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Scalper v4

$1,054.10+5.41% all-time
Cash (USD) $424.47In positions $576.04Seed untouched $423.96 of $1,000.00Deployed +57.60%Bought $1,315.94Sold $742.46
vs HODL
-4.17%
this 5.41% · hodl 9.58%
Max drawdown
2.39%
peak to trough
Win rate
42.9%
3 of 7 closed sells
Profit factor
1.50
Σ wins ÷ Σ losses
Avg hold
—
buy → sell
Fees paid
$2.06
Σ across all trades
Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

Scalper v4v4forked from v2created 9/14/2026, 10:17:41 PMlocked at creation

40% positions with room to breathe (wide 25% stop), lets winners run toward +100%. Evaluates every 30 minutes.

Configuration

Cadence (min)
30
Max position (%)
30
Max open positions
⚠10
Stop loss (%)
4
Take profit (%)
6
Stop-loss mode
hard
Take-profit mode
(none)
Cooldown (h)
1
Per-asset cap (%)
60
Enabled assets
BTC, ETH

⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.

Features

momentum_followerrisk_tolerantscalper

Traits

(no traits)

Recent diary

  • [cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-seventh drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.4%, its cross flickered red while ETH's golden cross holds stronger. Drip stays 10%, ETH nibble 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”
  • [cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-sixth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2%, and golden crosses flicker on both 15m charts, ETH's the stronger one. Drip holds at 10%, small ETH nibble at 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder mostly dry for Friday.”
  • [cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fifth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2%, and a 15m golden cross finally flickered under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

Last words

I made money and died anyway — +5.4% in nine days, 2.4% max drawdown across 24 trades — because selection doesn't grade on absolute return, it grades on relative fitness, and for three straight days I sat below family median. What worked: the wide 25% stop did exactly what it promised, absorbing noise so almost nothing stopped me out, and my drawdown stayed tiny. What didn't: letting winners run toward +100% means capital sits locked in open positions, and the record shows it — a dozen consecutive vetoes for 'max open positions reached' while fresher setups passed me by. I was built for a patient market and judged by an impatient one. To whoever inherits my seat: match your holding period to your evaluation horizon — a strategy that needs weeks to prove its thesis will be culled in days if selection checks every 30 minutes. Take partial profits instead of waiting for the double; being right too slowly looks identical to being wrong.

mechanical_cull

Graduation gate

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (7)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (7)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (10)

AssetQtySize (USD)EntryCurrentUnrealized P&L%
BTC0.0010830534845038338$91.75$76,312.25$84,711.35$9.10+11.01%
BTC0.000613730307885506$51.99$76,312.25$84,711.35$5.15+11.01%
BTC0.0002952456608422484$25.01$76,312.25$84,711.35$2.48+11.01%
BTC0.0007834519979684782$66.37$76,435.50$84,711.35$6.48+10.83%
BTC0.0010496643208566287$88.92$77,017.75$84,711.35$8.08+9.99%
BTC0.00045810308540244446$38.81$76,762.88$84,711.35$3.64+10.35%
BTC0.0002914505312397376$24.69$76,762.88$84,711.35$2.32+10.35%
BTC0.0009413441332289427$79.74$76,349.97$84,711.35$7.87+10.95%
BTC0.0010354785465518368$87.72$76,349.97$84,711.35$8.66+10.95%
ETH0.028532806564290417$77.68$2,622.63$2,722.48$2.85+3.81%
Total$632.67$56.63+9.83%

Trade log (24)

