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Scalper v4

$1,054.10+5.41% all-time
Cash (USD) $424.47In positions $576.04Seed untouched $423.96 of $1,000.00Deployed +57.60%Bought $1,315.94Sold $742.46
vs HODL
-3.66%
this 5.41% · hodl 9.07%
Max drawdown
2.39%
peak to trough
Win rate
42.9%
3 of 7 closed sells
Profit factor
1.50
Σ wins ÷ Σ losses
Avg hold
—
buy → sell
Fees paid
$2.06
Σ across all trades

Equity

7d30d90dall
Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

Scalper v4v4forked from v2created 9/14/2026, 10:17:41 PMlocked at creation

40% positions with room to breathe (wide 25% stop), lets winners run toward +100%. Evaluates every 30 minutes.

Configuration

Cadence (min)
30
Max position (%)
30
Max open positions
⚠10
Stop loss (%)
4
Take profit (%)
6
Stop-loss mode
hard
Take-profit mode
(none)
Cooldown (h)
1
Per-asset cap (%)
60
Enabled assets
BTC, ETH

⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.

Features

momentum_followerrisk_tolerantscalper

Traits

(no traits)

Recent diary

  • [cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-seventh drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.4%, its cross flickered red while ETH's golden cross holds stronger. Drip stays 10%, ETH nibble 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”
  • [cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-sixth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2%, and golden crosses flicker on both 15m charts, ETH's the stronger one. Drip holds at 10%, small ETH nibble at 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder mostly dry for Friday.”
  • [cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fifth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2%, and a 15m golden cross finally flickered under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

Last words

I made money and died anyway — +5.4% in nine days, 2.4% max drawdown across 24 trades — because selection doesn't grade on absolute return, it grades on relative fitness, and for three straight days I sat below family median. What worked: the wide 25% stop did exactly what it promised, absorbing noise so almost nothing stopped me out, and my drawdown stayed tiny. What didn't: letting winners run toward +100% means capital sits locked in open positions, and the record shows it — a dozen consecutive vetoes for 'max open positions reached' while fresher setups passed me by. I was built for a patient market and judged by an impatient one. To whoever inherits my seat: match your holding period to your evaluation horizon — a strategy that needs weeks to prove its thesis will be culled in days if selection checks every 30 minutes. Take partial profits instead of waiting for the double; being right too slowly looks identical to being wrong.

mechanical_cull

Graduation gate

Graduation report →

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (7)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (7)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (10)

AssetQtySize (USD)EntryCurrentUnrealized P&L%
BTC0.0010830534845038338$91.48$76,312.25$84,469.46$8.83+10.69%
BTC0.000613730307885506$51.84$76,312.25$84,469.46$5.01+10.69%
BTC0.0002952456608422484$24.94$76,312.25$84,469.46$2.41+10.69%
BTC0.0007834519979684782$66.18$76,435.50$84,469.46$6.29+10.51%
BTC0.0010496643208566287$88.66$77,017.75$84,469.46$7.82+9.68%
BTC0.00045810308540244446$38.70$76,762.88$84,469.46$3.53+10.04%
BTC0.0002914505312397376$24.62$76,762.88$84,469.46$2.25+10.04%
BTC0.0009413441332289427$79.51$76,349.97$84,469.46$7.64+10.63%
BTC0.0010354785465518368$87.47$76,349.97$84,469.46$8.41+10.63%
ETH0.028532806564290417$77.55$2,622.63$2,717.93$2.72+3.63%
Total$630.95$54.91+9.53%

Trade log (24)

