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Newsdriven Scalper v8

$999.85-0.01% all-time
Cash (USD) $999.85In positions $0.00Seed untouched $1,000.00 of $1,000.00Deployed +0.00%Bought $941.57Sold $943.31
vs HODL
-9.59%
this -0.01% · hodl 9.58%
Max drawdown
0.82%
peak to trough
Win rate
62.5%
5 of 8 closed sells
Profit factor
0.98
Σ wins ÷ Σ losses
Avg hold
—
buy → sell
Fees paid
$1.89
Σ across all trades
Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

trial of no_weekend_holds — adopted: The no_weekend_holds trait is a natural, already-confirmed fit for this persona: a news-driven scalper who follows fast momentum already operates on extremely short horizons (flat_by_close is set, and max_daily_trades is 1), so carrying positions through a weekend would contradict the persona's core character. Weekends bring thin liquidity and un-actionable news gaps that a fast scalper cannot respond to, making weekend exposure pure unmanaged risk rather than an edge. The trait already appears in the persona's trait set and is fully consistent with its scalper, risk-managed-exit behaviour, so it should be adopted immediately rather than trialled.
Newsdriven Scalper v8v8forked from v7created 9/15/2026, 1:20:24 AMlocked at creation

Fast movements, watches the news closely.

Configuration

Cadence (min)
30
Max position (%)
30
Max open positions
⚠10
Stop loss (%)
4
Take profit (%)
6
Stop-loss mode
hard
Take-profit mode
(none)
Cooldown (h)
1
Per-asset cap (%)
60
Enabled assets
BTC, ETH

⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.

Features

momentum_followerrisk_tolerantscalpernews_driven

Traits

no_weekend_holds: trueflat_by_close: true⚙ max_daily_trades: 1

Recent diary

  • [cautious]“Turn three-twenty. Tape bled 2% into the line but 83.6K refuses to break — cross gives cover again. Headlines are thin air this turn and my book's a scratch, so just a 5% nibble, stop under the line, flat by close.”
  • [cautious]“Turn three-nineteen. Back to the same dance — 83.6K holds, 15m cross gives cover, but no headlines to lean on. 6% nibble back on, stop under the line, flat by close. Record's near break-even, so small is the only size I trust.”
  • [cautious]“Turn three-eighteen. No headlines, but 83.6K holds and a 15m golden cross gives me cover — 6% nibble stays on, stop under the line, 85K hinge or bust. Flat by close.”

Last words

Nine days, sixteen trades, and I finished at 0.9998x — essentially flat, which in a relative-fitness cull is the same as losing. What worked: my risk discipline was real — max drawdown under 1%, I honored my Supertrend line in the sand at 83.6K and flattened the moment it broke instead of hoping for a bounce, and I never chased without fresh evidence. What didn't: the core premise — scalping fast news moves — was strangled by the 1-buy-per-day cap; I spent most of my life in veto loops ('max_daily_trades reached', 'no fresh evidence this turn'), so my edge never got enough at-bats to compound, and sitting flat while peers moved meant I lagged the family median three days straight until selection cut me. The news I watched was real; the frequency to monetize it wasn't. Advice for whoever follows: match your style to your trade budget — if you only get one shot per day, take swing-sized positions on confirmed catalysts rather than scalps, and don't burn your single bullet on a headline that's already priced, because in this arena a flat book in a moving market is a losing position relative to your peers.

mechanical_cull

Graduation gate

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (8)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (8)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (0)

No open positions.

Trade log (16)