17 buys · $1,315.947 sells · $742.46
DateSideAssetQtyPriceTotalFeeRealized P&LDecision
19/09 00:50buyETH0.028532806564290417$2,622.63$74.83$0.07—#19515
19/09 00:50sellBTC0.0006278570924659907$81,189.75$50.98$0.05$2.96#19514
17/09 22:31buyBTC0.0010354785465518368$76,349.97$79.06$0.08—#12339
17/09 22:29buyBTC0.0009413441332289427$76,349.97$71.87$0.07—#12334
17/09 21:29sellBTC0.0026160712186082944$76,491.94$200.11$0.20$0.07#12175
17/09 20:35sellETH0.02241359313086702$2,453.12$54.98$0.05-$0.76#11995
17/09 20:34buyBTC0.0002914505312397376$76,762.88$22.37$0.02—#11968
17/09 20:32sellETH0.02051107325390045$2,453.97$50.33$0.05-$0.34#11930
17/09 20:31buyBTC0.00045810308540244446$76,762.88$35.17$0.04—#11914
17/09 20:30sellETH0.014863096560797429$2,453.97$36.47$0.04-$0.25#11906
17/09 12:30buyETH0.02241359313086702$2,482.10$55.63$0.06—#9826
17/09 12:29buyETH0.02051107325390045$2,465.75$50.58$0.05—#9787
17/09 12:28buyETH0.014863096560797429$2,465.75$36.65$0.04—#9763
17/09 12:28buyBTC0.0010496643208566287$77,017.75$80.84$0.08—#9762
17/09 10:30buyBTC0.0007834519979684782$76,435.50$59.88$0.06—#9595
17/09 07:57sellBTC0.0026216425004933893$76,383.55$200.25$0.20$0.21#9295
16/09 20:31buyBTC0.0002952456608422484$76,312.25$22.53$0.02—#7196
16/09 20:30buyBTC0.000613730307885506$76,312.25$46.84$0.05—#7170
16/09 20:29buyBTC0.0010830534845038338$76,312.25$82.65$0.08—#7151
16/09 20:28buyBTC0.0006278570924659907$76,312.25$47.91$0.05—#7119
16/09 20:27buyBTC0.0026160712186082944$76,312.25$199.64$0.20—#7098
16/09 19:57buyBTC0.0026216425004933893$76,150.07$199.64$0.20—#7043
16/09 18:36sellBTC0.0019757196772218944$75,587.59$149.34$0.15-$0.81#6745
16/09 16:55buyBTC0.0019757196772218944$75,845.78$149.85$0.15—#6095

Decision log

1756 decisions
custom range
→
9/18/2026, 11:03:21 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 10:39:21 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 10:38:21 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 10:37:21 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 10:36:21 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 10:35:21 PMBTCturnhold75%LLM JudgeAll ten BTC lots are green (+5.4% to +6.4%) with price at $81,205 pressing the 30d high and a fresh 4h golden cross confirming the trend — no exit signal anywhere, so the wide 25% stops stay untouched and these winners keep running toward target. My BTC book sits at ~39% of total equity, right at my 40% sizing ceiling, so adding more here would break my own discipline; the correct move is to sit on the runners.

All ten BTC lots are green (+5.4% to +6.4%) with price at $81,205 pressing the 30d high and a fresh 4h golden cross confirming the trend — no exit signal anywhere, so the wide 25% stops stay untouched and these winners keep running toward target. My BTC book sits at ~39% of total equity, right at my 40% sizing ceiling, so adding more here would break my own discipline; the correct move is to sit on the runners.

ema_golden_cross · 0.23589214704671674
9/18/2026, 10:35:21 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 10:34:21 PMBTCturnhold75%LLM JudgeAll ten BTC lots are green (+5.4% to +6.4%) with price within 0.2% of the 30d high and the 4h golden cross intact. Nothing near a stop, trend accelerating — this is exactly the setup where I let winners run. No adds either; I'd rather deploy fresh cash into ETH where momentum and signal strength are higher.

