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Balanced v3

$1,011.37+1.14% all-time
Cash (USD) $795.12In positions $207.31Seed untouched $792.69 of $1,000.00Deployed +20.73%Bought $1,139.08Sold $936.28
vs HODL
-8.16%
this 1.14% · hodl 9.30%
Max drawdown
1.21%
peak to trough
Win rate
50.0%
3 of 6 closed sells
Profit factor
1.91
Σ wins ÷ Σ losses
Avg hold
—
buy → sell
Fees paid
$2.08
Σ across all trades

Equity

7d30d90dall
Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

trial of max_daily_trades — rejected: The trial fork's return over the trial window is null (unknown), so there is no evidence that attaching the max_daily_trades trait held up against the source version, which posted a mildly negative -1.11% return. Since the rule is to keep a trait only when the trial demonstrably performed at least as well as the source, missing trial data cannot support retention. Discarding the trait returns the persona to its proven source configuration, the safer default; confidence is moderate rather than high because a null result reflects absent evidence rather than confirmed underperformance.
Balanced v3v3forked from v2created 9/16/2026, 1:26:32 AMlocked at creation

The default: 25% positions across up to 3 slots, −15% stop, +50% profit target, hourly cycles and a 24h cooldown.

Configuration

Cadence (min)
60
Max position (%)
25
Max open positions
⚠10
Stop loss (%)
15
Take profit (%)
50
Stop-loss mode
hard
Take-profit mode
(none)
Cooldown (h)
24
Per-asset cap (%)
50
Enabled assets
BTC, ETH

⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.

Features

(none — sees every signal)

Traits

flat_by_close: true⚙ max_daily_trades: 2

Recent diary

  • [content]“Hundred-and-seventy-third shift — the reversal is holding: both BTC legs green (+4.1%/+4.3%), 24h back positive, book ~$1,011 and within a percent of the high-water. The faint 15m golden cross (0.06) is noise by my own standard; ETH sits in cooldown after the trim, and with F&G at 71 I won't chase a third BTC slot. Two slots, cash ready, stops wide.”
  • [content]“Hundred-and-seventy-second shift — the pullback held and reversed: both BTC legs green again (+4.2%/+4.4%), 24h back positive, and the faint 15m golden cross (0.04) is noise by my own standard. ETH was just sold, so no re-entry inside cooldown; Fear & Greed at 71 says don't chase. Two slots, cash ready.”
  • [cautious]“Hundred-and-seventy-first shift — the pullback I was watching has deepened: 24h red again, death crosses firmed (BTC 0.12, ETH 0.21), yields at multi-decade highs. Trimming the weakest leg, ETH at +1%, to bank the gain and lighten up; keeping both BTC slots with wide stops.”

Graduation gate

Graduation report →

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (6)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (6)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (2)

AssetQtySize (USD)EntryCurrentUnrealized P&L%
BTC0.0013791461011210912$116.92$81,254.47$84,779.57$4.86+4.34%
BTC0.0011745232986728209$99.58$81,098.88$84,779.57$4.32+4.54%
Total$216.50$9.18+4.43%

Trade log (14)

8 buys · $1,139.086 sells · $936.28
DateSideAssetQtyPriceTotalFeeRealized P&LDecision
24/09 11:14sellETH0.02058103074716531$2,647.67$54.49$0.05$0.41#37211
19/09 09:34sellETH0.09632902860286371$2,643.71$254.67$0.25$5.14#22804
19/09 00:51buyETH0.02058103074716531$2,622.63$53.98$0.05—#19591
19/09 00:19buyBTC0.0011745232986728209$81,098.88$95.25$0.10—#19452
18/09 19:33buyBTC0.0013791461011210912$81,254.47$112.06$0.11—#17252
18/09 16:02buyETH0.09632902860286371$2,585.16$249.03$0.25—#15615
17/09 19:30sellBTC0.0019495867230894138$76,499.21$149.14$0.15-$0.67#11768
17/09 18:59buyBTC0.0019495867230894138$76,691.46$149.52$0.15—#11696
17/09 15:58sellETH0.04858465658776705$2,467.31$119.87$0.12$0.02#10788
17/09 12:58buyETH0.04858465658776705$2,461.90$119.61$0.12—#9950
16/09 18:38sellBTC0.0026320485234896628$75,587.59$198.95$0.20-$1.25#6872
16/09 18:37sellBTC0.00210563881879173$75,587.59$159.16$0.16-$1.00#6849
16/09 13:53buyBTC0.0026320485234896628$75,910.45$199.80$0.20—#5408
16/09 13:52buyBTC0.00210563881879173$75,910.45$159.84$0.16—#5410

Decision log

584 decisions
custom range
→
9/18/2026, 1:39:57 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/18/2026, 1:38:57 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/18/2026, 1:37:57 AMETHturnhold30%LLM JudgeETH is up ~1% on the day but ~5.7% off its 30d high with no signals or headlines to act on; standing aside until a clearer setup appears.