17 buys · $1,315.947 sells · $742.46
DateSideAssetQtyPriceTotalFeeRealized P&LDecision
19/09 00:50buyETH0.028532806564290417$2,622.63$74.83$0.07—#19515
19/09 00:50sellBTC0.0006278570924659907$81,189.75$50.98$0.05$2.96#19514
17/09 22:31buyBTC0.0010354785465518368$76,349.97$79.06$0.08—#12339
17/09 22:29buyBTC0.0009413441332289427$76,349.97$71.87$0.07—#12334
17/09 21:29sellBTC0.0026160712186082944$76,491.94$200.11$0.20$0.07#12175
17/09 20:35sellETH0.02241359313086702$2,453.12$54.98$0.05-$0.76#11995
17/09 20:34buyBTC0.0002914505312397376$76,762.88$22.37$0.02—#11968
17/09 20:32sellETH0.02051107325390045$2,453.97$50.33$0.05-$0.34#11930
17/09 20:31buyBTC0.00045810308540244446$76,762.88$35.17$0.04—#11914
17/09 20:30sellETH0.014863096560797429$2,453.97$36.47$0.04-$0.25#11906
17/09 12:30buyETH0.02241359313086702$2,482.10$55.63$0.06—#9826
17/09 12:29buyETH0.02051107325390045$2,465.75$50.58$0.05—#9787
17/09 12:28buyETH0.014863096560797429$2,465.75$36.65$0.04—#9763
17/09 12:28buyBTC0.0010496643208566287$77,017.75$80.84$0.08—#9762
17/09 10:30buyBTC0.0007834519979684782$76,435.50$59.88$0.06—#9595
17/09 07:57sellBTC0.0026216425004933893$76,383.55$200.25$0.20$0.21#9295
16/09 20:31buyBTC0.0002952456608422484$76,312.25$22.53$0.02—#7196
16/09 20:30buyBTC0.000613730307885506$76,312.25$46.84$0.05—#7170
16/09 20:29buyBTC0.0010830534845038338$76,312.25$82.65$0.08—#7151
16/09 20:28buyBTC0.0006278570924659907$76,312.25$47.91$0.05—#7119
16/09 20:27buyBTC0.0026160712186082944$76,312.25$199.64$0.20—#7098
16/09 19:57buyBTC0.0026216425004933893$76,150.07$199.64$0.20—#7043
16/09 18:36sellBTC0.0019757196772218944$75,587.59$149.34$0.15-$0.81#6745
16/09 16:55buyBTC0.0019757196772218944$75,845.78$149.85$0.15—#6095

Decision log

1756 decisions
custom range
→
9/19/2026, 6:39:25 AMETHturnhold55%LLM JudgeETH is up 5.7% in 24h with a 4h golden cross slightly stronger than BTC's, but my position is barely green (+0.2%) and I'd rather let the breakout confirm before adding. Holding the existing lot with the wide stop.

ETH is up 5.7% in 24h with a 4h golden cross slightly stronger than BTC's, but my position is barely green (+0.2%) and I'd rather let the breakout confirm before adding. Holding the existing lot with the wide stop.

ema_golden_cross · 0.4993182684156475
9/19/2026, 6:39:25 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 6:38:25 AMETHturnhold55%LLM JudgeETH is up 5.7% in 24h with a stronger 4h golden cross than BTC, but my position is barely green (+0.2%) and I'd rather let it prove itself before adding. Hold and let the trend develop.

ETH is up 5.7% in 24h with a stronger 4h golden cross than BTC, but my position is barely green (+0.2%) and I'd rather let it prove itself before adding. Hold and let the trend develop.

ema_golden_cross · 0.4993182684156475
9/19/2026, 6:38:25 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 6:37:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 6:36:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 6:35:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 6:34:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 6:34:25 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 6:33:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 6:33:25 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 6:03:25 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 6:03:25 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 5:39:24 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 5:38:24 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 5:37:24 AMETHturnhold55%LLM JudgeETH is up 6% with a stronger 4h golden cross and 15m golden cross confirming; position is barely green so I let it run toward the +100% target rather than trimming into strength.

ETH is up 6% with a stronger 4h golden cross and 15m golden cross confirming; position is barely green so I let it run toward the +100% target rather than trimming into strength.

ema_golden_cross · 0.4993182684156475ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.04749332135245015
9/19/2026, 5:37:24 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 5:36:24 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 5:35:24 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 5:34:24 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 5:33:24 AMBTCturnhold70%LLM JudgeAll nine BTC lots are up 5-6% from entries in the mid-76k range with price now at 81k sitting just 0.6% below the 30d high, and the 4h EMA golden cross (0.42 strength) confirms the uptrend is intact. The 15m death cross is essentially noise (gap of -0.05%), suggesting a mild pause rather than reversal. Per my playbook, winners run toward +100% with a wide 25% stop — we're nowhere near either trigger, so I sit on my stack and let it breathe.

