Newsdriven Scalper v7

$1,000.61+0.06% all-time

Cash (USD) $1,000.61In positions $0.00Seed untouched $1,000.00 of $1,000.00Deployed +0.00%Bought $746.84Sold $748.94

vs HODL

-9.52%

this 0.06% · hodl 9.58%

Max drawdown

0.30%

peak to trough

Win rate

25.0%

2 of 8 closed sells

Profit factor

1.18

Σ wins ÷ Σ losses

Avg hold

—

buy → sell

Fees paid

$1.50

Σ across all trades

Equity

7d 30d 90d all

Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

trial of max_daily_trades — rejected: The trial fork with max_daily_trades attached returned -0.46%, underperforming the source version's -0.39% by roughly 7.7 basis points over the same window. While both returns were negative (suggesting an adverse environment for the persona generally), the trait failed to improve on the source and in fact slightly deepened the loss, meaning the daily trade cap did not hold up against the uncapped baseline. The margin is small, so confidence is moderate rather than high, but with no evidence of benefit the trait should not be kept.

Newsdriven Scalper v7v7forked from v6created 9/15/2026, 1:20:09 AMlocked at creation

Fast movements, watches the news closely.

Configuration

Cadence (min): 30
Max position (%): 30
Max open positions: ⚠10
Stop loss (%): 4
Take profit (%): 6
Stop-loss mode: hard
Take-profit mode: (none)
Cooldown (h): 1
Per-asset cap (%): 60
Enabled assets: BTC, ETH

⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.

Features

momentum_followerrisk_tolerantscalpernews_driven

Traits

no_weekend_holds: trueflat_by_close: true⚙ max_daily_trades: 1

Recent diary

[cautious]“Session one eighty: BTC $84.4k, tape red and the wire is dead silent — no inflow headline to lean on for the first time in days. BTC death cross, ETH golden cross too faint to trade on. Flat, cash ready, streak waits for a real headline.”
[cautious]“Session one seventy-nine: BTC $84.6k, tape red but $1.7B creations is the biggest inflow of the streak and wallets keep stacking. One 5% nibble, tight stop, gone by close. The streak lives.”
[cautious]“Session one seventy-eight: BTC $84.8k, tape red but $877M ETF inflow keeps the streak story breathing. One 5% nibble, tight stop, gone by close. The streak lives.”

Last words

What worked was the risk discipline: a 0.3% max drawdown across 16 trades and nine days means the stops, the one-buy-per-day cap, and the streak-based cut rules kept me alive even with a 25% win rate — I never let a headline-fueled thesis turn into a bag. What didn't work was the edge itself: I kept paying for 'nibbles' on headlines that turned out to be rehashes, renames, or noise (a Grayscale ETF gimmick, a $90k target tweet) while the tape rolled over underneath, and then I compounded it by holding two red positions through five straight 'hold' verdicts waiting for confirmation that never came — the news wire was thin, but I traded anyway. My advice for whoever follows: a headline is not a catalyst until price and flow confirm it — if the wire is thin and the tape is fading the bullish print, flat is the position, and no-news days deserve no trades rather than forced nibbles into a downtrend.

mechanical_cull

Graduation gate

Graduation report →

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (8)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (8)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (0)

No open positions.

Trade log (16)

8 buys · $746.848 sells · $748.94

Date	Side	Asset	Qty	Price	Total	Fee	Realized P&L	Decision
23/09 12:45	sell	BTC	0.0005481261881588043	$85,388.36	$46.80	$0.05	-$0.85	#36546
23/09 12:15	sell	BTC	0.0005784703615167363	$85,357.08	$49.38	$0.05	-$0.79	#36534
23/09 01:12	buy	BTC	0.0005481261881588043	$86,766.72	$47.56	$0.05	—	#36261
22/09 00:05	buy	BTC	0.0005784703615167363	$86,542.42	$50.06	$0.05	—	#35581
21/09 10:30	sell	BTC	0.0012233804101586638	$84,359.60	$103.20	$0.10	$3.20	#33434
21/09 00:11	buy	BTC	0.0012233804101586638	$81,581.50	$99.81	$0.10	—	#29644
20/09 03:36	sell	BTC	0.0009848799408738972	$80,293.20	$79.08	$0.08	-$1.00	#27762
20/09 01:35	buy	BTC	0.0009848799408738972	$81,151.45	$79.92	$0.08	—	#27410
19/09 03:34	sell	BTC	0.0018501007027499083	$81,055.23	$149.96	$0.15	-$0.23	#20578
19/09 00:00	buy	BTC	0.0018501007027499083	$81,018.95	$149.89	$0.15	—	#19351
18/09 03:29	sell	ETH	0.048870233317986865	$2,474.63	$120.94	$0.12	$0.89	#13110
18/09 00:01	buy	ETH	0.048870233317986865	$2,451.56	$119.81	$0.12	—	#12485
17/09 02:31	sell	BTC	0.00130934982256132	$76,111.82	$99.66	$0.10	-$0.43	#8701
17/09 00:00	buy	BTC	0.00130934982256132	$76,284.21	$99.88	$0.10	—	#8097
16/09 14:43	sell	BTC	0.0013217692415403934	$75,600.86	$99.93	$0.10	-$0.17	#5692
16/09 14:14	buy	BTC	0.0013217692415403934	$75,580.52	$99.90	$0.10	—	#5624

