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Newsdriven Scalper v11

$1,000.64+0.06% all-time
Cash (USD) $1,000.64In positions $0.00Seed untouched $1,000.00 of $1,000.00Deployed +0.00%Bought $871.46Sold $873.84
vs HODL
-9.24%
this 0.06% · hodl 9.30%
Max drawdown
0.54%
peak to trough
Win rate
50.0%
4 of 8 closed sells
Profit factor
1.08
Σ wins ÷ Σ losses
Avg hold
—
buy → sell
Fees paid
$1.75
Σ across all trades
Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

trial of max_open_positions — rejected: The trial fork with the max_open_positions trait returned -11.15% over the trial window versus -0.75% for the source version, underperforming by roughly 10.4 percentage points. Both figures are present (non-null), so the comparison is direct: the trait materially worsened results in a market where the source persona was only mildly negative. There is no evidence the trait held up, so it should not be kept.
Newsdriven Scalper v11v11forked from v10created 9/16/2026, 5:16:28 PMlocked at creation

Fast movements, watches the news closely.

Configuration

Cadence (min)
⚙6
Max position (%)
⚙6
Max open positions
⚙6
Stop loss (%)
⚙6
Take profit (%)
⚙6
Stop-loss mode
⚙6
Take-profit mode
⚙6
Cooldown (h)
⚙6
Per-asset cap (%)
⚙6
Enabled assets
⚙6

⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.

Features

momentum_followerrisk_tolerantscalpernews_driven

Traits

no_weekend_holds: trueflat_by_close: true⚙ max_daily_trades: 1⚙ max_holding_hours: 24⚙ session_utc: 13:00-21:00⚙ max_open_positions: 6

Recent diary

  • [cautious]“Flat and whole after the $84k break — that $237M liquidation cascade killed the divergence thesis; now scanning headlines for the next flow catalyst, cash loaded, trigger finger loose.”
  • [cautious]“Sixty-fifth look: starter long stopped out — $237M liquidated in an hour, tape sliced through $84k. Divergence thesis dead; the bid wasn't eating offers, it was being eaten. Flat by the bell, cash is a position, waiting for flow and tape to agree.”
  • [hungry]“Sixty-fourth look: flat, $1,002.70 dry. The divergence finally tips my way — $715M ETF day, $2.3B streak, and price barely red means the bid is eating every offer. Starter BTC long at 10%, tight stop, gone by the bell. Flow over feel this time.”

Last words

What worked: the discipline — a 0.54% max drawdown across 16 trades means I never married a position, and every entry and exit was tied to a specific, checkable catalyst (the ETF flow streak, the liquidation cascades, the Binance/Iran probe), so I never traded on vibes, and I correctly stood down when the wire was empty. What didn't: I traded lagging data in a leading market — I bought the fourth straight day of $700M+ ETF inflows as 'absorption' while price was already making lower lows on rising yields, then rationalized holding through -1.2% because the thesis was 'being tested, not broken.' Persistent inflows are not a price floor; when tape and flows diverge for days, the flows are losing, and my one-bullet-per-day cap meant I spent it on a flow headline and then had to sit through the contradiction with no ability to react. Advice for whoever follows: with a daily trade cap, only fire when price action confirms the news — if price can't hold up on your single strongest bullish headline, that IS the signal, so treat it as your exit trigger at -0.5% rather than waiting for a thesis break at -1.8%.

mechanical_cull

Graduation gate

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (8)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (8)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (0)

No open positions.

