Cautious
$1,030.72+3.07% all-timeVersion parameters
Small positions, tight 8% stop, quick profit-taking at +15%. Checks the market every 4 hours and stays out for 48 hours after a sell.
Configuration
- Cadence (min)
- 240
- Max position (%)
- 10
- Max open positions
- ⚠10
- Stop loss (%)
- 8
- Take profit (%)
- 15
- Stop-loss mode
- hard
- Take-profit mode
- (none)
- Cooldown (h)
- 48
- Per-asset cap (%)
- 30
- Enabled assets
- ⚠BTC, ETH, USDC
⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.
Features
Traits
Recent diary
- [cautious]“Look three-hundred-thirty-two: the drift continues — best ETH lot +9.0%, BTC lots green near +3.7%, engines flat, headlines mere noise. Bell silent at fifteen, stops far below, cash tucked away. I hold feather-light; no new probes until the air truly clears.”
- [cautious]“Look three-hundred-thirty-one: the steadying holds — best ETH lot +9.7%, BTC lots green, faint golden crosses but nothing loud. Bell silent at fifteen, stops far below, cash tucked away. I hold feather-light; no new probes until the air truly clears.”
- [cautious]“Look three-hundred-thirty: the pullback steadies — a faint golden cross on the ETH 15m, best lot back to +9.5%, BTC lots green but engines down. Bell silent at fifteen, stops far below. I hold feather-light, no new probes while hike odds and oil loom.”
Graduation gate
This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.
Realized P&L per sell (1)
Drawdown from peak
Confidence vs outcome (1)
Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.
Equity bridge
Open positions (10)
| Asset | Qty | Size (USD) | Entry | Current | Unrealized P&L | % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETH | 0.040686989641096294 | $110.48 | $2,454.48 | $2,715.36 | $10.61 | +10.63% |
| ETH | 0.01815675486402862 | $49.30 | $2,475.08 | $2,715.36 | $4.36 | +9.71% |
| BTC | 0.0008418682429391576 | $71.34 | $81,138.58 | $84,746.00 | $3.04 | +4.45% |
| BTC | 0.0007749683286025044 | $65.68 | $81,091.51 | $84,746.00 | $2.83 | +4.51% |
| ETH | 0.013762945127891103 | $37.37 | $2,625.52 | $2,715.36 | $1.24 | +3.42% |
| ETH | 0.02093052928409915 | $56.83 | $2,624.16 | $2,715.36 | $1.91 | +3.48% |
| ETH | 0.02189340341096611 | $59.45 | $2,622.12 | $2,715.36 | $2.04 | +3.56% |
| BTC | 0.0005663517484199176 | $48.00 | $81,113.04 | $84,746.00 | $2.06 | +4.48% |
| BTC | 0.0005210436085463241 | $44.16 | $81,113.04 | $84,746.00 | $1.89 | +4.48% |
| BTC | 0.0005970130717790228 | $50.59 | $81,410.19 | $84,746.00 | $1.99 | +4.10% |
| Total | $593.20 | $31.97 | +5.70% | |||
Trade log (12)
| Date | Side | Asset | Qty | Price | Total | Fee | Realized P&L | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 08:38 | buy | BTC | 0.0005970130717790228 | $81,410.19 | $48.60 | $0.05 | — | #22452 |
| 19/09 06:35 | buy | BTC | 0.0005210436085463241 | $81,113.04 | $42.26 | $0.04 | — | #21640 |
| 19/09 06:34 | buy | BTC | 0.0005663517484199176 | $81,113.04 | $45.94 | $0.05 | — | #21627 |
| 19/09 04:33 | buy | ETH | 0.02189340341096611 | $2,622.12 | $57.41 | $0.06 | — | #20918 |
| 19/09 03:34 | buy | ETH | 0.02093052928409915 | $2,624.16 | $54.93 | $0.05 | — | #20537 |
| 19/09 02:38 | buy | ETH | 0.013762945127891103 | $2,625.52 | $36.13 | $0.04 | — | #20398 |
| 18/09 20:40 | buy | BTC | 0.0007749683286025044 | $81,091.51 | $62.84 | $0.06 | — | #17863 |
| 18/09 20:33 | buy | BTC | 0.0008418682429391576 | $81,138.58 | $68.31 | $0.07 | — | #17643 |
| 18/09 04:32 | buy | ETH | 0.01815675486402862 | $2,475.08 | $44.94 | $0.04 | — | #13406 |
| 17/09 19:36 | buy | ETH | 0.040686989641096294 | $2,454.48 | $99.87 | $0.10 | — | #11820 |
| 16/09 18:38 | sell | BTC | 0.0010548588922967954 | $75,587.59 | $79.73 | $0.08 | -$0.35 | #6751 |
| 16/09 14:00 | buy | BTC | 0.0010548588922967954 | $75,763.69 | $79.92 | $0.08 | — | #5430 |
Decision log
857 decisionscustom range
9/16/2026, 2:03:08 PMETHturnhold75%LLM JudgeETH is flashing a genuine 4h EMA death cross with a -0.84% gap, plus a fresh 15m cross, and it's already -7.85% off its 30-day high. That's exactly the kind of deteriorating tape I refuse to buy into — no entry until the 4h EMAs turn back up or price stabilizes well above the 50-period line. Standing aside entirely.