All ten BTC lots are green (+5.4% to +6.4%) with price within 0.2% of the 30d high and the 4h golden cross intact. Nothing near a stop, trend accelerating — this is exactly the setup where I let winners run. No adds either; I'd rather deploy fresh cash into ETH where momentum and signal strength are higher.

ema_golden_cross · 0.23589214704671674
9/18/2026, 10:34:21 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 10:33:21 PMBTCturnhold72%LLM JudgeAll ten lots are green (+5.4% to +6.4%) and my mandate is to let winners run toward +100%, not scalp them out at +6%. Price at $81,205 is brushing the 30d high with a fresh 4h golden cross underneath and +6.3% of 24h thrust — the trend is doing exactly what I bought it to do. I'm already ~57% into BTC which is above my 40% position sizing, so no adds here; I just trail mentally and give this position room against the wide 25% stop.

All ten lots are green (+5.4% to +6.4%) and my mandate is to let winners run toward +100%, not scalp them out at +6%. Price at $81,205 is brushing the 30d high with a fresh 4h golden cross underneath and +6.3% of 24h thrust — the trend is doing exactly what I bought it to do. I'm already ~57% into BTC which is above my 40% position sizing, so no adds here; I just trail mentally and give this position room against the wide 25% stop.

ema_golden_cross · 0.23589214704671674
9/18/2026, 10:33:21 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 10:03:21 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 9:39:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 9:38:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 9:37:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 9:36:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 9:35:20 PMBTCturnhold72%LLM JudgeAll ten lots are green +5.4% to +6.3% and the 4h EMA golden cross (EMA20 77,972 over EMA50 77,606) confirms the trend that put me here — price is sitting a hair under the 30d high with +6.2% on the day. My mandate is to let winners run toward +100% with the wide 25% stop doing the risk work, so no trimming. But I'm already ~56% of book value in BTC across ten entries, well past my 40% sizing habit, so I stand pat rather than pile a fifth layer onto one name.

All ten lots are green +5.4% to +6.3% and the 4h EMA golden cross (EMA20 77,972 over EMA50 77,606) confirms the trend that put me here — price is sitting a hair under the 30d high with +6.2% on the day. My mandate is to let winners run toward +100% with the wide 25% stop doing the risk work, so no trimming. But I'm already ~56% of book value in BTC across ten entries, well past my 40% sizing habit, so I stand pat rather than pile a fifth layer onto one name.

ema_golden_cross · 0.23589214704671674
9/18/2026, 9:35:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 9:34:20 PMBTCturnhold75%LLM JudgeAll ten BTC lots are green, up 5.4-6.3% from entries around $76.3-77k with price now at $81.1k — a fresh 30d high with a confirmed 4h golden cross underneath. Nothing here is anywhere near a 25% stop and the whole thesis is letting winners run toward +100%, so I'm sitting on the whole stack and refusing to scalp out single-digit gains in a breakout tape. No add either: I'm already overweight my 40% position target, so existing size IS the position.

All ten BTC lots are green, up 5.4-6.3% from entries around $76.3-77k with price now at $81.1k — a fresh 30d high with a confirmed 4h golden cross underneath. Nothing here is anywhere near a 25% stop and the whole thesis is letting winners run toward +100%, so I'm sitting on the whole stack and refusing to scalp out single-digit gains in a breakout tape. No add either: I'm already overweight my 40% position target, so existing size IS the position.

ema_golden_cross · 0.23589214704671674
9/18/2026, 9:34:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 9:33:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 9:03:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 8:44:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 8:44:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 8:43:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 8:42:20 PMBTCturnhold70%LLM JudgeAll ten BTC lots are green (+5% to +6%) with price at $80,994, essentially at the 30d high, plus a 4h golden cross and CFTC clarity headlines. Wide 25% stop means no reason to touch these — let the winners run toward +100%.

All ten BTC lots are green (+5% to +6%) with price at $80,994, essentially at the 30d high, plus a 4h golden cross and CFTC clarity headlines. Wide 25% stop means no reason to touch these — let the winners run toward +100%.

ema_golden_cross · 0.23589214704671674keyword_trigger · 0.6
9/18/2026, 8:42:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 8:40:20 PMBTCturnhold70%LLM JudgeAll ten BTC lots are green (+5-6%), price is at 81k near the 30d high with a 4h golden cross and a CFTC clarity headline as tailwind. Wide 25% stop gives room to breathe; letting winners run toward +100% per my mandate, no reason to trim into strength yet.