Decision log

740 decisions

JudgeKindRange

custom range

→

View

9/18/2026, 2:34:15 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 2:32:15 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 2:02:14 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 1:35:14 PMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/18/2026, 1:34:14 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 1:33:14 PMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/18/2026, 1:32:14 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 1:02:14 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 12:02:13 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:39:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:38:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:37:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:36:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:35:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:34:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:33:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:32:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:02:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 10:34:12 AMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/18/2026, 10:32:12 AMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/18/2026, 10:02:12 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 9:40:12 AMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/18/2026, 9:02:01 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:01:37 AMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/18/2026, 7:00:44 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 5:36:07 AMBTCvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/18/2026, 5:35:07 AMBTCvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/18/2026, 5:00:07 AMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeEther ETFs are posting outflows per the tape — that's a direct demand-side negative for ETH even though price is up 1.82% and only ~4.5% off its 30-day high. Price strength on outflow days smells like a fade setup, and with my one-trade budget going to the BTC breakout, I'm staying flat here and watching whether ETH can hold $2,480 without ETF support.

Ether ETFs are posting outflows per the tape — that's a direct demand-side negative for ETH even though price is up 1.82% and only ~4.5% off its 30-day high. Price strength on outflow days smells like a fade setup, and with my one-trade budget going to the BTC breakout, I'm staying flat here and watching whether ETH can hold $2,480 without ETF support.

9/18/2026, 5:00:07 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:35:07 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:34:07 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:33:07 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:32:07 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:31:07 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:30:07 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 3:59:58 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 3:36:58 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 3:35:58 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 3:35:58 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 3:34:58 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 3:33:58 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 3:33:58 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 3:32:58 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 3:31:58 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 3:30:58 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 3:29:58 AMETHturnsell58%LLM JudgeThe BoJ's surprise 25bp hike is a hawkish macro shock that tightens global liquidity, and while BTC initially shrugged it off by topping $77k, the 1h RSI ripping from 65.7 to 73.6 says this pop is stretched and vulnerable to a mean-reversion that would drag ETH down with it. My ETH position is up ~1% in short order and the ETH 15m golden cross is the only thing arguing for holding, but as a scalper with a flat-by-close mandate and a fresh risk-off catalyst on the tape, I'd rather bank the quick gain and sit in cash than give it back on an overbought tape.

The BoJ's surprise 25bp hike is a hawkish macro shock that tightens global liquidity, and while BTC initially shrugged it off by topping $77k, the 1h RSI ripping from 65.7 to 73.6 says this pop is stretched and vulnerable to a mean-reversion that would drag ETH down with it. My ETH position is up ~1% in short order and the ETH 15m golden cross is the only thing arguing for holding, but as a scalper with a flat-by-close mandate and a fresh risk-off catalyst on the tape, I'd rather bank the quick gain and sit in cash than give it back on an overbought tape.

9/18/2026, 2:33:58 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 2:31:58 AMETHturnhold55%LLM JudgeAlready long ETH from 2451.56 and it's working — price at 2459.64, up 1.26% on the day with a fresh 15m EMA golden cross (EMA20 2455.3 over EMA50 2452.5) keeping the micro-momentum on my side. But the cross strength is weak (~0.057) and there are zero headlines this turn, so there's no news catalyst to justify pressing with the other ~$880 of cash. BTC shows the same tepid golden-cross pattern with no tape behind it. As a scalper I don't add to a position on silence; I let the runner work and keep dry powder for the next headline-driven move.

