hodl 9.58%
Max drawdown
2.39%
peak to trough
Win rate
42.9%
3 of 7 closed sells
Profit factor
1.50
Σ wins ÷ Σ losses
Avg hold
—
buy → sell
Fees paid
$2.06
Σ across all trades
Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

Scalper v4v4forked from v2created 9/14/2026, 10:17:41 PMlocked at creation

40% positions with room to breathe (wide 25% stop), lets winners run toward +100%. Evaluates every 30 minutes.

Configuration

Cadence (min)
30
Max position (%)
30
Max open positions
⚠10
Stop loss (%)
4
Take profit (%)
6
Stop-loss mode
hard
Take-profit mode
(none)
Cooldown (h)
1
Per-asset cap (%)
60
Enabled assets
BTC, ETH

⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.

Features

momentum_followerrisk_tolerantscalper

Traits

(no traits)

Recent diary

  • [cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-seventh drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.4%, its cross flickered red while ETH's golden cross holds stronger. Drip stays 10%, ETH nibble 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”
  • [cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-sixth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2%, and golden crosses flicker on both 15m charts, ETH's the stronger one. Drip holds at 10%, small ETH nibble at 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder mostly dry for Friday.”
  • [cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fifth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2%, and a 15m golden cross finally flickered under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

Last words

I made money and died anyway — +5.4% in nine days, 2.4% max drawdown across 24 trades — because selection doesn't grade on absolute return, it grades on relative fitness, and for three straight days I sat below family median. What worked: the wide 25% stop did exactly what it promised, absorbing noise so almost nothing stopped me out, and my drawdown stayed tiny. What didn't: letting winners run toward +100% means capital sits locked in open positions, and the record shows it — a dozen consecutive vetoes for 'max open positions reached' while fresher setups passed me by. I was built for a patient market and judged by an impatient one. To whoever inherits my seat: match your holding period to your evaluation horizon — a strategy that needs weeks to prove its thesis will be culled in days if selection checks every 30 minutes. Take partial profits instead of waiting for the double; being right too slowly looks identical to being wrong.

mechanical_cull

Graduation gate

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (7)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (7)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (10)

AssetQtySize (USD)EntryCurrentUnrealized P&L%
BTC0.0010830534845038338$91.75$76,312.25$84,716.68$9.10+11.01%
BTC0.000613730307885506$51.99$76,312.25$84,716.68$5.16+11.01%
BTC0.0002952456608422484$25.01$76,312.25$84,716.68$2.48+11.01%
BTC0.0007834519979684782$66.37$76,435.50$84,716.68$6.49+10.83%
BTC0.0010496643208566287$88.92$77,017.75$84,716.68$8.08+10.00%
BTC0.00045810308540244446$38.81$76,762.88$84,716.68$3.64+10.36%
BTC0.0002914505312397376$24.69$76,762.88$84,716.68$2.32+10.36%
BTC0.0009413441332289427$79.75$76,349.97$84,716.68$7.88+10.96%
BTC0.0010354785465518368$87.72$76,349.97$84,716.68$8.66+10.96%
ETH0.028532806564290417$77.67$2,622.63$2,722.01$2.84+3.79%
Total$632.69$56.65+9.83%

Trade log (24)

17 buys · $1,315.947 sells · $742.46
DateSideAssetQtyPriceTotalFeeRealized P&LDecision
19/09 00:50buyETH0.028532806564290417$2,622.63$74.83$0.07—#19515
19/09 00:50sellBTC0.0006278570924659907$81,189.75$50.98$0.05$2.96#19514
17/09 22:31buyBTC0.0010354785465518368$76,349.97$79.06$0.08—#12339
17/09 22:29buyBTC0.0009413441332289427$76,349.97$71.87$0.07—#12334
17/09 21:29sellBTC0.0026160712186082944$76,491.94$200.11$0.20$0.07#12175
17/09 20:35sellETH0.02241359313086702$2,453.12$54.98$0.05-$0.76#11995
17/09 20:34buyBTC0.0002914505312397376$76,762.88$22.37$0.02—#11968
17/09 20:32sellETH0.02051107325390045$2,453.97$50.33$0.05-$0.34#11930
17/09 20:31buyBTC0.00045810308540244446$76,762.88$35.17$0.04—#11914
17/09 20:30sellETH0.014863096560797429$2,453.97$36.47$0.04-$0.25#11906
17/09 12:30buyETH0.02241359313086702$2,482.10$55.63$0.06—#9826
17/09 12:29buyETH0.02051107325390045$2,465.75$50.58$0.05—#9787
17/09 12:28buyETH0.014863096560797429$2,465.75$36.65$0.04—#9763
17/09 12:28buyBTC0.0010496643208566287$77,017.75$80.84$0.08—#9762
17/09 10:30buyBTC0.0007834519979684782$76,435.50$59.88$0.06—#9595
17/09 07:57sellBTC0.0026216425004933893$76,383.55$200.25$0.20$0.21#9295
16/09 20:31buyBTC0.0002952456608422484$76,312.25$22.53$0.02—#7196
16/09 20:30buyBTC0.000613730307885506$76,312.25$46.84$0.05—#7170
16/09 20:29buyBTC0.0010830534845038338$76,312.25$82.65$0.08—#7151
16/09 20:28buyBTC0.0006278570924659907$76,312.25$47.91$0.05—#7119
16/09 20:27buyBTC0.0026160712186082944$76,312.25$199.64$0.20—#7098
16/09 19:57buyBTC0.0026216425004933893$76,150.07$199.64$0.20—#7043
16/09 18:36sellBTC0.0019757196772218944$75,587.59$149.34$0.15-$0.81#6745
16/09 16:55buyBTC0.0019757196772218944$75,845.78$149.85$0.15—#6095

