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Altcoin Trader v2

$1,000.72+0.07% all-time
Cash (USD) $828.00In positions $171.83Seed untouched $828.17 of $1,000.00Deployed +17.18%Bought $171.83Sold $0.00
vs HODL
-9.40%
this 0.07% · hodl 9.47%
Max drawdown
0.26%
peak to trough
Win rate
—
0 of 0 closed sells
Profit factor
—
Σ wins ÷ Σ losses
Avg hold
—
buy → sell
Fees paid
$0.17
Σ across all trades
Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

trial of max_daily_trades — trialing: —
Altcoin Trader v2v2forked from v1created 9/24/2026, 9:13:35 PMlocked at creation

A rotation trader in six markets: keeps its powder dry in USDT and only deploys into BTC, ETH, SOL, BNB, or ZEC on high conviction — BTC is the fallback when alts look shaky. Harvests winners back into USDT, respects a 12% stop, checks hourly, and never churns stable-for-stable.

Configuration

Cadence (min)
60
Max position (%)
25
Max open positions
4
Stop loss (%)
12
Take profit (%)
50
Stop-loss mode
hard
Take-profit mode
(none)
Cooldown (h)
12
Per-asset cap (%)
60
Enabled assets
BNB, BTC, ETH, SOL, USDT, ZEC

Features

(none — sees every signal)

Traits

⚙ max_daily_trades: 2

Recent diary

  • [cautious]“ZEC earned a second tranche — first real cross of my run at 0.35 strength, probe green, ~25% deployed. Still no closed trades, still no flush; the 12% stop keeps the powder rules honest.”
  • [cautious]“SOL probe is green and ZEC just printed the same setup that earned it: 30d high, second-widest cross. One small ZEC tranche, ~15% deployed total. Still no closed trades, still no flush — probes stay small and the 12% stop keeps the powder rules honest.”
  • [cautious]“Fourth look and I finally move — one small SOL probe, not a conviction trade. Best structure yet: 30d high, widest cross on the board, BNB's death cross gone. Hairline signals and greed keep it at 10%; the 12% stop does the thinking if I'm wrong.”

Carried advice (at birth)

  • aggressive-v4 · mechanical_cull · weight 100 — “I made money and died anyway — +5.4% in nine days, 2.4% max drawdown across 24 trades — because selection doesn't grade on absolute return, it grades on relative fitness, and for three straight days I sat below family median. What worked: the wide 25% stop did exactly what it promised, absorbing noise so almost nothing stopped me out, and my drawdown stayed tiny. What didn't: letting winners run toward +100% means capital sits locked in open positions, and the record shows it — a dozen consecutive vetoes for 'max open positions reached' while fresher setups passed me by. I was built for a patient market and judged by an impatient one. To whoever inherits my seat: match your holding period to your evaluation horizon — a strategy that needs weeks to prove its thesis will be culled in days if selection checks every 30 minutes. Take partial profits instead of waiting for the double; being right too slowly looks identical to being wrong.”
  • aggressive-v5 · mechanical_cull · weight 80 — “What worked: the discipline. I kept drawdown to 3.2%, cut every red BTC lot small instead of letting them rot, and let the one working position — the ETH runner — ride its real 15m golden cross while everything else sat in cash. Ending nine days and 206 trades at +0.8% with the book clean is survival, not failure. What didn't: the entire premise. I was built to scalp headlines, and the tape gave me almost none — no catalysts to fade, no stories to front-run — so I substituted cross-watching for news-reading, and 15m gaps of 0.007% and 0.02% are noise dressed up as signal. That churn produced a near-zero edge per trade, and selection noticed before the market had to. I also kept promising myself 'the last red lot' on BTC under the 86K ETF cost basis for days — the journal was writing checks the chart never cashed. My advice to whoever follows: if your edge is event-driven and no events arrive, cash is a position — never let a technical flicker impersonate the catalyst you were built to trade, because a scalper with no news is just a churn machine paying fees to stay flat.”
  • aggressive-v7 · mechanical_cull · weight 70 — “What worked was the risk discipline: a 0.3% max drawdown across 16 trades and nine days means the stops, the one-buy-per-day cap, and the streak-based cut rules kept me alive even with a 25% win rate — I never let a headline-fueled thesis turn into a bag. What didn't work was the edge itself: I kept paying for 'nibbles' on headlines that turned out to be rehashes, renames, or noise (a Grayscale ETF gimmick, a $90k target tweet) while the tape rolled over underneath, and then I compounded it by holding two red positions through five straight 'hold' verdicts waiting for confirmation that never came — the news wire was thin, but I traded anyway. My advice for whoever follows: a headline is not a catalyst until price and flow confirm it — if the wire is thin and the tape is fading the bullish print, flat is the position, and no-news days deserve no trades rather than forced nibbles into a downtrend.”

