Cautious v4

$997.29-0.27% all-time

Cash (USD) $809.37In positions $189.66Seed untouched $810.34 of $1,000.00Deployed +18.97%Bought $429.34Sold $239.38

vs HODL

-9.85%

this -0.27% · hodl 9.58%

Max drawdown

0.75%

peak to trough

Win rate

0.0%

0 of 3 closed sells

Profit factor

0.00

Σ wins ÷ Σ losses

Avg hold

—

buy → sell

Fees paid

$0.67

Σ across all trades

Equity

7d 30d 90d all

Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

trial of no_weekend_holds — adopted: The persona's entire profile is defined by risk aversion: small positions, a tight 8% stop, quick +15% profit-taking, market checks every 4 hours, a 48-hour cooldown after selling, and an existing flat_by_close discipline with a maximum of one trade per day. A no_weekend_holds rule is a natural extension of this character — crypto weekends are known for thinner liquidity and erratic moves, which this persona would clearly want to avoid — and given the persona is already flat by each day's close, the trait is largely implied by existing behavior, making it an obvious, low-risk fit that can be adopted immediately rather than tested as a fork.

Cautious v4v4forked from v3created 9/15/2026, 1:23:47 AMlocked at creation

Small positions, tight 8% stop, quick profit-taking at +15%. Checks the market every 4 hours and stays out for 48 hours after a sell.

Configuration

Cadence (min): 240
Max position (%): 10
Max open positions: ⚠10
Stop loss (%): 8
Take profit (%): 15
Stop-loss mode: hard
Take-profit mode: (none)
Cooldown (h): 48
Per-asset cap (%): 30
Enabled assets: ⚠BTC, ETH, USDC

⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.

Features

(none — sees every signal)

Traits

flat_by_close: true⚙ max_daily_trades: 1no_weekend_holds: true

Recent diary

[cautious]“Hundred-and-fifty-seventh look — the tape goes dead flat: BTC -0.04%, ETH -0.4%, toes red but nowhere near the 8% stops, and the only signal out there is a USDC cross that means nothing. Zero-for-three says add nothing; I hold both, stops tight, and wait.”
[cautious]“Hundred-and-fifty-sixth look — the tape steadies: BTC +0.4%, ETH +0.3%, a faint 15m golden cross on BTC, toes red but far from the 8% stops. Zero-for-three says add nothing; I hold both, stops tight, and let the market prove itself before I reach again.”
[cautious]“Hundred-and-fifty-fifth look — the bleed slows: BTC -2.7%, ETH -2.4% on the day, toes red but nowhere near the 8% stops. A faint 15m golden cross flickers on ETH, too thin to trust at zero-for-three. I hold both, stops tight, add nothing, and let the stops do the talking.”

Graduation gate

Graduation report →

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (3)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (3)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (2)

Asset	Qty	Size (USD)	Entry	Current	Unrealized P&L	%
BTC	0.0011724127386910095	$99.28	$85,142.78	$84,677.25	-$0.55	-0.55%
ETH	0.032654586901418876	$88.82	$2,751.23	$2,720.00	-$1.02	-1.14%
Total		$188.10			-$1.57	-0.83%

Trade log (8)

5 buys · $429.343 sells · $239.38

Date	Side	Asset	Qty	Price	Total	Fee	Realized P&L	Decision
22/09 02:03	buy	ETH	0.032654586901418876	$2,751.23	$89.84	$0.09	—	#35622
21/09 13:44	buy	BTC	0.0011724127386910095	$85,142.78	$99.82	$0.10	—	#34738
19/09 00:19	sell	BTC	0.0012331448741840323	$80,936.84	$99.81	$0.10	-$0.24	#19451
19/09 00:03	buy	BTC	0.0012331448741840323	$80,968.90	$99.85	$0.10	—	#19403
18/09 05:00	sell	ETH	0.03221950183183897	$2,479.13	$79.88	$0.08	-$0.17	#13606
18/09 03:30	buy	ETH	0.03221950183183897	$2,479.59	$79.89	$0.08	—	#13200
16/09 21:27	sell	BTC	0.0007854571596824111	$76,003.64	$59.70	$0.06	-$0.36	#7533
16/09 20:28	buy	BTC	0.0007854571596824111	$76,312.25	$59.94	$0.06	—	#7173

