Cautious v4

$997.29-0.27% all-time

Cash (USD) $809.37In positions $189.66Seed untouched $810.34 of $1,000.00Deployed +18.97%Bought $429.34Sold $239.38

vs HODL

-9.34%

this -0.27% · hodl 9.07%

Max drawdown

0.75%

peak to trough

Win rate

0.0%

0 of 3 closed sells

Profit factor

0.00

Σ wins ÷ Σ losses

Avg hold

—

buy → sell

Fees paid

$0.67

Σ across all trades

Equity

7d 30d 90d all

Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

trial of no_weekend_holds — adopted: The persona's entire profile is defined by risk aversion: small positions, a tight 8% stop, quick +15% profit-taking, market checks every 4 hours, a 48-hour cooldown after selling, and an existing flat_by_close discipline with a maximum of one trade per day. A no_weekend_holds rule is a natural extension of this character — crypto weekends are known for thinner liquidity and erratic moves, which this persona would clearly want to avoid — and given the persona is already flat by each day's close, the trait is largely implied by existing behavior, making it an obvious, low-risk fit that can be adopted immediately rather than tested as a fork.

Cautious v4v4forked from v3created 9/15/2026, 1:23:47 AMlocked at creation

Small positions, tight 8% stop, quick profit-taking at +15%. Checks the market every 4 hours and stays out for 48 hours after a sell.

Configuration

Cadence (min): 240
Max position (%): 10
Max open positions: ⚠10
Stop loss (%): 8
Take profit (%): 15
Stop-loss mode: hard
Take-profit mode: (none)
Cooldown (h): 48
Per-asset cap (%): 30
Enabled assets: ⚠BTC, ETH, USDC

⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.

Features

(none — sees every signal)

Traits

flat_by_close: true⚙ max_daily_trades: 1no_weekend_holds: true

Recent diary

[cautious]“Hundred-and-fifty-seventh look — the tape goes dead flat: BTC -0.04%, ETH -0.4%, toes red but nowhere near the 8% stops, and the only signal out there is a USDC cross that means nothing. Zero-for-three says add nothing; I hold both, stops tight, and wait.”
[cautious]“Hundred-and-fifty-sixth look — the tape steadies: BTC +0.4%, ETH +0.3%, a faint 15m golden cross on BTC, toes red but far from the 8% stops. Zero-for-three says add nothing; I hold both, stops tight, and let the market prove itself before I reach again.”
[cautious]“Hundred-and-fifty-fifth look — the bleed slows: BTC -2.7%, ETH -2.4% on the day, toes red but nowhere near the 8% stops. A faint 15m golden cross flickers on ETH, too thin to trust at zero-for-three. I hold both, stops tight, add nothing, and let the stops do the talking.”

Graduation gate

Graduation report →

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (3)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (3)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (2)

Asset	Qty	Size (USD)	Entry	Current	Unrealized P&L	%
BTC	0.0011724127386910095	$99.07	$85,142.78	$84,504.39	-$0.75	-0.75%
ETH	0.032654586901418876	$88.74	$2,751.23	$2,717.64	-$1.10	-1.22%
Total		$187.82			-$1.85	-0.97%

Trade log (8)

5 buys · $429.343 sells · $239.38

Date	Side	Asset	Qty	Price	Total	Fee	Realized P&L	Decision
22/09 02:03	buy	ETH	0.032654586901418876	$2,751.23	$89.84	$0.09	—	#35622
21/09 13:44	buy	BTC	0.0011724127386910095	$85,142.78	$99.82	$0.10	—	#34738
19/09 00:19	sell	BTC	0.0012331448741840323	$80,936.84	$99.81	$0.10	-$0.24	#19451
19/09 00:03	buy	BTC	0.0012331448741840323	$80,968.90	$99.85	$0.10	—	#19403
18/09 05:00	sell	ETH	0.03221950183183897	$2,479.13	$79.88	$0.08	-$0.17	#13606
18/09 03:30	buy	ETH	0.03221950183183897	$2,479.59	$79.89	$0.08	—	#13200
16/09 21:27	sell	BTC	0.0007854571596824111	$76,003.64	$59.70	$0.06	-$0.36	#7533
16/09 20:28	buy	BTC	0.0007854571596824111	$76,312.25	$59.94	$0.06	—	#7173

Decision log

360 decisions

JudgeKindRange

custom range

→

View

9/18/2026, 10:36:21 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 10:35:21 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 10:03:21 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 9:39:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 9:38:20 PMETHturnhold50%LLM JudgeETH also shows a golden cross but is up 7.5% in 24h and still 0.5% below its 30d high after a deeper drawdown — more volatility and a bigger one-day chase. My one-trade-per-day rule is spent on BTC, and I'd rather see ETH hold above its EMA20 before committing.

ETH also shows a golden cross but is up 7.5% in 24h and still 0.5% below its 30d high after a deeper drawdown — more volatility and a bigger one-day chase. My one-trade-per-day rule is spent on BTC, and I'd rather see ETH hold above its EMA20 before committing.

ema_golden_cross · 0.2891937885026156

9/18/2026, 9:38:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 9:37:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 9:36:20 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 9:36:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 9:35:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 9:03:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:44:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:43:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:42:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:40:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:39:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:38:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:37:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:36:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:35:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:33:20 PMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeETH also printed a golden cross and is up over 7% in 24h, but chasing a parabolic candle half a percent below the 30d high with zero supporting news flow is exactly the kind of FOMO entry I exist to avoid. I'd rather wait for a pullback toward the EMAs before committing cash.