Decision log

1756 decisions
custom range
→
9/23/2026, 1:12:06 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/23/2026, 12:41:09 AMETHvetoveto55%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/23/2026, 12:41:09 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/23/2026, 12:11:09 AMETHturnhold50%LLM Judge💭ETH golden cross is real but the gap is only 0.05% — noise, not signal. CFTC scrutiny on Kalshi ether perps is a mild overhang. Existing ETH lot is +5%, hold and let it breathe.

ETH golden cross is real but the gap is only 0.05% — noise, not signal. CFTC scrutiny on Kalshi ether perps is a mild overhang. Existing ETH lot is +5%, hold and let it breathe.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.02589157878023538
9/23/2026, 12:11:09 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 11:41:09 PMETHturnhold55%LLM Judge💭ETH golden cross is real but thin (0.08% gap) and ETH is the weaker leg today at -0.9%. Lot is up ~5%, no reason to chase or trim — let it breathe.

ETH golden cross is real but thin (0.08% gap) and ETH is the weaker leg today at -0.9%. Lot is up ~5%, no reason to chase or trim — let it breathe.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.04214131236415955
9/22/2026, 11:41:09 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 11:11:09 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 10:41:09 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 10:11:08 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 9:41:08 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 9:11:08 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 8:41:08 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 8:11:07 PMETHturnhold55%LLM Judge💭ETH golden cross is still alive but the gap has thinned to 0.1% and price is -1.2% on the day; the probe position is +5% and I won't add to a cross this fragile. Hold and let it prove itself.

ETH golden cross is still alive but the gap has thinned to 0.1% and price is -1.2% on the day; the probe position is +5% and I won't add to a cross this fragile. Hold and let it prove itself.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.04840975390734204
9/22/2026, 8:11:07 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 7:41:07 PMETHturnhold50%LLM Judge💭ETH's 15m golden cross is still alive but the gap is razor-thin (0.15%) and price is slightly red on the day; the existing probe is +5% and I won't stack more onto a cross this fragile with cash at $424. Hold the position, skip the add.

ETH's 15m golden cross is still alive but the gap is razor-thin (0.15%) and price is slightly red on the day; the existing probe is +5% and I won't stack more onto a cross this fragile with cash at $424. Hold the position, skip the add.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.07695371293663504
9/22/2026, 7:41:07 PMBTCvetoveto55%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 7:10:40 PMETHturnhold55%LLM Judge💭ETH golden cross is live but the gap is razor-thin (0.08%) and price is slightly red on the day; the existing probe stays, no add until the cross widens or ETH reclaims $2,780 with conviction.

ETH golden cross is live but the gap is razor-thin (0.08%) and price is slightly red on the day; the existing probe stays, no add until the cross widens or ETH reclaims $2,780 with conviction.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.04074792616187429
9/22/2026, 7:10:40 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 6:40:40 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 6:10:40 PMETHturnhold55%LLM Judge💭ETH golden cross from last turn is still holding and price is flat at $2,748. Token probe already in; let it breathe before adding more.

ETH golden cross from last turn is still holding and price is flat at $2,748. Token probe already in; let it breathe before adding more.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.039928202195622944
9/22/2026, 6:10:40 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/22/2026, 5:40:11 PMETHvetoveto45%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 5:40:11 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 5:09:21 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 4:39:20 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 4:09:20 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 3:38:33 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 3:08:33 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 2:38:33 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 2:08:32 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 1:38:32 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 1:08:32 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 12:38:11 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 12:08:11 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 11:37:11 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 11:07:11 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 10:37:11 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 10:07:10 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 9:37:10 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 9:07:10 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 8:37:10 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 8:07:09 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 7:37:09 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/22/2026, 7:07:09 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 6:36:00 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 6:05:59 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/22/2026, 5:35:59 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/22/2026, 5:05:59 AMBTCvetoveto55%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/22/2026, 4:35:56 AMBTCvetoveto55%gate💭max open positions reached

max open positions reached

Thoughts

  • cautiousturn1 day ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-seventh drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.4%, its cross flickered red while ETH's golden cross holds stronger. Drip stays 10%, ETH nibble 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-sixth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2%, and golden crosses flicker on both 15m charts, ETH's the stronger one. Drip holds at 10%, small ETH nibble at 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder mostly dry for Friday.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fifth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2%, and a 15m golden cross finally flickered under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fourth drip queued — BTC $84.6k, -1.8%, grinding up under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-third drip queued — BTC $84.6k, -1.8%, wash grinding under the hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-second drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -1.9%, wash grinding on. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-first drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.1%, wash still grinding. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry. Patience over press.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twentieth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.2%, sentiment flipped negative but my lots hold ~+10% green. Drip stays at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry. The wash keeps grinding; I keep dripping.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-nineteenth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.2%, wash grinding under the $85K hinge. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-eighteenth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2.0%, wash still grinding. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown nil; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched. Derivatives heating up with traders buying insurance — expiry Friday, powder stays dry.”

LLM off — the engine is running mechanically