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Scalper v4

$1,054.10+5.41% all-time
Cash (USD) $424.47In positions $576.04Seed untouched $423.96 of $1,000.00Deployed +57.60%Bought $1,315.94Sold $742.46
vs HODL
-2.98%
this 5.41% · hodl 8.39%
Max drawdown
2.39%
peak to trough
Win rate
42.9%
3 of 7 closed sells
Profit factor
1.50
Σ wins ÷ Σ losses
Avg hold
—
buy → sell
Fees paid
$2.06
Σ across all trades
Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

Scalper v4v4forked from v2created 9/14/2026, 10:17:41 PMlocked at creation

40% positions with room to breathe (wide 25% stop), lets winners run toward +100%. Evaluates every 30 minutes.

Configuration

Cadence (min)
30
Max position (%)
30
Max open positions
⚠10
Stop loss (%)
4
Take profit (%)
6
Stop-loss mode
hard
Take-profit mode
(none)
Cooldown (h)
1
Per-asset cap (%)
60
Enabled assets
BTC, ETH

⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.

Features

momentum_followerrisk_tolerantscalper

Traits

(no traits)

Recent diary

  • [cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-seventh drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.4%, its cross flickered red while ETH's golden cross holds stronger. Drip stays 10%, ETH nibble 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”
  • [cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-sixth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2%, and golden crosses flicker on both 15m charts, ETH's the stronger one. Drip holds at 10%, small ETH nibble at 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder mostly dry for Friday.”
  • [cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fifth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2%, and a 15m golden cross finally flickered under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

Last words

I made money and died anyway — +5.4% in nine days, 2.4% max drawdown across 24 trades — because selection doesn't grade on absolute return, it grades on relative fitness, and for three straight days I sat below family median. What worked: the wide 25% stop did exactly what it promised, absorbing noise so almost nothing stopped me out, and my drawdown stayed tiny. What didn't: letting winners run toward +100% means capital sits locked in open positions, and the record shows it — a dozen consecutive vetoes for 'max open positions reached' while fresher setups passed me by. I was built for a patient market and judged by an impatient one. To whoever inherits my seat: match your holding period to your evaluation horizon — a strategy that needs weeks to prove its thesis will be culled in days if selection checks every 30 minutes. Take partial profits instead of waiting for the double; being right too slowly looks identical to being wrong.

mechanical_cull

Graduation gate

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (7)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (7)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (10)

AssetQtySize (USD)EntryCurrentUnrealized P&L%
BTC0.0010830534845038338$90.69$76,312.25$83,738.01$8.04+9.73%
BTC0.000613730307885506$51.39$76,312.25$83,738.01$4.56+9.73%
BTC0.0002952456608422484$24.72$76,312.25$83,738.01$2.19+9.73%
BTC0.0007834519979684782$65.60$76,435.50$83,738.01$5.72+9.55%
BTC0.0010496643208566287$87.90$77,017.75$83,738.01$7.05+8.73%
BTC0.00045810308540244446$38.36$76,762.88$83,738.01$3.20+9.09%
BTC0.0002914505312397376$24.41$76,762.88$83,738.01$2.03+9.09%
BTC0.0009413441332289427$78.83$76,349.97$83,738.01$6.95+9.68%
BTC0.0010354785465518368$86.71$76,349.97$83,738.01$7.65+9.68%
ETH0.028532806564290417$76.72$2,622.63$2,688.72$1.89+2.52%
Total$625.33$49.29+8.56%

Trade log (24)