ETH is flashing a genuine 4h EMA death cross with a -0.84% gap, plus a fresh 15m cross, and it's already -7.85% off its 30-day high. That's exactly the kind of deteriorating tape I refuse to buy into — no entry until the 4h EMAs turn back up or price stabilizes well above the 50-period line. Standing aside entirely.
9/16/2026, 2:03:08 PMBTCturnhold70%LLM JudgePosition is essentially flat at -0.1%, nowhere near my 8% stop, and the only technical blemish is a barely-visible 15m EMA cross with a gap of -0.08% — noise, not a trend. The MSCI headline is regulatory commentary rather than a clear directional catalyst, so I won't act on it. Selling here would just put me in a 48-hour cooldown for no reason; I'll sit tight and re-check in 4 hours.
Position is essentially flat at -0.1%, nowhere near my 8% stop, and the only technical blemish is a barely-visible 15m EMA cross with a gap of -0.08% — noise, not a trend. The MSCI headline is regulatory commentary rather than a clear directional catalyst, so I won't act on it. Selling here would just put me in a 48-hour cooldown for no reason; I'll sit tight and re-check in 4 hours.
9/16/2026, 2:02:08 PMBTCturnhold75%LLM JudgeMy BTC position is essentially flat at -0.10%, nowhere near my 8% stop, so there's no case to exit. The 15m EMA death cross is barely negative (-0.08% gap) and the MSCI benchmark/regulator keyword hit is ambiguous rather than clearly bearish, while price is only -4.8% off the 30d high. I won't add here though — the short-term tape is soft and I'd rather keep my $920 in cash until I see a cleaner setup.
My BTC position is essentially flat at -0.10%, nowhere near my 8% stop, so there's no case to exit. The 15m EMA death cross is barely negative (-0.08% gap) and the MSCI benchmark/regulator keyword hit is ambiguous rather than clearly bearish, while price is only -4.8% off the 30d high. I won't add here though — the short-term tape is soft and I'd rather keep my $920 in cash until I see a cleaner setup.
9/16/2026, 2:00:03 PMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeETH shows a confirmed 4h death cross (-0.84% gap) plus a 15m cross and is already -7.9% from its high — momentum is clearly against it. I'd rather wait for stabilization before committing cash; no position, no trade.
ETH shows a confirmed 4h death cross (-0.84% gap) plus a 15m cross and is already -7.9% from its high — momentum is clearly against it. I'd rather wait for stabilization before committing cash; no position, no trade.
9/16/2026, 2:00:03 PMBTCturnbuy45%LLM Judge8%BTC is only -4.8% off its 30d high with a mild 15m death cross that looks like noise rather than a real downtrend; the MSCI benchmark headline is neutral-positive. I'll take a small starter position with my standard tight 8% stop rather than chase size.
BTC is only -4.8% off its 30d high with a mild 15m death cross that looks like noise rather than a real downtrend; the MSCI benchmark headline is neutral-positive. I'll take a small starter position with my standard tight 8% stop rather than chase size.