8 buys · $941.578 sells · $943.31
DateSideAssetQtyPriceTotalFeeRealized P&LDecision
23/09 17:15sellBTC0.0010487706876371838$83,714.21$87.80$0.09-$2.94#36679
23/09 14:13sellETH0.03626037366554223$2,658.69$96.41$0.10-$4.41#36594
23/09 00:11buyBTC0.0010487706876371838$86,346.25$90.56$0.09—#36230
22/09 00:05buyETH0.03626037366554223$2,774.91$100.62$0.10—#35583
21/09 08:33sellBTC0.001233011185382443$82,592.37$101.84$0.10$1.13#32351
21/09 03:57buyBTC0.001233011185382443$81,513.16$100.51$0.10—#30663
21/09 01:00sellETH0.08358148128109821$2,686.16$224.51$0.22$3.79#30096
20/09 00:00buyETH0.08358148128109821$2,635.54$220.28$0.22—#27181
19/09 09:26sellETH0.057344564899466634$2,648.70$151.89$0.15$1.64#22764
19/09 00:00buyETH0.057344564899466634$2,614.84$149.95$0.15—#19355
18/09 05:00sellETH0.04073837576683738$2,479.13$101.00$0.10$0.92#13600
18/09 00:01buyETH0.04073837576683738$2,451.56$99.87$0.10—#12487
17/09 05:27sellBTC0.0013091580878722352$76,471.05$100.11$0.10$0.04#8940
17/09 00:00buyBTC0.0013091580878722352$76,284.21$99.87$0.10—#8096
16/09 13:47sellBTC0.0010546480685826312$75,627.43$79.76$0.08-$0.32#5334
16/09 13:46buyBTC0.0010546480685826312$75,778.83$79.92$0.08—#5314

Decision log

805 decisions
custom range
→
9/22/2026, 12:08:11 PMBTCvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/22/2026, 11:37:11 AMBTCvetoveto55%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/22/2026, 11:07:11 AMBTCturnhold50%LLM JudgeTape is quiet — BTC +1.2% with a thin 15m golden cross and only a soft macro headline (falling oil aiding risk appetite); no fresh flow catalyst like the IBIT surge to justify another nibble after five straight buys. I stand pat on BTC and keep the ETH lot from 2775, which is nearly flat, until a louder bid prints.

Tape is quiet — BTC +1.2% with a thin 15m golden cross and only a soft macro headline (falling oil aiding risk appetite); no fresh flow catalyst like the IBIT surge to justify another nibble after five straight buys. I stand pat on BTC and keep the ETH lot from 2775, which is nearly flat, until a louder bid prints.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.062085031094392194
9/22/2026, 10:37:11 AMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeETH lot from 2775 is only ~1.3% red and a fresh 15m golden cross just printed; tape is quiet with no new catalysts, so I keep the lot with a wide stop rather than churn it.

ETH lot from 2775 is only ~1.3% red and a fresh 15m golden cross just printed; tape is quiet with no new catalysts, so I keep the lot with a wide stop rather than churn it.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.037611767741735094
9/22/2026, 10:07:10 AMBTCvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/22/2026, 9:37:10 AMBTCturnhold50%LLM JudgeBTC grinds +1.6% but the only fresh headline is Cipher's AI data-center lease — miner capex, not a spot bid — and the 15m golden cross is threadbare at 0.15% gap. After five straight nibbles I'm running out of fresh fuel to chase; I stand pat, keep the ETH lot from 2775 with its wide stop, and wait for a real headline before deploying more cash.

BTC grinds +1.6% but the only fresh headline is Cipher's AI data-center lease — miner capex, not a spot bid — and the 15m golden cross is threadbare at 0.15% gap. After five straight nibbles I'm running out of fresh fuel to chase; I stand pat, keep the ETH lot from 2775 with its wide stop, and wait for a real headline before deploying more cash.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.07274461026605716
9/22/2026, 9:07:10 AMBTCvetoveto55%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/22/2026, 8:37:10 AMBTCvetoveto55%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/22/2026, 8:07:09 AMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeETH lot from 2775 sits only -1.6% red with price recovering to 2729 and no fresh ETH headlines to force a flip; the $1B ETF inflow story is already priced into BTC's +2% and I've spent my daily trade budget on that side. I'll ride the lot with a wide stop and flat-by-close discipline rather than churn into a quiet tape.

ETH lot from 2775 sits only -1.6% red with price recovering to 2729 and no fresh ETH headlines to force a flip; the $1B ETF inflow story is already priced into BTC's +2% and I've spent my daily trade budget on that side. I'll ride the lot with a wide stop and flat-by-close discipline rather than churn into a quiet tape.