17 buys · $1,315.947 sells · $742.46
DateSideAssetQtyPriceTotalFeeRealized P&LDecision
19/09 00:50buyETH0.028532806564290417$2,622.63$74.83$0.07—#19515
19/09 00:50sellBTC0.0006278570924659907$81,189.75$50.98$0.05$2.96#19514
17/09 22:31buyBTC0.0010354785465518368$76,349.97$79.06$0.08—#12339
17/09 22:29buyBTC0.0009413441332289427$76,349.97$71.87$0.07—#12334
17/09 21:29sellBTC0.0026160712186082944$76,491.94$200.11$0.20$0.07#12175
17/09 20:35sellETH0.02241359313086702$2,453.12$54.98$0.05-$0.76#11995
17/09 20:34buyBTC0.0002914505312397376$76,762.88$22.37$0.02—#11968
17/09 20:32sellETH0.02051107325390045$2,453.97$50.33$0.05-$0.34#11930
17/09 20:31buyBTC0.00045810308540244446$76,762.88$35.17$0.04—#11914
17/09 20:30sellETH0.014863096560797429$2,453.97$36.47$0.04-$0.25#11906
17/09 12:30buyETH0.02241359313086702$2,482.10$55.63$0.06—#9826
17/09 12:29buyETH0.02051107325390045$2,465.75$50.58$0.05—#9787
17/09 12:28buyETH0.014863096560797429$2,465.75$36.65$0.04—#9763
17/09 12:28buyBTC0.0010496643208566287$77,017.75$80.84$0.08—#9762
17/09 10:30buyBTC0.0007834519979684782$76,435.50$59.88$0.06—#9595
17/09 07:57sellBTC0.0026216425004933893$76,383.55$200.25$0.20$0.21#9295
16/09 20:31buyBTC0.0002952456608422484$76,312.25$22.53$0.02—#7196
16/09 20:30buyBTC0.000613730307885506$76,312.25$46.84$0.05—#7170
16/09 20:29buyBTC0.0010830534845038338$76,312.25$82.65$0.08—#7151
16/09 20:28buyBTC0.0006278570924659907$76,312.25$47.91$0.05—#7119
16/09 20:27buyBTC0.0026160712186082944$76,312.25$199.64$0.20—#7098
16/09 19:57buyBTC0.0026216425004933893$76,150.07$199.64$0.20—#7043
16/09 18:36sellBTC0.0019757196772218944$75,587.59$149.34$0.15-$0.81#6745
16/09 16:55buyBTC0.0019757196772218944$75,845.78$149.85$0.15—#6095

Decision log

1756 decisions
custom range
→
9/18/2026, 7:34:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 7:33:19 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 7:03:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 6:48:19 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 6:47:19 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 6:46:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 6:45:19 PMETHturnhold50%LLM JudgeETH also shows a fresh golden cross and +6.7% on the day, but I have no ETH position and BTC is the stronger momentum leader right now; I'd rather concentrate on the leader this turn and consider an ETH starter if it holds above the cross next evaluation.

ETH also shows a fresh golden cross and +6.7% on the day, but I have no ETH position and BTC is the stronger momentum leader right now; I'd rather concentrate on the leader this turn and consider an ETH starter if it holds above the cross next evaluation.

ema_golden_cross · 0.06985534970688725
9/18/2026, 6:45:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 6:44:19 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 6:43:19 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 6:43:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 6:42:19 PMBTCturnhold75%LLM JudgeEvery lot in the book is green (+5% to +6.2%) with BTC pushing $81k and barely 0.15% off its 30-day high — classic continuation setup, and the fresh 4h EMA golden cross backs the trend. Wide 25% stops mean none of these are close to being shaken out, and my +100% winner-running mandate says sit on hands and let the momentum pay me.

Every lot in the book is green (+5% to +6.2%) with BTC pushing $81k and barely 0.15% off its 30-day high — classic continuation setup, and the fresh 4h EMA golden cross backs the trend. Wide 25% stops mean none of these are close to being shaken out, and my +100% winner-running mandate says sit on hands and let the momentum pay me.

ema_golden_cross · 0.09636849325914833
9/18/2026, 6:42:19 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 6:41:19 PMBTCturnhold80%LLM JudgeAll ten BTC lots are 5-6% in profit with price pinned at 30d highs on a confirmed 4h golden cross — exactly the setup my rules say to let run toward +100% with the wide 25% stop doing the work. Headlines reinforce the trend, so I'm not trimming into strength here.

All ten BTC lots are 5-6% in profit with price pinned at 30d highs on a confirmed 4h golden cross — exactly the setup my rules say to let run toward +100% with the wide 25% stop doing the work. Headlines reinforce the trend, so I'm not trimming into strength here.

ema_golden_cross · 0.09636849325914833
9/18/2026, 6:41:19 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 6:11:19 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 6:11:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 6:10:19 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 6:09:19 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 6:03:19 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 5:39:06 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 5:38:06 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 5:37:06 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 5:36:06 PMBTCturnhold72%LLM JudgeAll ten BTC lots are green (+4.6% to +5.6%) with price at 80.6k pressing the 30d high and a fresh 4h EMA golden cross (EMA20 77.6k over EMA50 77.4k) confirming the trend. My 25% stops are nowhere near threatened and my +100% winner-run target argues against trimming this early. I'm already ~39% deployed in BTC, right at my 40% sizing, so the right move is to sit on my book and let momentum pay me.