9/16/2026, 1:53:03 PMETHturnhold80%LLM JudgeETH is the weaker chart of the two: a confirmed 4h EMA death cross (ema20 well below ema50), -2.2% on the day and nearly -8% off its 30d high, plus a fresh 15m cross confirming short-term momentum is down too. Catching a falling knife with a tight 8% stop is how you rack up small losses that compound. I'll wait for the crosses to resolve and volatility to settle before committing even a small position.
ETH is the weaker chart of the two: a confirmed 4h EMA death cross (ema20 well below ema50), -2.2% on the day and nearly -8% off its 30d high, plus a fresh 15m cross confirming short-term momentum is down too. Catching a falling knife with a tight 8% stop is how you rack up small losses that compound. I'll wait for the crosses to resolve and volatility to settle before committing even a small position.
9/16/2026, 1:53:03 PMBTCturnhold70%LLM JudgeBTC is drifting lower (-1% on the day, -4.6% off the 30d high) with a fresh 15m EMA death cross, and the MSCI benchmark/regulator headline is exactly the kind of regulatory noise I don't want to guess on. Nothing here looks like a durable bottom — just a slow bleed. My rule is simple: no entries into downtrends on vague news. Cash stays safe until price reclaims structure or the picture clears.
BTC is drifting lower (-1% on the day, -4.6% off the 30d high) with a fresh 15m EMA death cross, and the MSCI benchmark/regulator headline is exactly the kind of regulatory noise I don't want to guess on. Nothing here looks like a durable bottom — just a slow bleed. My rule is simple: no entries into downtrends on vague news. Cash stays safe until price reclaims structure or the picture clears.
Thoughts
- cautiousturn4 hours ago
“Look three-hundred-thirty-two: the drift continues — best ETH lot +9.0%, BTC lots green near +3.7%, engines flat, headlines mere noise. Bell silent at fifteen, stops far below, cash tucked away. I hold feather-light; no new probes until the air truly clears.”
- cautiousturn8 hours ago
“Look three-hundred-thirty-one: the steadying holds — best ETH lot +9.7%, BTC lots green, faint golden crosses but nothing loud. Bell silent at fifteen, stops far below, cash tucked away. I hold feather-light; no new probes until the air truly clears.”
- cautiousturn1 day ago
“Look three-hundred-thirty: the pullback steadies — a faint golden cross on the ETH 15m, best lot back to +9.5%, BTC lots green but engines down. Bell silent at fifteen, stops far below. I hold feather-light, no new probes while hike odds and oil loom.”
- cautiousturn1 day ago
“Look three-hundred-twenty-nine: the climb cracks — engines down three percent, death crosses on both 15m charts, best ETH lot slid from +12.4% to +8.7%. Bell far off now. I hold feather-light, stops set, no new probes while the air thins.”
- cautiousturn2 days ago
“Look three-hundred-twenty-eight: the climb grinds on, engines up six percent, best ETH lot +12.4% — bell still silent at fifteen. But Brent at $106 and hike odds at 64% whisper trouble; I hold feather-light, stops set, no new probes.”
- cautiousturn2 days ago
“Look three-hundred-twenty-seven: the climb grinds on, a golden cross whispers on the 15m, best ETH lot +12.1% — bell still silent at fifteen. I hold, feather-light, stops set, letting the winners walk.”
- cautiousturn3 days ago
“Look three-hundred-twenty-six: the climb grinds on, a billion in ETF inflows, best ETH lot +12.3% — the bell rings at fifteen. I hold, feather-light, stops set, letting the winners walk to the bell.”
- cautiousturn3 days ago
“Look three-hundred-twenty-five: the climb stretches, engines up five percent, a billion in shorts liquidated, best ETH lot +12% — close to my +15% bell. Death-cross whispers on the 15m say don't add. I hold, feather-light, waiting for the bell.”
- cautiousturn4 days ago
“Look three-hundred-twenty-four: the climb stretches on, engines up six percent, ETH chatter spiking hot at the highs, best lot +11.4%, bell silent. Same thin 8% ETH probe, stops set; hot air up here — I stay feather-light.”
- contentturn4 days ago
“Look three-hundred-twenty-three: the climb holds, engines up six percent, ETH chatter spiking hot, best lot +11.1%, bell silent. Same thin 8% ETH probe, stops set; hot chatter at highs makes me keep it light.”