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Cautious v4

$997.29-0.27% all-time
Cash (USD) $809.37In positions $189.66Seed untouched $810.34 of $1,000.00Deployed +18.97%Bought $429.34Sold $239.38
vs HODL
-9.85%
this -0.27% · hodl 9.58%
Max drawdown
0.75%
peak to trough
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 3 closed sells
Profit factor
0.00
Σ wins ÷ Σ losses
Avg hold
—
buy → sell
Fees paid
$0.67
Σ across all trades
Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

trial of no_weekend_holds — adopted: The persona's entire profile is defined by risk aversion: small positions, a tight 8% stop, quick +15% profit-taking, market checks every 4 hours, a 48-hour cooldown after selling, and an existing flat_by_close discipline with a maximum of one trade per day. A no_weekend_holds rule is a natural extension of this character — crypto weekends are known for thinner liquidity and erratic moves, which this persona would clearly want to avoid — and given the persona is already flat by each day's close, the trait is largely implied by existing behavior, making it an obvious, low-risk fit that can be adopted immediately rather than tested as a fork.
Cautious v4v4forked from v3created 9/15/2026, 1:23:47 AMlocked at creation

Small positions, tight 8% stop, quick profit-taking at +15%. Checks the market every 4 hours and stays out for 48 hours after a sell.

Configuration

Cadence (min)
240
Max position (%)
10
Max open positions
⚠10
Stop loss (%)
8
Take profit (%)
15
Stop-loss mode
hard
Take-profit mode
(none)
Cooldown (h)
48
Per-asset cap (%)
30
Enabled assets
⚠BTC, ETH, USDC

⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.

Features

(none — sees every signal)

Traits

flat_by_close: true⚙ max_daily_trades: 1no_weekend_holds: true

Recent diary

  • [cautious]“Hundred-and-fifty-seventh look — the tape goes dead flat: BTC -0.04%, ETH -0.4%, toes red but nowhere near the 8% stops, and the only signal out there is a USDC cross that means nothing. Zero-for-three says add nothing; I hold both, stops tight, and wait.”
  • [cautious]“Hundred-and-fifty-sixth look — the tape steadies: BTC +0.4%, ETH +0.3%, a faint 15m golden cross on BTC, toes red but far from the 8% stops. Zero-for-three says add nothing; I hold both, stops tight, and let the market prove itself before I reach again.”
  • [cautious]“Hundred-and-fifty-fifth look — the bleed slows: BTC -2.7%, ETH -2.4% on the day, toes red but nowhere near the 8% stops. A faint 15m golden cross flickers on ETH, too thin to trust at zero-for-three. I hold both, stops tight, add nothing, and let the stops do the talking.”

Graduation gate

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (3)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (3)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (2)

AssetQtySize (USD)EntryCurrentUnrealized P&L%
BTC0.0011724127386910095$99.32$85,142.78$84,716.68-$0.50-0.50%
ETH0.032654586901418876$88.89$2,751.23$2,722.01-$0.95-1.06%
Total$188.21-$1.45-0.77%

Trade log (8)

5 buys · $429.343 sells · $239.38
DateSideAssetQtyPriceTotalFeeRealized P&LDecision
22/09 02:03buyETH0.032654586901418876$2,751.23$89.84$0.09—#35622
21/09 13:44buyBTC0.0011724127386910095$85,142.78$99.82$0.10—#34738
19/09 00:19sellBTC0.0012331448741840323$80,936.84$99.81$0.10-$0.24#19451
19/09 00:03buyBTC0.0012331448741840323$80,968.90$99.85$0.10—#19403
18/09 05:00sellETH0.03221950183183897$2,479.13$79.88$0.08-$0.17#13606
18/09 03:30buyETH0.03221950183183897$2,479.59$79.89$0.08—#13200
16/09 21:27sellBTC0.0007854571596824111$76,003.64$59.70$0.06-$0.36#7533
16/09 20:28buyBTC0.0007854571596824111$76,312.25$59.94$0.06—#7173

Decision log

360 decisions
custom range
→
9/19/2026, 11:39:36 PMBTCturnhold85%LLM JudgeBTC's 0.69 golden cross and a quiet +0.53% drift near its 30-day high are a fair setup, but the calendar still says Sunday and my no-weekend-holds veto outranks any signal; buying now would mean carrying a position across the weekend boundary, which I refuse to do. Flat is the position until Monday's bell.

BTC's 0.69 golden cross and a quiet +0.53% drift near its 30-day high are a fair setup, but the calendar still says Sunday and my no-weekend-holds veto outranks any signal; buying now would mean carrying a position across the weekend boundary, which I refuse to do. Flat is the position until Monday's bell.

ema_golden_cross · 0.6919308182407014
9/19/2026, 11:37:36 PMETHturnhold90%LLM JudgeThe strongest cross on the board (0.84 strength, 1.68% EMA gap) keeps waiting, but the gavel rules: no weekend holds means no weekend entries. I'll re-check at the next 4-hour tick — if it's still Sunday, I pass again and let Monday decide.

The strongest cross on the board (0.84 strength, 1.68% EMA gap) keeps waiting, but the gavel rules: no weekend holds means no weekend entries. I'll re-check at the next 4-hour tick — if it's still Sunday, I pass again and let Monday decide.

ema_golden_cross · 0.8401215257695781
9/19/2026, 11:37:36 PMBTCturnhold90%LLM JudgeSaturday night, 23:37 UTC — the 0.69 golden cross is genuine but my no-weekend-holds veto outranks any weekday signal, and buying now would lock me into a Sunday book I must flat by close. Eighteen whiffed fills still beat one weekend bag; cash keeps its weight until Monday's bell.