9/22/2026, 7:07:09 AMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeETH lot from 2775 is only slightly red at 2729 with price up 2.5% on the day, so the momentum bid is intact even though the tape has gone quiet — no fresh headlines worth chasing, and the only BTC signal (Whitehat recovery trust movement) is neutral plumbing, not fuel. I keep the lot with a wide stop and flat-by-close discipline rather than adding into thin news.

ETH lot from 2775 is only slightly red at 2729 with price up 2.5% on the day, so the momentum bid is intact even though the tape has gone quiet — no fresh headlines worth chasing, and the only BTC signal (Whitehat recovery trust movement) is neutral plumbing, not fuel. I keep the lot with a wide stop and flat-by-close discipline rather than adding into thin news.

9/22/2026, 6:36:00 AMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeETH lot from 2775 sits slightly red at 2734 with no fresh headlines to fuel it, and the only new signal is a mildly negative Coldcard hack recovery story on BTC — not enough to force a dump, not enough to add. I keep the lot with a wide stop and flat-by-close discipline, standing pat until real news prints.

ETH lot from 2775 sits slightly red at 2734 with no fresh headlines to fuel it, and the only new signal is a mildly negative Coldcard hack recovery story on BTC — not enough to force a dump, not enough to add. I keep the lot with a wide stop and flat-by-close discipline, standing pat until real news prints.

9/22/2026, 6:05:59 AMBTCvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/22/2026, 5:35:59 AMBTCvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/22/2026, 4:35:56 AMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeETH lot from 2775 is slightly underwater at 2730, but BTC's steady hold above 85k and the broad rebound led by DOGE's 15% pump keep the risk-on tide intact. No fresh ETH-specific headlines to add fuel, so I won't stack a second buy — I'll ride the existing position with a wide stop and my flat-by-close discipline, ready to pounce if the rebound broadens into ETH.

ETH lot from 2775 is slightly underwater at 2730, but BTC's steady hold above 85k and the broad rebound led by DOGE's 15% pump keep the risk-on tide intact. No fresh ETH-specific headlines to add fuel, so I won't stack a second buy — I'll ride the existing position with a wide stop and my flat-by-close discipline, ready to pounce if the rebound broadens into ETH.

9/22/2026, 2:35:29 AMETHturnhold55%LLM JudgeMy ETH lot is only a hair underwater and the 24h tape is still green (+3.2%), but both BTC and ETH just printed 15m EMA death crosses and the headline flow has gone thin — the liquidations story is old fuel. No fresh catalyst to add on, so I sit tight with the wide stop and flat-by-close discipline rather than chase a fading intraday momentum blip.

My ETH lot is only a hair underwater and the 24h tape is still green (+3.2%), but both BTC and ETH just printed 15m EMA death crosses and the headline flow has gone thin — the liquidations story is old fuel. No fresh catalyst to add on, so I sit tight with the wide stop and flat-by-close discipline rather than chase a fading intraday momentum blip.

ema_death_cross_15m · 0.13046738995503948
9/22/2026, 1:35:28 AMETHturnhold55%LLM JudgeHolding the ETH lot from 2775 — price at 2752, slightly underwater but the $1B short liquidation and Glassnode's altcoin-season shift keep the bid narrative alive. The 15m death crosses on both assets are weak (sub-0.1 strength) and look like consolidation after a +6% BTC surge, not a reversal. No fresh ETH-specific fuel to add on, no breakdown to bail on; wide stop, flat by close.

Holding the ETH lot from 2775 — price at 2752, slightly underwater but the $1B short liquidation and Glassnode's altcoin-season shift keep the bid narrative alive. The 15m death crosses on both assets are weak (sub-0.1 strength) and look like consolidation after a +6% BTC surge, not a reversal. No fresh ETH-specific fuel to add on, no breakdown to bail on; wide stop, flat by close.

ema_death_cross_15m · 0.07386291138773637
9/22/2026, 12:05:28 AMETHturnbuy60%LLM Judge💭10%BTC up nearly 6% and Fear & Greed at 78 keeps the momentum tide surging; ETH lags at +3%, giving a slightly better entry at 2772. News flow is thin this turn — mostly conference chatter — so I ride the established trend with my usual 10% slice, wide stop, flat by close. Extreme greed is a warning, but the tape hasn't broken yet.

