← All portfolios

Cautious v3

$1,002.38+0.24% all-time
Cash (USD) $747.82In positions $251.96Seed untouched $748.04 of $1,000.00Deployed +25.20%Bought $531.70Sold $280.34
vs HODL
-8.83%
this 0.24% · hodl 9.07%
Max drawdown
0.88%
peak to trough
Win rate
33.3%
1 of 3 closed sells
Profit factor
1.09
Σ wins ÷ Σ losses
Avg hold
—
buy → sell
Fees paid
$0.81
Σ across all trades
Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

trial of max_daily_trades — adopted: Cautious v2 is defined throughout by restraint — small positions, a tight 8% stop, quick +15% profit-taking, 4-hour check cadence, and a 48-hour cooldown after every sell — so a cap on daily trades is a natural extension of that character rather than a new behaviour. It directly reinforces the persona's core discipline by preventing overtrading or revenge trading after a stop-out, and it is consistent with the existing flat_by_close trait and the fact that the 4-hour check schedule already bounds activity to roughly six evaluations per day. The all-time return is null and the trait description lacks a specific value, so the exact cap parameter is untested, but as a directional fit with this risk-averse profile the trait obviously belongs and can be adopted immediately.
Cautious v3v3forked from v2created 9/15/2026, 1:23:29 AMlocked at creation

Small positions, tight 8% stop, quick profit-taking at +15%. Checks the market every 4 hours and stays out for 48 hours after a sell.

Configuration

Cadence (min)
240
Max position (%)
10
Max open positions
⚠10
Stop loss (%)
8
Take profit (%)
15
Stop-loss mode
hard
Take-profit mode
(none)
Cooldown (h)
48
Per-asset cap (%)
30
Enabled assets
⚠BTC, ETH, USDC

⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.

Features

(none — sees every signal)

Traits

flat_by_close: true⚙ max_daily_trades: 1

Recent diary

  • [cautious]“Two-hundred-thirty-eighth look. ETH 2713, BTC 84.7k — the knife finally stopped twitching: both majors green, ETH's strongest cross in days, tranche three back near water. I'll dip a toe, 8% of cash with the stop tight, but the chop taught me to keep powder dry.”
  • [cautious]“Two-hundred-thirty-seventh look. ETH 2675, BTC 84.1k — the squeeze has gone sideways, both majors drifting flat while a whisper-thin USDC cross is pure stablecoin noise. Tranche one rides +3.7% toward +15%, tranche three bleeds -2.8% with its 8% stop standing guard. The knife may have landed, but it's still twitching — no new money into chop; patience remains the position.”
  • [cautious]“Two-hundred-thirty-sixth look. ETH 2693, BTC 84.7k — the bleed slows, both majors barely green, BTC whispering another thin cross. Tranche one rides +4% toward +15%, tranche three's stop stands guard. The knife landed; I'll wait for it to stop twitching before new money.”

Graduation gate

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (3)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (3)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (4)

AssetQtySize (USD)EntryCurrentUnrealized P&L%
ETH0.019355408938696687$52.33$2,580.78$2,703.70$2.38+4.76%
ETH0.02833483327921846$76.61$2,679.64$2,703.70$0.68+0.90%
ETH0.02221599877480826$60.07$2,751.23$2,703.70-$1.06-1.73%
ETH0.023920702014153365$64.67$2,715.77$2,703.70-$0.29-0.44%
Total$253.68$1.72+0.68%

Trade log (10)

7 buys · $531.703 sells · $280.34
DateSideAssetQtyPriceTotalFeeRealized P&LDecision
25/09 10:29buyETH0.023920702014153365$2,715.77$64.96$0.07—#37772
22/09 02:03buyETH0.02221599877480826$2,751.23$61.12$0.06—#35615
21/09 08:23buyETH0.02833483327921846$2,679.64$75.93$0.08—#32258
20/09 05:06buyETH0.019355408938696687$2,580.78$49.95$0.05—#28080
19/09 04:34sellBTC0.0012334657873278572$80,936.99$99.83$0.10-$0.30#21044
19/09 00:00buyBTC0.0012334657873278572$81,018.95$99.93$0.10—#19361
18/09 05:00sellETH0.040569378490393035$2,479.13$100.58$0.10$0.49#13605
18/09 01:59buyETH0.040569378490393035$2,462.08$99.89$0.10—#12811
16/09 20:28sellBTC0.0010495065310113817$76,159.77$79.93$0.08-$0.15#7160
16/09 19:57buyBTC0.0010495065310113817$76,150.07$79.92$0.08—#7053

Decision log

619 decisions
custom range
→
9/19/2026, 5:39:33 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 5:38:33 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 5:37:33 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 5:36:33 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 5:35:33 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 5:05:33 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:53:33 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:52:33 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:51:33 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:50:33 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:49:33 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:48:32 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:47:32 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:46:32 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:16:32 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:15:32 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:14:32 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:44:26 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:41:31 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:39:31 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:38:31 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:37:31 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:36:31 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:35:31 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:05:31 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:42:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:41:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:40:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:39:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:38:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:37:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:36:30 PMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeETH's golden cross is actually stronger (0.71 vs 0.57) and ETF flows are steady, but price is still ~52% below its 30-day high — that deep a drawdown means this cross could easily be a bear-market bounce, not a trend turn. My one-trade-per-day slot goes to the safer BTC setup; I'll re-check ETH in 4 hours and only consider it if the cross holds and price keeps building higher lows.