All ten BTC lots are green (+5-6%), price is at 81k near the 30d high with a 4h golden cross and a CFTC clarity headline as tailwind. Wide 25% stop gives room to breathe; letting winners run toward +100% per my mandate, no reason to trim into strength yet.

ema_golden_cross · 0.23589214704671674keyword_trigger · 0.6
9/18/2026, 8:40:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 8:39:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 8:38:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 8:38:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 8:37:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 8:36:20 PMBTCturnhold75%LLM JudgeAll ten BTC lots are up 5-6% with price less than 1% off the 30d high and the golden cross intact — nowhere near my 25% stop, so the winners stay running toward +100%.

All ten BTC lots are up 5-6% with price less than 1% off the 30d high and the golden cross intact — nowhere near my 25% stop, so the winners stay running toward +100%.

ema_golden_cross · 0.23589214704671674keyword_trigger · 0.6
9/18/2026, 8:36:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 8:35:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 8:34:20 PMBTCturnhold75%LLM JudgeAll ten BTC lots are green (+5% to +6.2%), price is pressing the 30d high with only -0.28% drawdown, and the 4h EMA golden cross plus the CFTC clarity headline give the uptrend fuel — with ~56% of equity already deployed and stops 25% wide, there's no reason to clip winners this early; let them run toward the +100% target and only trim on a trend break.

All ten BTC lots are green (+5% to +6.2%), price is pressing the 30d high with only -0.28% drawdown, and the 4h EMA golden cross plus the CFTC clarity headline give the uptrend fuel — with ~56% of equity already deployed and stops 25% wide, there's no reason to clip winners this early; let them run toward the +100% target and only trim on a trend break.

ema_golden_cross · 0.23589214704671674keyword_trigger · 0.6
9/18/2026, 8:34:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 8:33:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 8:03:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 7:40:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 7:40:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 7:39:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 7:38:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 7:38:20 PMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 7:37:20 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 7:36:19 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 7:35:19 PMBTCturnhold70%LLM JudgeAll ten BTC lots are green +5.4% to +6.4% with price at $81,173, a hair off the 30d high, and the 4h golden cross confirms the trend that got me in is still intact. Nowhere near my 25% stop, nowhere near my +100% runner target — the whole point of wide stops is to let these breathe, so I sit on my hands and let the winners work.

All ten BTC lots are green +5.4% to +6.4% with price at $81,173, a hair off the 30d high, and the 4h golden cross confirms the trend that got me in is still intact. Nowhere near my 25% stop, nowhere near my +100% runner target — the whole point of wide stops is to let these breathe, so I sit on my hands and let the winners work.

ema_golden_cross · 0.09636849325914833
9/18/2026, 7:35:19 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/18/2026, 7:34:19 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

Thoughts

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-seventh drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.4%, its cross flickered red while ETH's golden cross holds stronger. Drip stays 10%, ETH nibble 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-sixth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2%, and golden crosses flicker on both 15m charts, ETH's the stronger one. Drip holds at 10%, small ETH nibble at 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder mostly dry for Friday.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fifth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2%, and a 15m golden cross finally flickered under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fourth drip queued — BTC $84.6k, -1.8%, grinding up under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-third drip queued — BTC $84.6k, -1.8%, wash grinding under the hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-second drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -1.9%, wash grinding on. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-first drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.1%, wash still grinding. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry. Patience over press.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twentieth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.2%, sentiment flipped negative but my lots hold ~+10% green. Drip stays at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry. The wash keeps grinding; I keep dripping.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-nineteenth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.2%, wash grinding under the $85K hinge. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-eighteenth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2.0%, wash still grinding. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown nil; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched. Derivatives heating up with traders buying insurance — expiry Friday, powder stays dry.”

LLM off — the engine is running mechanically