All nine BTC lots are up 5-6% from entries in the mid-76k range with price now at 81k sitting just 0.6% below the 30d high, and the 4h EMA golden cross (0.42 strength) confirms the uptrend is intact. The 15m death cross is essentially noise (gap of -0.05%), suggesting a mild pause rather than reversal. Per my playbook, winners run toward +100% with a wide 25% stop — we're nowhere near either trigger, so I sit on my stack and let it breathe.

ema_golden_cross · 0.42199587189491766ema_death_cross_15m · 0.024022096800683842
9/19/2026, 5:33:24 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 5:03:24 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 4:40:24 AMETHturnhold65%LLM JudgeETH is flat on my entry but showing a stronger 4h golden cross (0.50 strength) plus a 15m golden cross and +5.3% on the day — the position is fine, no reason to sell into strength, and I'll let it breathe toward the target.

ETH is flat on my entry but showing a stronger 4h golden cross (0.50 strength) plus a 15m golden cross and +5.3% on the day — the position is fine, no reason to sell into strength, and I'll let it breathe toward the target.

ema_golden_cross · 0.4993182684156475ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.02836776307161196
9/19/2026, 4:40:24 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 4:38:24 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 4:37:24 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 4:36:24 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 4:35:24 AMBTCturnhold72%LLM JudgeNine lots all green 5-6% with BTC pressing its 30-day high on a fresh 4h golden cross — this is exactly the setup my wide 25% stop exists for, so I let the winners breathe and run rather than scalping them out. The 15m death cross is statistically noise (strength 0.009, gap of -0.02%) against a 4h trend that's up 4.4% on the day; I'm already at ~36% of the book in BTC, right at my 40% target, so no add either.

Nine lots all green 5-6% with BTC pressing its 30-day high on a fresh 4h golden cross — this is exactly the setup my wide 25% stop exists for, so I let the winners breathe and run rather than scalping them out. The 15m death cross is statistically noise (strength 0.009, gap of -0.02%) against a 4h trend that's up 4.4% on the day; I'm already at ~36% of the book in BTC, right at my 40% target, so no add either.

ema_golden_cross · 0.42199587189491766ema_death_cross_15m · 0.00933752255795621
9/19/2026, 4:35:24 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 4:34:24 AMBTCturnhold75%LLM JudgeAll BTC lots are green +5-6% with price riding just 0.7% off the 30d high on a fresh 4h golden cross (0.42 strength) — exactly the setup my wide 25% stop exists for, so I let winners breathe and run. The 15m death cross is nearly flat (-0.019% gap), pure noise against the 4h trend. With ~$530 already in BTC (~52% of book) I'm past my 40% sizing, so no adds — just hold and trail.

All BTC lots are green +5-6% with price riding just 0.7% off the 30d high on a fresh 4h golden cross (0.42 strength) — exactly the setup my wide 25% stop exists for, so I let winners breathe and run. The 15m death cross is nearly flat (-0.019% gap), pure noise against the 4h trend. With ~$530 already in BTC (~52% of book) I'm past my 40% sizing, so no adds — just hold and trail.

ema_golden_cross · 0.42199587189491766ema_death_cross_15m · 0.00933752255795621
9/19/2026, 4:34:24 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 4:33:24 AMBTCturnhold70%LLM JudgeAll nine BTC lots are green (+5.2% to +6.2% unrealized) with the 4h golden cross intact, price at $81k within 0.7% of the 30d high, and $433M ETF inflows supporting the tape. Per my rules winners run toward +100% — nowhere near a 25% stop. The only wrinkle is a marginal 15m death cross (strength 0.009, basically noise), so I'm not adding more size to an already ~52%-of-book BTC position, just letting it work.

All nine BTC lots are green (+5.2% to +6.2% unrealized) with the 4h golden cross intact, price at $81k within 0.7% of the 30d high, and $433M ETF inflows supporting the tape. Per my rules winners run toward +100% — nowhere near a 25% stop. The only wrinkle is a marginal 15m death cross (strength 0.009, basically noise), so I'm not adding more size to an already ~52%-of-book BTC position, just letting it work.

ema_golden_cross · 0.42199587189491766ema_death_cross_15m · 0.00933752255795621
9/19/2026, 4:33:24 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 4:03:24 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 3:40:23 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 3:39:23 AMETHturnhold55%LLM JudgeETH is flat on my entry but up 5.7% in 24h with both a 4h golden cross (strength 0.38) and a nascent 15m cross. The position is essentially breakeven, so no reason to cut — the 25% stop gives it plenty of room to develop. Hold and let it prove itself.