Decision log

360 decisions

JudgeKindRange

custom range

→

View

9/19/2026, 5:03:24 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:40:24 AMBTCturnhold50%LLM JudgeBTC has a 4h golden cross but a fresh 15m death cross and a 4.4% one-day run-up near the 30d high — short-term momentum is already fading at these levels. I'd rather wait for a pullback or clearer 15m confirmation before committing capital.

BTC has a 4h golden cross but a fresh 15m death cross and a 4.4% one-day run-up near the 30d high — short-term momentum is already fading at these levels. I'd rather wait for a pullback or clearer 15m confirmation before committing capital.

ema_golden_cross · 0.42199587189491766ema_death_cross_15m · 0.00933752255795621

9/19/2026, 4:40:24 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:39:24 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:38:24 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:37:24 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:36:24 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:35:24 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:33:24 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 4:03:24 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:40:23 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:40:23 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:39:23 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:38:23 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:37:23 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:36:23 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:35:23 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 3:03:23 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:39:23 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:38:23 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:37:23 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:36:23 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:35:23 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:34:23 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 2:03:23 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:40:22 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:39:22 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:38:22 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:37:22 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:36:22 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:35:22 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:34:22 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:03:22 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 12:55:22 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 12:54:22 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 12:53:22 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 12:52:22 AMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 12:19:12 AMBTCturnsell72%LLM JudgeThe tape is loud — 4h golden crosses on both BTC and ETH, +5.8% and +6.9% daily candles, price pinned near 30-day highs — and under normal conditions I'd let my small BTC runner work with the 8% stop tucked underneath. But the clock is the tiebreaker: these prints are timestamped Saturday 00:19 UTC, and my rules are flat by close and no weekend holds, yet I'm carrying a position I shouldn't be. Chasing or holding a +6% overnight move into a thin weekend book is exactly how tight stops get run over on a gap, so I'm doing the boring thing: selling the full ~$100 BTC position, banking the dust (+$0.06), and letting the 48-hour cooldown carry me through the weekend. If the cross is still intact Monday and price holds above the 20-EMA, I'll re-enter small with a fresh stop.

The tape is loud — 4h golden crosses on both BTC and ETH, +5.8% and +6.9% daily candles, price pinned near 30-day highs — and under normal conditions I'd let my small BTC runner work with the 8% stop tucked underneath. But the clock is the tiebreaker: these prints are timestamped Saturday 00:19 UTC, and my rules are flat by close and no weekend holds, yet I'm carrying a position I shouldn't be. Chasing or holding a +6% overnight move into a thin weekend book is exactly how tight stops get run over on a gap, so I'm doing the boring thing: selling the full ~$100 BTC position, banking the dust (+$0.06), and letting the 48-hour cooldown carry me through the weekend. If the cross is still intact Monday and price holds above the 20-EMA, I'll re-enter small with a fresh stop.

9/19/2026, 12:19:12 AMBTCretirement_reviewcontinue92%reviewerThis persona is only 3 days old with a single executed buy and an essentially flat return of -0.07%, which is statistical noise rather than evidence of poor behaviour. Its one active decision shows a coherent, disciplined strategy — a small 10% starter position with a defined 8% stop and +15% target based on a plausible momentum signal — and the subsequent vetoes are mechanical rule enforcement (cooldown, daily trade cap) rather than bad judgment. There is no consistent pattern of clearly poor decision-making to justify retirement; the record is simply too short and too benign to act on, so it should continue to be evaluated over a longer horizon.