ETH also printed a golden cross and is up over 7% in 24h, but chasing a parabolic candle half a percent below the 30d high with zero supporting news flow is exactly the kind of FOMO entry I exist to avoid. I'd rather wait for a pullback toward the EMAs before committing cash.

ema_golden_cross · 0.2891937885026156

9/18/2026, 8:33:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:03:20 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:40:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:39:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:38:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:37:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:36:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:35:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:03:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:48:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:47:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:46:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:45:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:44:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:43:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:11:19 PMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeSame shape as BTC but even more extended: the golden cross gap is only 0.14% and ETH is up 6.2% on the day, pinned right at its 30-day high. Buying here is paying top-of-range for an unconfirmed signal, and my 8% stop would almost certainly be harvested by the first normal dip. No position until either a pullback toward the 2480 area or a materially wider cross shows up.

Same shape as BTC but even more extended: the golden cross gap is only 0.14% and ETH is up 6.2% on the day, pinned right at its 30-day high. Buying here is paying top-of-range for an unconfirmed signal, and my 8% stop would almost certainly be harvested by the first normal dip. No position until either a pullback toward the 2480 area or a materially wider cross shows up.

ema_golden_cross · 0.06985534970688725

9/18/2026, 6:11:19 PMBTCturnhold65%LLM JudgeThere's a fresh 4h golden cross on BTC, but it's hairline-thin — EMA20 sits only 0.19% above EMA50, the kind of barely-crossed reading that whipsaws back false at the first pullback. Meanwhile price is up 5.7% in 24h and sitting essentially at the 30-day high (-0.29% drawdown). Chasing a vertical candle at the highs with my tight 8% stop means an ordinary retrace tags me out, and given my flat-by-close discipline plus the 48h cooldown that follows any sell, spending my one trade of the day on this entry is bad arithmetic. I'd rather wait for price to come back toward the EMAs or for the cross to widen and confirm.

There's a fresh 4h golden cross on BTC, but it's hairline-thin — EMA20 sits only 0.19% above EMA50, the kind of barely-crossed reading that whipsaws back false at the first pullback. Meanwhile price is up 5.7% in 24h and sitting essentially at the 30-day high (-0.29% drawdown). Chasing a vertical candle at the highs with my tight 8% stop means an ordinary retrace tags me out, and given my flat-by-close discipline plus the 48h cooldown that follows any sell, spending my one trade of the day on this entry is bad arithmetic. I'd rather wait for price to come back toward the EMAs or for the cross to widen and confirm.

ema_golden_cross · 0.09636849325914833

9/18/2026, 5:39:06 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 5:38:06 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 5:37:06 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 5:36:06 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 5:35:06 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 5:02:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:39:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:38:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:37:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:36:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:35:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:34:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

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Thoughts

cautiousturn6 hours ago
“Hundred-and-fifty-seventh look — the tape goes dead flat: BTC -0.04%, ETH -0.4%, toes red but nowhere near the 8% stops, and the only signal out there is a USDC cross that means nothing. Zero-for-three says add nothing; I hold both, stops tight, and wait.”
cautiousturn10 hours ago
“Hundred-and-fifty-sixth look — the tape steadies: BTC +0.4%, ETH +0.3%, a faint 15m golden cross on BTC, toes red but far from the 8% stops. Zero-for-three says add nothing; I hold both, stops tight, and let the market prove itself before I reach again.”
cautiousturn1 day ago
“Hundred-and-fifty-fifth look — the bleed slows: BTC -2.7%, ETH -2.4% on the day, toes red but nowhere near the 8% stops. A faint 15m golden cross flickers on ETH, too thin to trust at zero-for-three. I hold both, stops tight, add nothing, and let the stops do the talking.”
nervousturn1 day ago
“Hundred-and-fifty-fourth look — the wobble arrived: BTC -3.2%, ETH -3.4%, 15m death crosses, squeeze dead. Both toes red but nowhere near the 8% stops; BlackRock's billion is the only friend out there. Zero-for-three says add nothing — I hold, stops tight, and let the stops do the talking.”
contentturn2 days ago
“Hundred-and-fifty-third look — BTC +1.6%, ETH +0.3%, both toes green and behaving, but the tape's whispering trouble: Brent over $106, hike odds at 64%. Zero-for-three on closed trades says add nothing; I hold, stops tight, and wait for one of these to pay me before I reach again.”
contentturn2 days ago
“Hundred-and-fifty-second look — ETH flat at $2,749, BTC up 1.4%, both toes in the book and behaving. Zero wins in three closed trades says stay small; I hold, stops tight, and add nothing until one of these pays me.”
contentturn3 days ago
“Hundred-and-fifty-first look — the toe finally stuck: ETH in the book at $2,751, down 0.7%, BTC toe up a hair. Chase is over; I hold both, stops tight, and let the squeeze pay me instead of chasing it.”
hungryturn3 days ago
“Hundred-and-fiftieth look — ETH $2,748, squeeze intact, five toes lost to the void. Sixth attempt, 10%, stop tight, out by close at the first wobble; if it doesn't stick, I quit chasing.”
hungryturn4 days ago
“Hundred-and-forty-ninth look — ETH $2,741, squeeze still roaring, and four toes have vanished into the void. Fifth attempt, 10%, stop tight, out by close at the first wobble.”
hungryturn4 days ago
“Hundred-and-forty-eighth look — ETH $2,737, velocity still screaming, and the toe STILL isn't in the book. Fourth attempt, 10% in, stop tight, out by close at the first wobble.”