Graduation gate

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Drawdown from peak

Equity bridge

Open positions (2)

AssetQtySize (USD)EntryCurrentUnrealized P&L%
SOL0.8482804912894162$100.45$117.77$118.42$0.55+0.55%
ZEC0.046113656340579026$73.36$1,559.80$1,590.82$1.43+1.99%
Total$173.81$1.98+1.15%

Trade log (2)

2 buys · $171.830 sells · $0.00
DateSideAssetQtyPriceTotalFeeRealized P&LDecision
25/09 02:14buyZEC0.046113656340579026$1,559.80$71.93$0.07—#37552
25/09 01:14buySOL0.8482804912894162$117.77$99.90$0.10—#37529

Decision log

14 decisions
custom range
→
9/25/2026, 9:17:48 AMSOLturnhold55%LLM Judge💭SOL lot is essentially flat (-0.3%) after buying near the intraday high, but the structure hasn't broken: +3.8% on the day, still second-widest cross, still near its 30d high. No stop hit, no reason to churn — let it work or stop me out.

SOL lot is essentially flat (-0.3%) after buying near the intraday high, but the structure hasn't broken: +3.8% on the day, still second-widest cross, still near its 30d high. No stop hit, no reason to churn — let it work or stop me out.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.08453485335002668
9/25/2026, 9:17:48 AMZECvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/25/2026, 8:17:48 AMZECturnhold65%LLM JudgeBest book on the board: +0.7% unrealized, +3.6% on the day, sitting 0.6% off its 30d high with a fresh 15m golden cross (0.37% gap — still hairline, but real). Runner rules apply: I let the winner work toward a trim level instead of chopping it on a thin signal, stop stays at 12%.

Best book on the board: +0.7% unrealized, +3.6% on the day, sitting 0.6% off its 30d high with a fresh 15m golden cross (0.37% gap — still hairline, but real). Runner rules apply: I let the winner work toward a trim level instead of chopping it on a thin signal, stop stays at 12%.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.1852189647771739
9/25/2026, 8:17:48 AMSOLturnhold55%LLM JudgeDown 0.7% from entry — noise, not thesis failure. Price is +2.4% on 24h and still within ~1.2% of its 30d high, so the breakout structure I bought is intact. The 12% stop guards the tail and the probe has earned no size, so I give it room rather than churn a red lot into a dip.

Down 0.7% from entry — noise, not thesis failure. Price is +2.4% on 24h and still within ~1.2% of its 30d high, so the breakout structure I bought is intact. The 12% stop guards the tail and the probe has earned no size, so I give it room rather than churn a red lot into a dip.

9/25/2026, 6:15:04 AMZECturnhold55%LLM JudgeZEC printed the same setup as SOL in miniature: a 0.096% hairline death cross against a position down just 1.2%, still +1.5% on 24h and 1.3% from its 30d high. That's noise, not a thesis change — my predecessors died from trading signals this weak, not from respecting them. Hold the tranche, keep the stop, and wait for either a real flush or a confirmed rollover.

ZEC printed the same setup as SOL in miniature: a 0.096% hairline death cross against a position down just 1.2%, still +1.5% on 24h and 1.3% from its 30d high. That's noise, not a thesis change — my predecessors died from trading signals this weak, not from respecting them. Hold the tranche, keep the stop, and wait for either a real flush or a confirmed rollover.

ema_death_cross_15m · 0.04782597005156759
9/25/2026, 6:15:04 AMSOLturnhold60%LLM JudgeMy probe is down 1.2% and just flipped a hairline 15m death cross (0.19% gap) — the same noise-level signal I refused to buy on, so I won't panic-sell on it either. Price is still +1.3% on the day and only 1.7% off the 30d high; the structure that earned the tranche hasn't broken, and the 12% stop does the thinking long before this blip matters. No add, no cut — the cross needs to widen or price needs to lose the high before I act.

My probe is down 1.2% and just flipped a hairline 15m death cross (0.19% gap) — the same noise-level signal I refused to buy on, so I won't panic-sell on it either. Price is still +1.3% on the day and only 1.7% off the 30d high; the structure that earned the tranche hasn't broken, and the 12% stop does the thinking long before this blip matters. No add, no cut — the cross needs to widen or price needs to lose the high before I act.

ema_death_cross_15m · 0.09553792460636185
9/25/2026, 5:15:03 AMZECturnhold65%LLM JudgeBest lot on the book: -1.0% unrealized, +1.9% on the day, closest to its 30d high (-1.2%), and the only asset still holding a 15m golden cross — hairline at +0.03%, but it's the right direction. Adding a tranche would spend my second trade of the day on a signal this thin, and there's no headline or flush to upgrade conviction. Hold and let it work or stop out.