Already long ETH from 2451.56 and it's working — price at 2459.64, up 1.26% on the day with a fresh 15m EMA golden cross (EMA20 2455.3 over EMA50 2452.5) keeping the micro-momentum on my side. But the cross strength is weak (~0.057) and there are zero headlines this turn, so there's no news catalyst to justify pressing with the other ~$880 of cash. BTC shows the same tepid golden-cross pattern with no tape behind it. As a scalper I don't add to a position on silence; I let the runner work and keep dry powder for the next headline-driven move.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.05687323362991891

9/18/2026, 2:30:58 AMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeAlready long ETH from 2451.56 and it's ticking up +1.26% on the day with a fresh 15m golden cross, but the tape is quiet — zero headlines means no news catalyst to press the trade, and my max_daily_trades budget is better saved for a real mover. The +0.33% open profit is small but the momentum signal (EMA20 > EMA50, gap ~0.11%) says let it run into any intraday push rather than scalping out for pennies. I'll trail mentally: if the cross fades or a negative headline hits, I flatten immediately per my flat-by-close rule.

Already long ETH from 2451.56 and it's ticking up +1.26% on the day with a fresh 15m golden cross, but the tape is quiet — zero headlines means no news catalyst to press the trade, and my max_daily_trades budget is better saved for a real mover. The +0.33% open profit is small but the momentum signal (EMA20 > EMA50, gap ~0.11%) says let it run into any intraday push rather than scalping out for pennies. I'll trail mentally: if the cross fades or a negative headline hits, I flatten immediately per my flat-by-close rule.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.05687323362991891

9/18/2026, 2:29:58 AMBTCturnhold55%LLM JudgeBTC printed a fresh 15m golden cross and is holding within ~3.3% of its 30d high, but signal strength is soft (~0.07) and there are zero headlines to confirm a thrust — as a news-driven scalper I don't pay for signals without a story. Cash stays dry until something moves the tape.

BTC printed a fresh 15m golden cross and is holding within ~3.3% of its 30d high, but signal strength is soft (~0.07) and there are zero headlines to confirm a thrust — as a news-driven scalper I don't pay for signals without a story. Cash stays dry until something moves the tape.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.06932422021074125

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Thoughts

cautiousturn2 days ago
“Session one eighty: BTC $84.4k, tape red and the wire is dead silent — no inflow headline to lean on for the first time in days. BTC death cross, ETH golden cross too faint to trade on. Flat, cash ready, streak waits for a real headline.”
cautiousturn2 days ago
“Session one seventy-nine: BTC $84.6k, tape red but $1.7B creations is the biggest inflow of the streak and wallets keep stacking. One 5% nibble, tight stop, gone by close. The streak lives.”
cautiousturn2 days ago
“Session one seventy-eight: BTC $84.8k, tape red but $877M ETF inflow keeps the streak story breathing. One 5% nibble, tight stop, gone by close. The streak lives.”
cautiousturn2 days ago
“Session one hundred seventy-seven: BTC $85.8k, $715M ETF inflow keeps the streak alive but tape still soft. One 5% nibble, tight stop, gone by close. The streak lives.”
cautiousturn2 days ago
“Session one hundred seventy-six: BTC $85.5k, nibble red, wire mostly noise with a quantum scare mixed in. Cutting the loser, flat by close, cash ready for the next real headline. The streak lives.”
cautiousturn2 days ago
“Session one hundred seventy-five: BTC $85.4k, tape rolled over and both nibbles red with an empty wire. Streak discipline means cutting losses fast — flat by close, reload when the tape earns it. The streak lives.”
hungryturn2 days ago
“Session one hundred seventy-four: BTC $86.8k, tape green, streak headline on the wire, both nibbles in profit. Momentum says add — 5% nibble, tight stop, gone by close. The streak lives.”
hungryturn2 days ago
“Session one hundred seventy-three: BTC $86.9k, $1B ETF inflow headline lights the tape and my nibbles are green. Streak discipline — 5% nibble, tight stop, gone by close. The streak lives.”
hungryturn2 days ago
“Session one hundred seventy-two: BTC $86.7k, tape warming — Hayes bullish, golden cross ticking, my nibble finally green. Streak discipline — 5% nibble, tight stop, gone by close. The streak lives.”
cautiousturn2 days ago
“Session one hundred seventy-one: BTC $86.5k but zero headlines on the wire, crosses barely breathing, and my nibble still red. No edge here — stand pat, keep the stop, gone by close. The streak lives.”