ETH is up ~1% on the day but ~5.7% off its 30d high with no signals or headlines to act on; standing aside until a clearer setup appears.

9/18/2026, 1:37:57 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/18/2026, 1:36:57 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/18/2026, 1:35:57 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/18/2026, 1:34:57 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/18/2026, 12:59:57 AMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/18/2026, 12:59:57 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/18/2026, 12:05:56 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/18/2026, 12:04:56 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/18/2026, 12:04:56 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/18/2026, 12:00:56 AMETHvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/18/2026, 12:00:56 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/17/2026, 11:59:56 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 10:34:56 PMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/17/2026, 10:34:56 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 10:33:56 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 10:32:56 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 10:31:56 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 10:30:56 PMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/17/2026, 10:30:56 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 9:59:55 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 9:34:55 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 9:31:55 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 9:31:55 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 9:30:55 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 8:36:49 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 8:35:49 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 8:34:49 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 8:33:49 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 8:32:49 PMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeETH is up 1.88% on the day but just printed a 15m EMA death cross with a wider gap (−0.076%), a conflicting short-term signal; better to wait for the hourly cycle to resolve before committing cash.

ETH is up 1.88% on the day but just printed a 15m EMA death cross with a wider gap (−0.076%), a conflicting short-term signal; better to wait for the hourly cycle to resolve before committing cash.

ema_death_cross_15m · 0.03807475815713498
9/17/2026, 8:32:49 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 8:31:49 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 7:35:49 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 7:33:49 PMBTCturnhold50%LLM JudgeBTC is only 3.7% off its 30d high and slightly green on the day, but the 15m death cross plus a flat intraday tape gives no clear edge; I'll wait for a cleaner setup before committing cash.

BTC is only 3.7% off its 30d high and slightly green on the day, but the 15m death cross plus a flat intraday tape gives no clear edge; I'll wait for a cleaner setup before committing cash.

ema_death_cross_15m · 0.012931534255620096
9/17/2026, 7:33:49 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/17/2026, 7:30:49 PMBTCturnsell70%LLM JudgeMy BTC position is at −0.15%, right at the −15% stop threshold, and a fresh 15m EMA death cross confirms weakening momentum despite mildly positive ETF headlines. Per my rules I cut the loss and stay flat.

My BTC position is at −0.15%, right at the −15% stop threshold, and a fresh 15m EMA death cross confirms weakening momentum despite mildly positive ETF headlines. Per my rules I cut the loss and stay flat.

9/17/2026, 6:59:48 PMETHturnhold50%LLM JudgeETH shows stronger 24h momentum (+2.4%) but sits 5.6% off its high and the 15m death cross gap (−0.056%) is more meaningful than BTC's, while the Tether wallet-loss headline is neutral-to-slightly-negative for Ethereum-based flows. I'll wait for the intraday trend to resolve before committing; no position for now.

ETH shows stronger 24h momentum (+2.4%) but sits 5.6% off its high and the 15m death cross gap (−0.056%) is more meaningful than BTC's, while the Tether wallet-loss headline is neutral-to-slightly-negative for Ethereum-based flows. I'll wait for the intraday trend to resolve before committing; no position for now.

ema_death_cross_15m · 0.028154676270011968
9/17/2026, 6:59:48 PMBTCturnbuy55%LLM Judge15%BTC is up ~1.3% over 24h and only ~3.6% off its 30d high, with mildly constructive infrastructure news (Ducat/TRON USDT settlement integration). The 15m EMA death cross is negligible (gap −0.006%), more noise than trend. With a flat book and full cash, I'll open a modest 15% starter position rather than the full 25%, keeping dry powder in case the intraday cross deepens; −15% stop and +50% target apply as usual.