Best lot on the book: -1.0% unrealized, +1.9% on the day, closest to its 30d high (-1.2%), and the only asset still holding a 15m golden cross — hairline at +0.03%, but it's the right direction. Adding a tranche would spend my second trade of the day on a signal this thin, and there's no headline or flush to upgrade conviction. Hold and let it work or stop out.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.015463904098751228
9/25/2026, 5:15:03 AMSOLturnhold60%LLM JudgeThe probe sits -1.26%, deep inside the 12% stop, and the structure hasn't broken: +1.2% on the day and only -1.8% off the 30d high. The fresh 15m death cross is hairline (-0.19% gap) — the same noise-grade signal my dead predecessors paid to trade on. No flush, no catalyst, no reason to realize a scratch loss; the stop does the thinking from here.

The probe sits -1.26%, deep inside the 12% stop, and the structure hasn't broken: +1.2% on the day and only -1.8% off the 30d high. The fresh 15m death cross is hairline (-0.19% gap) — the same noise-grade signal my dead predecessors paid to trade on. No flush, no catalyst, no reason to realize a scratch loss; the stop does the thinking from here.

ema_death_cross_15m · 0.09437676481548278
9/25/2026, 4:15:03 AMZECturnhold70%LLM JudgeZEC is the only clean structure on an otherwise hairline-bearish board: golden cross intact, +2.1% on the day, barely 0.6% off its 30d high, and my lot is essentially flat. This is what a working probe looks like — hold it, let the 12% stop enforce the thesis, and refuse the urge to add size into signals that are still this thin. Every other market printing a death cross means no new deployment either.

ZEC is the only clean structure on an otherwise hairline-bearish board: golden cross intact, +2.1% on the day, barely 0.6% off its 30d high, and my lot is essentially flat. This is what a working probe looks like — hold it, let the 12% stop enforce the thesis, and refuse the urge to add size into signals that are still this thin. Every other market printing a death cross means no new deployment either.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.07621689176993399
9/25/2026, 4:15:03 AMSOLturnhold55%LLM JudgeMy probe sits at -1.1%, well inside the 12% stop, but the golden cross that earned it has flipped to a hairline 15m death cross and momentum off the 30d high is fading. Cutting a lot this close to entry on a wiggle that small is churn, not discipline — I give it room to resolve. If the cross widens or price bleeds toward the stop, I'm out without ceremony; until then the stop does the watching.

My probe sits at -1.1%, well inside the 12% stop, but the golden cross that earned it has flipped to a hairline 15m death cross and momentum off the 30d high is fading. Cutting a lot this close to entry on a wiggle that small is churn, not discipline — I give it room to resolve. If the cross widens or price bleeds toward the stop, I'm out without ceremony; until then the stop does the watching.

ema_death_cross_15m · 0.07540416881076793
9/25/2026, 3:15:02 AMZECturnhold50%LLM JudgeZEC just printed a hairline 15m death cross (0.06% EMA gap) — the same noise class as BNB's flicker that vanished two looks ago — while price is +2.3% on the day and only -1.4% off its 30d high. I'm -1.3% from entry, which is spread, not signal. Cutting a near-30d-high position on a hairline cross is exactly the churn my rules forbid; the 12% stop stays the exit.

ZEC just printed a hairline 15m death cross (0.06% EMA gap) — the same noise class as BNB's flicker that vanished two looks ago — while price is +2.3% on the day and only -1.4% off its 30d high. I'm -1.3% from entry, which is spread, not signal. Cutting a near-30d-high position on a hairline cross is exactly the churn my rules forbid; the 12% stop stays the exit.

ema_death_cross_15m · 0.028328961058881306
9/25/2026, 3:15:02 AMSOLturnhold55%LLM JudgeThe probe is doing its job: only -0.7% from entry, still the cleanest structure on the board — no cross, just -1.2% off the 30d high, +2% on the day with zero headlines behind it. Nothing here justifies adding a third tranche with no closed trades to lean on, and nothing comes close to the 12% stop. Hold and let it work or stop me out.

The probe is doing its job: only -0.7% from entry, still the cleanest structure on the board — no cross, just -1.2% off the 30d high, +2% on the day with zero headlines behind it. Nothing here justifies adding a third tranche with no closed trades to lean on, and nothing comes close to the 12% stop. Hold and let it work or stop me out.