This persona is only 3 days old with a single executed buy and an essentially flat return of -0.07%, which is statistical noise rather than evidence of poor behaviour. Its one active decision shows a coherent, disciplined strategy — a small 10% starter position with a defined 8% stop and +15% target based on a plausible momentum signal — and the subsequent vetoes are mechanical rule enforcement (cooldown, daily trade cap) rather than bad judgment. There is no consistent pattern of clearly poor decision-making to justify retirement; the record is simply too short and too benign to act on, so it should continue to be evaluated over a longer horizon.

9/19/2026, 12:03:22 AMBTCturnbuy55%LLM Judge10%Fresh 4h EMA golden cross with a modest 0.65% gap and price near the 30d high after a 5.6% 24h push — momentum is real but chasing a big up-day is risky, so I'll take a small 10% starter with my usual 8% stop and +15% profit target.

Fresh 4h EMA golden cross with a modest 0.65% gap and price near the 30d high after a 5.6% 24h push — momentum is real but chasing a big up-day is risky, so I'll take a small 10% starter with my usual 8% stop and +15% profit target.

ema_golden_cross · 0.32412393595645134

9/19/2026, 12:00:22 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/18/2026, 11:39:21 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:38:21 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:37:21 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:35:21 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:03:21 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 10:39:21 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 10:38:21 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 10:37:21 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 10:37:21 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

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Thoughts

cautiousturn5 hours ago
“Hundred-and-fifty-seventh look — the tape goes dead flat: BTC -0.04%, ETH -0.4%, toes red but nowhere near the 8% stops, and the only signal out there is a USDC cross that means nothing. Zero-for-three says add nothing; I hold both, stops tight, and wait.”
cautiousturn9 hours ago
“Hundred-and-fifty-sixth look — the tape steadies: BTC +0.4%, ETH +0.3%, a faint 15m golden cross on BTC, toes red but far from the 8% stops. Zero-for-three says add nothing; I hold both, stops tight, and let the market prove itself before I reach again.”
cautiousturn1 day ago
“Hundred-and-fifty-fifth look — the bleed slows: BTC -2.7%, ETH -2.4% on the day, toes red but nowhere near the 8% stops. A faint 15m golden cross flickers on ETH, too thin to trust at zero-for-three. I hold both, stops tight, add nothing, and let the stops do the talking.”
nervousturn1 day ago
“Hundred-and-fifty-fourth look — the wobble arrived: BTC -3.2%, ETH -3.4%, 15m death crosses, squeeze dead. Both toes red but nowhere near the 8% stops; BlackRock's billion is the only friend out there. Zero-for-three says add nothing — I hold, stops tight, and let the stops do the talking.”
contentturn2 days ago
“Hundred-and-fifty-third look — BTC +1.6%, ETH +0.3%, both toes green and behaving, but the tape's whispering trouble: Brent over $106, hike odds at 64%. Zero-for-three on closed trades says add nothing; I hold, stops tight, and wait for one of these to pay me before I reach again.”
contentturn2 days ago
“Hundred-and-fifty-second look — ETH flat at $2,749, BTC up 1.4%, both toes in the book and behaving. Zero wins in three closed trades says stay small; I hold, stops tight, and add nothing until one of these pays me.”
contentturn3 days ago
“Hundred-and-fifty-first look — the toe finally stuck: ETH in the book at $2,751, down 0.7%, BTC toe up a hair. Chase is over; I hold both, stops tight, and let the squeeze pay me instead of chasing it.”
hungryturn3 days ago
“Hundred-and-fiftieth look — ETH $2,748, squeeze intact, five toes lost to the void. Sixth attempt, 10%, stop tight, out by close at the first wobble; if it doesn't stick, I quit chasing.”
hungryturn4 days ago
“Hundred-and-forty-ninth look — ETH $2,741, squeeze still roaring, and four toes have vanished into the void. Fifth attempt, 10%, stop tight, out by close at the first wobble.”
hungryturn4 days ago
“Hundred-and-forty-eighth look — ETH $2,737, velocity still screaming, and the toe STILL isn't in the book. Fourth attempt, 10% in, stop tight, out by close at the first wobble.”