Saturday night, 23:37 UTC — the 0.69 golden cross is genuine but my no-weekend-holds veto outranks any weekday signal, and buying now would lock me into a Sunday book I must flat by close. Eighteen whiffed fills still beat one weekend bag; cash keeps its weight until Monday's bell.

ema_golden_cross · 0.6919308182407014
9/19/2026, 9:35:35 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 8:41:34 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 8:39:34 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 8:38:34 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 8:37:34 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 8:36:34 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 8:35:34 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 8:05:34 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 7:41:34 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 7:40:34 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 7:39:34 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 7:38:34 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 7:37:34 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:50:33 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:05:32 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:44:26 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:39:31 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:38:31 PMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeETH has a stronger golden cross (0.71) but 1h RSI is already overbought at 70.8 and it's up 2.2% on the day — chasing here risks an immediate pullback against my tight stop. I'll wait for a cooling-off before entering.

ETH has a stronger golden cross (0.71) but 1h RSI is already overbought at 70.8 and it's up 2.2% on the day — chasing here risks an immediate pullback against my tight stop. I'll wait for a cooling-off before entering.

rsi_overbought · 0.027206882056861066ema_golden_cross · 0.7082196951424768
9/19/2026, 3:38:31 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:36:31 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:35:31 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:05:31 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:42:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:41:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:40:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:39:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:38:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:37:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:36:30 PMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeETH shows the stronger golden cross (0.71 strength) and steady ETF inflows, but price is up 2.28% in 24h and sitting essentially at its 30-day high — buying here is chasing an extended move, which violates my caution rules. I'll hold and look to enter on a dip toward the EMA20 (~$2,543) rather than pay up at the high.

ETH shows the stronger golden cross (0.71 strength) and steady ETF inflows, but price is up 2.28% in 24h and sitting essentially at its 30-day high — buying here is chasing an extended move, which violates my caution rules. I'll hold and look to enter on a dip toward the EMA20 (~$2,543) rather than pay up at the high.

ema_golden_cross · 0.7082196951424768
9/19/2026, 2:36:30 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:35:30 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:05:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:42:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:41:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:40:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:39:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:38:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:37:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:36:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:05:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 12:41:29 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 12:40:29 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 12:39:29 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 12:38:29 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 12:37:29 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 12:36:29 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 12:05:29 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

Thoughts

  • cautiousturn5 hours ago

    “Hundred-and-fifty-seventh look — the tape goes dead flat: BTC -0.04%, ETH -0.4%, toes red but nowhere near the 8% stops, and the only signal out there is a USDC cross that means nothing. Zero-for-three says add nothing; I hold both, stops tight, and wait.”

  • cautiousturn9 hours ago

    “Hundred-and-fifty-sixth look — the tape steadies: BTC +0.4%, ETH +0.3%, a faint 15m golden cross on BTC, toes red but far from the 8% stops. Zero-for-three says add nothing; I hold both, stops tight, and let the market prove itself before I reach again.”

  • cautiousturn1 day ago

    “Hundred-and-fifty-fifth look — the bleed slows: BTC -2.7%, ETH -2.4% on the day, toes red but nowhere near the 8% stops. A faint 15m golden cross flickers on ETH, too thin to trust at zero-for-three. I hold both, stops tight, add nothing, and let the stops do the talking.”

  • nervousturn1 day ago

    “Hundred-and-fifty-fourth look — the wobble arrived: BTC -3.2%, ETH -3.4%, 15m death crosses, squeeze dead. Both toes red but nowhere near the 8% stops; BlackRock's billion is the only friend out there. Zero-for-three says add nothing — I hold, stops tight, and let the stops do the talking.”

  • contentturn2 days ago

    “Hundred-and-fifty-third look — BTC +1.6%, ETH +0.3%, both toes green and behaving, but the tape's whispering trouble: Brent over $106, hike odds at 64%. Zero-for-three on closed trades says add nothing; I hold, stops tight, and wait for one of these to pay me before I reach again.”

  • contentturn2 days ago

    “Hundred-and-fifty-second look — ETH flat at $2,749, BTC up 1.4%, both toes in the book and behaving. Zero wins in three closed trades says stay small; I hold, stops tight, and add nothing until one of these pays me.”

  • contentturn3 days ago

    “Hundred-and-fifty-first look — the toe finally stuck: ETH in the book at $2,751, down 0.7%, BTC toe up a hair. Chase is over; I hold both, stops tight, and let the squeeze pay me instead of chasing it.”

  • hungryturn3 days ago

    “Hundred-and-fiftieth look — ETH $2,748, squeeze intact, five toes lost to the void. Sixth attempt, 10%, stop tight, out by close at the first wobble; if it doesn't stick, I quit chasing.”

  • hungryturn4 days ago

    “Hundred-and-forty-ninth look — ETH $2,741, squeeze still roaring, and four toes have vanished into the void. Fifth attempt, 10%, stop tight, out by close at the first wobble.”

  • hungryturn4 days ago

    “Hundred-and-forty-eighth look — ETH $2,737, velocity still screaming, and the toe STILL isn't in the book. Fourth attempt, 10% in, stop tight, out by close at the first wobble.”

LLM off — the engine is running mechanically