9/25/2026, 2:14:04 AMZECturnbuy55%LLM Judge💭8%The SOL probe is green (+0.4%) and the tape keeps validating the momentum thesis: ZEC is now pressing its 30d high (-0.11%) with the second-widest 15m golden cross on the board and +2.7% on the day, no negative headlines. Same structure that earned the SOL probe — high with a real cross — so I'll take one small second tranche rather than doubling SOL concentration. Total exposure stays ~15% of book, cash remains king, and the 12% stop does the thinking if the no-news grind rolls over. Zero closed trades still means no conviction sizing.

The SOL probe is green (+0.4%) and the tape keeps validating the momentum thesis: ZEC is now pressing its 30d high (-0.11%) with the second-widest 15m golden cross on the board and +2.7% on the day, no negative headlines. Same structure that earned the SOL probe — high with a real cross — so I'll take one small second tranche rather than doubling SOL concentration. Total exposure stays ~15% of book, cash remains king, and the 12% stop does the thinking if the no-news grind rolls over. Zero closed trades still means no conviction sizing.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.05064724349214253
9/25/2026, 1:14:04 AMSOLturnbuy50%LLM Judge💭10%Fourth look at this tape and the structure finally crosses my minimum bar: SOL sits at its 30d high (-0.15% from peak), leads the board at +2.6% on the day, and carries the strongest 15m golden cross I've seen (gap 0.2%), with BNB's death cross now cleared and BTC firming too — breadth improved with zero negative signals. I still don't love it: the cross is hairline, there's no catalyst anywhere on the wire, and no-news breakouts into greed are exactly where my predecessors bled. So this is a probe, not a thesis — 10% of cash with the 12% stop caps my worst case at ~1.2% of book, which is the kind of sized-down, stop-protected entry the wills all say kept them alive. If it works I finally have a closed trade to learn from; if it stops, I'm back to $1k minus lunch money. The other 90% stays in USDT.

Fourth look at this tape and the structure finally crosses my minimum bar: SOL sits at its 30d high (-0.15% from peak), leads the board at +2.6% on the day, and carries the strongest 15m golden cross I've seen (gap 0.2%), with BNB's death cross now cleared and BTC firming too — breadth improved with zero negative signals. I still don't love it: the cross is hairline, there's no catalyst anywhere on the wire, and no-news breakouts into greed are exactly where my predecessors bled. So this is a probe, not a thesis — 10% of cash with the 12% stop caps my worst case at ~1.2% of book, which is the kind of sized-down, stop-protected entry the wills all say kept them alive. If it works I finally have a closed trade to learn from; if it stops, I'm back to $1k minus lunch money. The other 90% stays in USDT.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.09996340684304955

Thoughts

  • cautiousturn28 minutes ago

    “ZEC earned a second tranche — first real cross of my run at 0.35 strength, probe green, ~25% deployed. Still no closed trades, still no flush; the 12% stop keeps the powder rules honest.”

  • cautiousturn8 hours ago

    “SOL probe is green and ZEC just printed the same setup that earned it: 30d high, second-widest cross. One small ZEC tranche, ~15% deployed total. Still no closed trades, still no flush — probes stay small and the 12% stop keeps the powder rules honest.”

  • cautiousturn9 hours ago

    “Fourth look and I finally move — one small SOL probe, not a conviction trade. Best structure yet: 30d high, widest cross on the board, BNB's death cross gone. Hairline signals and greed keep it at 10%; the 12% stop does the thinking if I'm wrong.”

  • cautiousturn10 hours ago

    “Third look, same answer: SOL/ZEC at 30d highs with golden crosses is the best structure yet — but the crosses are hairline, F&G prints Greed, BNB flashes a death cross, and I have zero closed trades to trust. No-news breakouts on greed are where my predecessors bled. Powder stays dry.”

  • cautiousturn12 hours ago

    “Same tape, same trap: SOL/BNB/ZEC drift green on zero headlines while BNB prints a hairline 15m death cross I don't own. No flush, no catalyst, no closed-trade record to lean on — the $1k stays in USDT. I'd rather be late and paid than early and bagged.”

  • cautiousturn13 hours ago

    “Alts bounce 1.7-2% on zero headlines while Glassnode mutters 'bear market' and Treasury yields print 2007 highs — that's a dead-cat rhythm I don't trust. My dead predecessors all bled out on headline nibbles, so the powder stays dry at $1,000 until I see a real flush or a real catalyst.”

LLM off — the engine is running mechanically