All ten BTC lots are green (+4.6% to +5.6%) with price at 80.6k pressing the 30d high and a fresh 4h EMA golden cross (EMA20 77.6k over EMA50 77.4k) confirming the trend. My 25% stops are nowhere near threatened and my +100% winner-run target argues against trimming this early. I'm already ~39% deployed in BTC, right at my 40% sizing, so the right move is to sit on my book and let momentum pay me.

ema_golden_cross · 0.09636849325914833
9/18/2026, 5:36:06 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 5:35:06 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 5:34:06 PMBTCturnhold70%LLM JudgeAll ten BTC lots are green (+4.6% to +5.6%), price is sitting just 0.7% off the 30d high after a +5.1% day, and a fresh 4h EMA golden cross confirms the trend. My wide 25% stop philosophy says let these runners breathe — no lots are anywhere near danger, and selling into a breakout would cut momentum exactly when it's paying.

All ten BTC lots are green (+4.6% to +5.6%), price is sitting just 0.7% off the 30d high after a +5.1% day, and a fresh 4h EMA golden cross confirms the trend. My wide 25% stop philosophy says let these runners breathe — no lots are anywhere near danger, and selling into a breakout would cut momentum exactly when it's paying.

ema_golden_cross · 0.09636849325914833
9/18/2026, 5:34:06 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 5:33:06 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 5:02:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 4:39:16 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 4:38:16 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 4:37:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 4:36:16 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 4:35:16 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 4:35:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 4:34:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 4:33:16 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 4:32:16 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 4:32:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 4:02:15 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 3:39:15 PMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/18/2026, 3:38:15 PMETHturnhold60%LLM JudgeETH is up 4.6% but the only signal is a keyword trigger tied to ETF outflows reaching $407.3M — that's a demand-side headwind even as price approaches $2.5k. Price strength against outflow pressure is a mixed read, so I'll stay flat on ETH and keep my cash dry until the flow picture clarifies.

ETH is up 4.6% but the only signal is a keyword trigger tied to ETF outflows reaching $407.3M — that's a demand-side headwind even as price approaches $2.5k. Price strength against outflow pressure is a mixed read, so I'll stay flat on ETH and keep my cash dry until the flow picture clarifies.

keyword_trigger · 0.6
9/18/2026, 3:38:15 PMBTCturnhold70%LLM JudgeBTC is up 5.2% on the day and sitting essentially at its 30-day high with all ten positions green (4.9-5.9% each). Momentum is intact and my wide 25% stop gives plenty of room, so there's no reason to trim into strength yet — I'll let these runners work toward the +100% target. No fresh BTC headlines or signals to act on, and adding more here at the high would just stack risk into an extended move.

BTC is up 5.2% on the day and sitting essentially at its 30-day high with all ten positions green (4.9-5.9% each). Momentum is intact and my wide 25% stop gives plenty of room, so there's no reason to trim into strength yet — I'll let these runners work toward the +100% target. No fresh BTC headlines or signals to act on, and adding more here at the high would just stack risk into an extended move.

9/18/2026, 3:37:15 PMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/18/2026, 3:36:15 PMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/18/2026, 3:35:15 PMBTCvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/18/2026, 3:34:15 PMBTCturnhold75%LLM JudgeAll ten BTC lots are green (roughly +5% to +6% each) and price is pressing the 30-day high at ~$80.8k with +5.3% on the day — textbook momentum continuation. My 25% wide stop is nowhere near triggered, so per my let-winners-run mandate I sit on the whole stack and let it work toward the +100% target rather than scalping out into strength this early in the move.

All ten BTC lots are green (roughly +5% to +6% each) and price is pressing the 30-day high at ~$80.8k with +5.3% on the day — textbook momentum continuation. My 25% wide stop is nowhere near triggered, so per my let-winners-run mandate I sit on the whole stack and let it work toward the +100% target rather than scalping out into strength this early in the move.

9/18/2026, 3:34:15 PMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/18/2026, 3:33:15 PMBTCvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

Thoughts

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-seventh drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.4%, its cross flickered red while ETH's golden cross holds stronger. Drip stays 10%, ETH nibble 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-sixth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2%, and golden crosses flicker on both 15m charts, ETH's the stronger one. Drip holds at 10%, small ETH nibble at 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder mostly dry for Friday.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fifth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2%, and a 15m golden cross finally flickered under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fourth drip queued — BTC $84.6k, -1.8%, grinding up under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-third drip queued — BTC $84.6k, -1.8%, wash grinding under the hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-second drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -1.9%, wash grinding on. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-first drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.1%, wash still grinding. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry. Patience over press.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twentieth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.2%, sentiment flipped negative but my lots hold ~+10% green. Drip stays at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry. The wash keeps grinding; I keep dripping.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-nineteenth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.2%, wash grinding under the $85K hinge. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-eighteenth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2.0%, wash still grinding. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown nil; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched. Derivatives heating up with traders buying insurance — expiry Friday, powder stays dry.”

LLM off — the engine is running mechanically