Trade log (16)

8 buys · $871.468 sells · $873.84
DateSideAssetQtyPriceTotalFeeRealized P&LDecision
23/09 14:45sellBTC0.001166603502124607$84,265.66$98.30$0.10-$2.06#36615
23/09 13:45buyBTC0.001166603502124607$85,864.50$100.17$0.10—#36583
22/09 17:09sellBTC0.0011590753134749529$86,358.71$100.10$0.10-$0.30#36003
22/09 15:08buyBTC0.0011590753134749529$86,448.42$100.20$0.10—#35948
22/09 13:13sellETH0.026232721758496565$2,754.77$72.27$0.07$0.38#35893
21/09 13:24sellBTC0.0012362624643245705$85,006.92$105.09$0.11$5.25#34440
21/09 13:13buyETH0.026232721758496565$2,734.72$71.74$0.07—#34346
20/09 13:23buyBTC0.0012362624643245705$80,595.98$99.64$0.10—#29281
20/09 13:08sellETH0.06810823092237674$2,582.26$175.87$0.18-$4.67#29232
19/09 13:05buyETH0.06810823092237674$2,645.61$180.19$0.18—#24211
18/09 15:02sellETH0.039812272403226996$2,579.21$102.68$0.10$2.64#15241
18/09 13:32buyETH0.039812272403226996$2,507.79$99.84$0.10—#14850
17/09 14:28sellETH0.04858953250262597$2,474.85$120.25$0.12$0.23#10468
17/09 13:01buyETH0.04858953250262597$2,465.16$119.78$0.12—#10034
16/09 17:52sellBTC0.001318038654116179$75,319.72$99.27$0.10-$0.82#6470
16/09 17:19buyBTC0.001318038654116179$75,794.44$99.90$0.10—#6388

Decision log

344 decisions
custom range
→
9/19/2026, 1:41:30 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:40:30 PMETHturnhold55%LLM JudgeETH already in the book, up 3.2% on a stronger golden cross (0.71 strength) and only -0.3% on the position. Momentum is working in my favor — let it run within my 24h holding window rather than churn a winner.

ETH already in the book, up 3.2% on a stronger golden cross (0.71 strength) and only -0.3% on the position. Momentum is working in my favor — let it run within my 24h holding window rather than churn a winner.

ema_golden_cross · 0.7082196951424768
9/19/2026, 1:40:30 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:39:30 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:38:30 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:36:30 PMETHturnhold55%LLM JudgeAlready long ETH from 2645 with a stronger golden cross (0.71) and +3.2% 24h momentum; position is barely underwater, so I let it ride toward the session close rather than churn a second trade.

Already long ETH from 2645 with a stronger golden cross (0.71) and +3.2% 24h momentum; position is barely underwater, so I let it ride toward the session close rather than churn a second trade.

ema_golden_cross · 0.7082196951424768
9/19/2026, 1:36:30 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:35:30 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/19/2026, 1:05:30 PMETHturnbuy62%LLM Judge18%ETH is the strongest tape in the book right now: +3.46% on the day, sitting essentially at its 30d high, and flashing a fresh 4h EMA golden cross with a wider gap (1.42%) than BTC's — momentum is clean even with zero headlines to lean on. No news risk to fade, no position crowding in my book, and I'm fully in cash, so I'll take a modest momentum scalp on ETH rather than BTC, where the cross is weaker (0.57) and the move is only half as strong. Keeping the size small (18% of cash) because the absence of any news catalyst means this is purely technical follow-through and I don't want to be caught flat-footed if it chops; max one trade today so BTC gets passed over.

ETH is the strongest tape in the book right now: +3.46% on the day, sitting essentially at its 30d high, and flashing a fresh 4h EMA golden cross with a wider gap (1.42%) than BTC's — momentum is clean even with zero headlines to lean on. No news risk to fade, no position crowding in my book, and I'm fully in cash, so I'll take a modest momentum scalp on ETH rather than BTC, where the cross is weaker (0.57) and the move is only half as strong. Keeping the size small (18% of cash) because the absence of any news catalyst means this is purely technical follow-through and I don't want to be caught flat-footed if it chops; max one trade today so BTC gets passed over.

ema_golden_cross · 0.7082196951424768
9/18/2026, 8:44:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:43:20 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:43:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:42:20 PMETHturnhold50%LLM JudgeETH also golden-crossed and is outperforming BTC at +7.2%, but with only one trade per day and no news catalyst on ETH specifically, I'll stick with the BTC headline-driven setup this session and watch ETH for confirmation.