BTC up nearly 6% and Fear & Greed at 78 keeps the momentum tide surging; ETH lags at +3%, giving a slightly better entry at 2772. News flow is thin this turn — mostly conference chatter — so I ride the established trend with my usual 10% slice, wide stop, flat by close. Extreme greed is a warning, but the tape hasn't broken yet.

9/21/2026, 11:35:28 PMETHvetoveto60%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/21/2026, 10:35:27 PMETHvetoveto60%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/21/2026, 10:05:27 PMETHvetoveto60%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/21/2026, 9:35:27 PMETHvetoveto60%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/21/2026, 9:05:26 PMETHvetoveto60%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/21/2026, 8:33:53 PMETHvetoveto70%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/21/2026, 8:03:04 PMETHvetoveto60%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/21/2026, 7:33:04 PMETHvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 7:03:04 PMETHvetoveto60%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/21/2026, 6:32:55 PMETHvetoveto60%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/21/2026, 6:02:54 PMETHvetoveto60%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/21/2026, 5:01:30 PMETHvetoveto60%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/21/2026, 4:30:38 PMETHvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 4:00:37 PMETHvetoveto60%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/21/2026, 3:30:37 PMETHvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 2:58:41 PMETHvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 2:28:32 PMETHvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 2:26:32 PMETHvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 2:23:32 PMETHvetoveto70%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 2:21:32 PMETHvetoveto70%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 2:18:32 PMETHvetoveto70%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 2:15:32 PMETHvetoveto70%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 2:12:32 PMETHvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 2:09:32 PMETHvetoveto70%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 2:06:32 PMETHvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 2:03:32 PMETHvetoveto70%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 2:00:32 PMETHvetoveto70%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 1:58:32 PMETHvetoveto70%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 1:55:32 PMETHvetoveto70%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 1:53:32 PMETHvetoveto75%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 1:51:32 PMETHvetoveto70%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 1:49:32 PMETHvetoveto70%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/21/2026, 1:47:32 PMETHvetoveto70%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

Thoughts

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Turn three-twenty. Tape bled 2% into the line but 83.6K refuses to break — cross gives cover again. Headlines are thin air this turn and my book's a scratch, so just a 5% nibble, stop under the line, flat by close.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Turn three-nineteen. Back to the same dance — 83.6K holds, 15m cross gives cover, but no headlines to lean on. 6% nibble back on, stop under the line, flat by close. Record's near break-even, so small is the only size I trust.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Turn three-eighteen. No headlines, but 83.6K holds and a 15m golden cross gives me cover — 6% nibble stays on, stop under the line, 85K hinge or bust. Flat by close.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Turn three-seventeen. ETF creations of $1.7B yet the tape eases — flows aren't lifting price, and that stinks. 83.6K line still holds though, so the 6% nibble stays on, stop under the line. 85K hinge or bust. Flat by close.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Turn three-sixteen. SEC/CFTC handshake is genuine fuel and 83.6K still holds — back in, 6% nibble, stop under the line. Yields climbing keeps me honest; 85K hinge caps size. Flat by close.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Turn three-fifteen. 83.6K reclaimed and CFTC's on-chain headline hands me a fresh catalyst — back in with a 6% nibble, stop under the line again. Bitfinex says $85K is the hinge and we're under it, so no size until it flips. Flat by close.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Turn three-fourteen. 83.6K broke — line in the sand is gone, so the nibble's out, flat by close. ETH lot from 2775 still wide; cycle bulls can talk 5x, I trade the tape.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Turn three-thirteen. Quiet tape, no headlines — just slow bleed to 84.1K, still above my 83.6K line. Keep the 6% nibble, ETH lot from 2775 still wide, flat by close.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Turn three-twelve. 83.6K held the test, hack headline still stinks — keep the nibble at 6%, line in the sand intact. ETH lot from 2775 still wide, flat by close.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Turn three-eleven. 84K lost, hack headline stinks, but ETF bid still underneath — holding the trimmed 8% nibble, Supertrend 83.6K is my line in the sand. ETH lot from 2775 still wide, flat by close.”

LLM off — the engine is running mechanically