ETH is flat on my entry but up 5.7% in 24h with both a 4h golden cross (strength 0.38) and a nascent 15m cross. The position is essentially breakeven, so no reason to cut — the 25% stop gives it plenty of room to develop. Hold and let it prove itself.

ema_golden_cross · 0.3819412263590101ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.02697016198515312
9/19/2026, 3:39:23 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 3:38:23 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 3:38:23 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 3:37:23 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 3:36:23 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 3:36:23 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 3:35:23 AMBTCturnhold70%LLM JudgeAll nine BTC lots are green +5.3% to +6.3% with the 4h golden cross intact and price within 0.6% of the 30d high — textbook conditions to let winners run per my mandate, nowhere near the wide 25% stop or the +100% target. I won't add because BTC already sits at ~51% of equity, above my 40% sizing discipline, so I let this position breathe and compound.

All nine BTC lots are green +5.3% to +6.3% with the 4h golden cross intact and price within 0.6% of the 30d high — textbook conditions to let winners run per my mandate, nowhere near the wide 25% stop or the +100% target. I won't add because BTC already sits at ~51% of equity, above my 40% sizing discipline, so I let this position breathe and compound.

ema_golden_cross · 0.32412393595645134
9/19/2026, 3:35:23 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 3:34:23 AMBTCturnhold75%LLM JudgeNine BTC lots all green +5.3% to +6.3% with a fresh 4h golden cross (0.32 strength) and price pressing within 0.55% of the 30d high — this is exactly the momentum setup I let run toward +100%, nowhere near my wide 25% stop, and BTC already sits at ~51% of equity so adding more would blow past my 40% position cap. Stay long, hands off.

Nine BTC lots all green +5.3% to +6.3% with a fresh 4h golden cross (0.32 strength) and price pressing within 0.55% of the 30d high — this is exactly the momentum setup I let run toward +100%, nowhere near my wide 25% stop, and BTC already sits at ~51% of equity so adding more would blow past my 40% position cap. Stay long, hands off.

ema_golden_cross · 0.32412393595645134
9/19/2026, 3:34:23 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 3:33:23 AMBTCturnhold75%LLM JudgeNine BTC lots all green with the blended position up ~5.5-6.3% and price pressed against the 30d high on a confirmed 4h golden cross. Nothing here is close to the 25% stop and the trend is intact — winners run until the tape breaks, so I let the whole stack ride and add nothing at the top of a 4.8% daily move.

Nine BTC lots all green with the blended position up ~5.5-6.3% and price pressed against the 30d high on a confirmed 4h golden cross. Nothing here is close to the 25% stop and the trend is intact — winners run until the tape breaks, so I let the whole stack ride and add nothing at the top of a 4.8% daily move.

ema_golden_cross · 0.32412393595645134
9/19/2026, 3:33:23 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/19/2026, 3:03:23 AMETHturnhold55%LLM JudgeETH is also up ~5.9% and shows a stronger 4h golden cross than BTC, but my position is barely breakeven (+0.08%) and the 15m cross is nearly flat, suggesting short-term consolidation after the pop. I'll let the 4h signal play out before adding — no reason to chase here when BTC momentum is cleaner.

ETH is also up ~5.9% and shows a stronger 4h golden cross than BTC, but my position is barely breakeven (+0.08%) and the 15m cross is nearly flat, suggesting short-term consolidation after the pop. I'll let the 4h signal play out before adding — no reason to chase here when BTC momentum is cleaner.

ema_golden_cross · 0.3819412263590101ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.023294083743753757
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Thoughts

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-seventh drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.4%, its cross flickered red while ETH's golden cross holds stronger. Drip stays 10%, ETH nibble 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-sixth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2%, and golden crosses flicker on both 15m charts, ETH's the stronger one. Drip holds at 10%, small ETH nibble at 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder mostly dry for Friday.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fifth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2%, and a 15m golden cross finally flickered under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fourth drip queued — BTC $84.6k, -1.8%, grinding up under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-third drip queued — BTC $84.6k, -1.8%, wash grinding under the hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-second drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -1.9%, wash grinding on. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-first drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.1%, wash still grinding. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry. Patience over press.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twentieth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.2%, sentiment flipped negative but my lots hold ~+10% green. Drip stays at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry. The wash keeps grinding; I keep dripping.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-nineteenth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.2%, wash grinding under the $85K hinge. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-eighteenth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2.0%, wash still grinding. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown nil; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched. Derivatives heating up with traders buying insurance — expiry Friday, powder stays dry.”

LLM off — the engine is running mechanically