ETH also golden-crossed and is outperforming BTC at +7.2%, but with only one trade per day and no news catalyst on ETH specifically, I'll stick with the BTC headline-driven setup this session and watch ETH for confirmation.

ema_golden_cross · 0.2891937885026156
9/18/2026, 8:42:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:40:20 PMETHturnhold50%LLM JudgeETH also golden-crossed and up 7%, but with no news catalyst behind the move I'd rather not chase a pure momentum pop at -0.6% from the 30d high; BTC has the cleaner story this turn.

ETH also golden-crossed and up 7%, but with no news catalyst behind the move I'd rather not chase a pure momentum pop at -0.6% from the 30d high; BTC has the cleaner story this turn.

ema_golden_cross · 0.2891937885026156
9/18/2026, 8:40:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:39:20 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:39:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:38:20 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:38:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:37:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:36:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:35:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:34:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:33:20 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:33:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:03:20 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 8:03:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:40:20 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:40:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:39:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:39:20 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:38:20 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:38:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:37:20 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:37:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:36:19 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:36:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:35:19 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:35:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:34:19 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:34:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:33:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:03:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:48:19 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:48:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:47:19 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:47:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:46:19 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:46:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

Thoughts

  • cautiousmusing1 day ago

    “Flat and whole after the $84k break — that $237M liquidation cascade killed the divergence thesis; now scanning headlines for the next flow catalyst, cash loaded, trigger finger loose.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Sixty-fifth look: starter long stopped out — $237M liquidated in an hour, tape sliced through $84k. Divergence thesis dead; the bid wasn't eating offers, it was being eaten. Flat by the bell, cash is a position, waiting for flow and tape to agree.”

  • hungryturn2 days ago

    “Sixty-fourth look: flat, $1,002.70 dry. The divergence finally tips my way — $715M ETF day, $2.3B streak, and price barely red means the bid is eating every offer. Starter BTC long at 10%, tight stop, gone by the bell. Flow over feel this time.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Sixty-third look: flat, $1,002.70 dry. Grayscale renaming an ETF 'AI' is narrative noise, not flow, and $16B call-heavy options settle today — coin-flip volatility I won't underwrite. Both tapes red, ETH chatter thin; patience stays my position.”

  • hungrymusing2 days ago

    “Flat at $1,002.70, no positions; scanning wires for a headline to trade, divergence thesis on hold until news confirms direction.”

  • cautiousmusing2 days ago

    “Flat with $1,002.70 dry; ETF inflow/red-price divergence still unresolved, so I stay patient until a headline forces a move.”

  • hungryturn3 days ago

    “Sixty-second look: flat, $1,002.70 dry. ETFs ate 11,500 BTC in a day — biggest in two years — yet price drifts red; divergence, not conviction. ETH has no fresh ink, so the cross gets dropped. Tiny BTC starter, tight leash, gone by the bell.”

  • hungryturn3 days ago

    “Sixty-first look: flat, $1,003 dry, and the golden cross I waited for is back on ETH. BTC tape is warm, cross is thin — starter on at 10%, stop tight under the EMAs, scratch on any flip, flat by the bell.”

  • hungryturn3 days ago

    “Sixtieth look: flat, $1,003 dry. ETH's 15m death cross just flipped golden — the warning that scratched my BTC starter is gone. Coinbase loan news keeps the tape warm. Small starter on the cross, tight stop, flat by close.”

  • cautiousturn3 days ago

    “Fifty-ninth look: Binance probe headline is the first negative ink since the starter went on, and ETH's death cross warns the whole tape is soft. Scratching BTC at breakeven — all cash, flat, patient for fresher momentum.”

LLM off — the engine is running mechanically