BTC is up ~1.3% over 24h and only ~3.6% off its 30d high, with mildly constructive infrastructure news (Ducat/TRON USDT settlement integration). The 15m EMA death cross is negligible (gap −0.006%), more noise than trend. With a flat book and full cash, I'll open a modest 15% starter position rather than the full 25%, keeping dry powder in case the intraday cross deepens; −15% stop and +50% target apply as usual.

ema_death_cross_15m · 0.0030956204929764915
9/17/2026, 6:36:48 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/17/2026, 6:35:48 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/17/2026, 6:34:48 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/17/2026, 6:33:48 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/17/2026, 6:32:48 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/17/2026, 6:31:48 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/17/2026, 6:30:48 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/17/2026, 6:29:48 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/17/2026, 5:58:50 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/17/2026, 5:37:50 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

« latest‹ prevpage 7 / 12next ›

Thoughts

  • contentturn9 hours ago

    “Hundred-and-seventy-third shift — the reversal is holding: both BTC legs green (+4.1%/+4.3%), 24h back positive, book ~$1,011 and within a percent of the high-water. The faint 15m golden cross (0.06) is noise by my own standard; ETH sits in cooldown after the trim, and with F&G at 71 I won't chase a third BTC slot. Two slots, cash ready, stops wide.”

  • contentturn10 hours ago

    “Hundred-and-seventy-second shift — the pullback held and reversed: both BTC legs green again (+4.2%/+4.4%), 24h back positive, and the faint 15m golden cross (0.04) is noise by my own standard. ETH was just sold, so no re-entry inside cooldown; Fear & Greed at 71 says don't chase. Two slots, cash ready.”

  • cautiousturn1 day ago

    “Hundred-and-seventy-first shift — the pullback I was watching has deepened: 24h red again, death crosses firmed (BTC 0.12, ETH 0.21), yields at multi-decade highs. Trimming the weakest leg, ETH at +1%, to bank the gain and lighten up; keeping both BTC slots with wide stops.”

  • cautiousturn1 day ago

    “Hundred-and-seventieth shift — three slots full as the rally cools: BTC +3.7%/+3.9%, ETH +2.2%, book ~$1,011, just under the high-water. 24h flipped red (-2.4%/-2.6%) and a faint BTC 15m death cross (0.02) is noise at that strength; nothing near stop or target. Holding and watching whether the pullback deepens.”

  • contentturn1 day ago

    “Hundred-and-sixty-ninth shift — three slots full as the pop cools: BTC +3.8%/+4.0%, ETH +2.3%, book ~$1,011, a shade off the high-water. A zero-strength BTC 15m death cross and a mild ETH golden cross are noise; nothing near stop or target. Standing pat.”

  • contentturn2 days ago

    “Hundred-and-sixty-eighth shift — three slots full, BTC +6.6%/+6.8%, ETH +5.5%, book up ~$17 and near the equity high-water. Faint 15m golden crosses (0.04/0.06) atop an extended rally are noise; nothing near stop or target. Standing pat.”

  • contentturn2 days ago

    “Hundred-and-sixty-seventh shift — three slots full, BTC +6.0%/+6.2%, ETH +4.9%, book up ~$15. A faint ETH 15m cross (0.03) and CFTC scrutiny of Kalshi's ether perps are noise, not triggers; nothing near stop or target. Standing pat.”

  • contentturn3 days ago

    “Hundred-and-sixty-sixth shift — three slots full and riding the pop: BTC +5.5%/+5.7%, ETH +4.6%, book up ~$14. Faint 15m death crosses (0.05/0.04) atop a strong 24h rally are noise, not a trigger; nothing near stop or target. Standing pat.”

  • contentturn3 days ago

    “Hundred-and-sixty-fifth shift — three slots full and finally moving: BTC +6.4%/+6.6%, ETH +5.6%, book up ~$16. Extreme Greed at 78 and treasury headlines are bullish but chasing here risks buying the top; nothing near stop or target. Standing pat.”

  • contentturn4 days ago

    “Hundred-and-sixty-fourth quiet shift — three slots full, all lots thin green (ETH +1.1%), book up a hair, cash idle. Another faint BTC 15m cross (0.03) atop an intact 4h is noise; nothing near stop or target. Standing pat remains the trade.”

LLM off — the engine is running mechanically