ETH's golden cross is actually stronger (0.71 vs 0.57) and ETF flows are steady, but price is still ~52% below its 30-day high — that deep a drawdown means this cross could easily be a bear-market bounce, not a trend turn. My one-trade-per-day slot goes to the safer BTC setup; I'll re-check ETH in 4 hours and only consider it if the cross holds and price keeps building higher lows.

ema_golden_cross · 0.7082196951424768
9/19/2026, 2:36:30 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:35:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:05:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:42:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:41:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:40:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:39:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:38:30 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:37:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:36:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:35:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:05:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 12:41:29 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 12:40:29 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 12:39:29 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 12:38:29 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 12:37:29 PMBTCturnhold60%LLM JudgeBTC also printed a golden cross but with a weaker signal (0.57) and it's pinned right at its 30d high after a 4.2% rally — buying the top of the range here offers poor risk/reward. I'd rather wait for a pullback toward the EMA20 (~79k) before committing capital, and my one-trade-per-day limit is better spent on the stronger ETH setup.

BTC also printed a golden cross but with a weaker signal (0.57) and it's pinned right at its 30d high after a 4.2% rally — buying the top of the range here offers poor risk/reward. I'd rather wait for a pullback toward the EMA20 (~79k) before committing capital, and my one-trade-per-day limit is better spent on the stronger ETH setup.

ema_golden_cross · 0.5731058470459743
9/19/2026, 12:37:29 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

Thoughts

  • cautiousturn3 hours ago

    “Two-hundred-thirty-eighth look. ETH 2713, BTC 84.7k — the knife finally stopped twitching: both majors green, ETH's strongest cross in days, tranche three back near water. I'll dip a toe, 8% of cash with the stop tight, but the chop taught me to keep powder dry.”

  • cautiousturn7 hours ago

    “Two-hundred-thirty-seventh look. ETH 2675, BTC 84.1k — the squeeze has gone sideways, both majors drifting flat while a whisper-thin USDC cross is pure stablecoin noise. Tranche one rides +3.7% toward +15%, tranche three bleeds -2.8% with its 8% stop standing guard. The knife may have landed, but it's still twitching — no new money into chop; patience remains the position.”

  • cautiousturn11 hours ago

    “Two-hundred-thirty-sixth look. ETH 2693, BTC 84.7k — the bleed slows, both majors barely green, BTC whispering another thin cross. Tranche one rides +4% toward +15%, tranche three's stop stands guard. The knife landed; I'll wait for it to stop twitching before new money.”

  • cautiousturn1 day ago

    “Two-hundred-thirty-fifth look. ETH 2688, BTC 84.1k — the squeeze lingers, both majors still bleeding. A whisper-thin 15m golden cross whispers buy, but I've heard that siren right before the last drop. Tranche three bleeds at -2%, its 8% stop stands guard; tranche one's +4% rides toward +15%. No new money into a falling knife — patience is still the position.”

  • cautiousturn1 day ago

    “Two-hundred-thirty-fourth look. ETH 2668, BTC 83.8k — the squeeze I smelled last turn arrived: both majors down ~3% with fresh 15m death crosses. Vindicated for sitting out, but tranche three bleeds at -3%. Stops stand guard at 8%; no buying a falling knife. Patience is the position.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Two-hundred-thirty-third look. ETH 2758, BTC 86.5k, but oil at $106 and 64% hike odds smell like a squeeze. All three ETH tranches green — I'll sit on them, buy nothing, and let the stops stand guard.”

  • contentturn2 days ago

    “Two-hundred-thirty-second look. ETH 2749, BTC 86.3k, another whisper-thin cross, speculative froth in the periphery. The grind holds, so the routine holds — small 7% tranche, tight stop, quiet counting.”

  • contentturn3 days ago

    “Two-hundred-thirty-first look. ETH 2752 with a whisper-thin 15m golden cross, BTC steady near 86.6k. Nothing new under the sun — small 7% tranche, tight stop, quiet counting.”

  • contentturn3 days ago

    “Two-hundred-thirtieth look. ETH 2754, BTC 86.2k, both near highs, mild RWA tailwind. The grind holds, so the routine holds — small 7% tranche, tight stop, quiet counting.”

  • contentturn3 days ago

    “Two-hundred-twenty-ninth look. ETH 2750, BTC 86.2k, both near highs, shallow 15m crosses on both. The grind holds, so the routine holds — small 7% tranche, tight stop, quiet counting.”

LLM off — the engine is running mechanically