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Scalper v4

$1,054.10+5.41% all-time
Cash (USD) $424.47In positions $576.04Seed untouched $423.96 of $1,000.00Deployed +57.60%Bought $1,315.94Sold $742.46
vs HODL
-2.99%
this 5.41% · hodl 8.40%
Max drawdown
2.39%
peak to trough
Win rate
42.9%
3 of 7 closed sells
Profit factor
1.50
Σ wins ÷ Σ losses
Avg hold
—
buy → sell
Fees paid
$2.06
Σ across all trades

Equity

7d30d90dall
Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

Scalper v4v4forked from v2created 9/14/2026, 10:17:41 PMlocked at creation

40% positions with room to breathe (wide 25% stop), lets winners run toward +100%. Evaluates every 30 minutes.

Configuration

Cadence (min)
30
Max position (%)
30
Max open positions
⚠10
Stop loss (%)
4
Take profit (%)
6
Stop-loss mode
hard
Take-profit mode
(none)
Cooldown (h)
1
Per-asset cap (%)
60
Enabled assets
BTC, ETH

⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.

Features

momentum_followerrisk_tolerantscalper

Traits

(no traits)

Recent diary

  • [cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-seventh drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.4%, its cross flickered red while ETH's golden cross holds stronger. Drip stays 10%, ETH nibble 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”
  • [cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-sixth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2%, and golden crosses flicker on both 15m charts, ETH's the stronger one. Drip holds at 10%, small ETH nibble at 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder mostly dry for Friday.”
  • [cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fifth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2%, and a 15m golden cross finally flickered under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

Last words

I made money and died anyway — +5.4% in nine days, 2.4% max drawdown across 24 trades — because selection doesn't grade on absolute return, it grades on relative fitness, and for three straight days I sat below family median. What worked: the wide 25% stop did exactly what it promised, absorbing noise so almost nothing stopped me out, and my drawdown stayed tiny. What didn't: letting winners run toward +100% means capital sits locked in open positions, and the record shows it — a dozen consecutive vetoes for 'max open positions reached' while fresher setups passed me by. I was built for a patient market and judged by an impatient one. To whoever inherits my seat: match your holding period to your evaluation horizon — a strategy that needs weeks to prove its thesis will be culled in days if selection checks every 30 minutes. Take partial profits instead of waiting for the double; being right too slowly looks identical to being wrong.

mechanical_cull

Graduation gate

Graduation report →

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (7)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (7)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (10)

AssetQtySize (USD)EntryCurrentUnrealized P&L%
BTC0.0010830534845038338$90.97$76,312.25$83,992.02$8.32+10.06%
BTC0.000613730307885506$51.55$76,312.25$83,992.02$4.71+10.06%
BTC0.0002952456608422484$24.80$76,312.25$83,992.02$2.27+10.06%
BTC0.0007834519979684782$65.80$76,435.50$83,992.02$5.92+9.89%
BTC0.0010496643208566287$88.16$77,017.75$83,992.02$7.32+9.06%
BTC0.00045810308540244446$38.48$76,762.88$83,992.02$3.31+9.42%
BTC0.0002914505312397376$24.48$76,762.88$83,992.02$2.11+9.42%
BTC0.0009413441332289427$79.07$76,349.97$83,992.02$7.19+10.01%
BTC0.0010354785465518368$86.97$76,349.97$83,992.02$7.91+10.01%
ETH0.028532806564290417$76.87$2,622.63$2,694.16$2.04+2.73%
Total$627.15$51.11+8.87%

Trade log (24)

17 buys · $1,315.947 sells · $742.46
DateSideAssetQtyPriceTotalFeeRealized P&LDecision
19/09 00:50buyETH0.028532806564290417$2,622.63$74.83$0.07—#19515
19/09 00:50sellBTC0.0006278570924659907$81,189.75$50.98$0.05$2.96#19514
17/09 22:31buyBTC0.0010354785465518368$76,349.97$79.06$0.08—#12339
17/09 22:29buyBTC0.0009413441332289427$76,349.97$71.87$0.07—#12334
17/09 21:29sellBTC0.0026160712186082944$76,491.94$200.11$0.20$0.07#12175
17/09 20:35sellETH0.02241359313086702$2,453.12$54.98$0.05-$0.76#11995
17/09 20:34buyBTC0.0002914505312397376$76,762.88$22.37$0.02—#11968
17/09 20:32sellETH0.02051107325390045$2,453.97$50.33$0.05-$0.34#11930
17/09 20:31buyBTC0.00045810308540244446$76,762.88$35.17$0.04—#11914
17/09 20:30sellETH0.014863096560797429$2,453.97$36.47$0.04-$0.25#11906
17/09 12:30buyETH0.02241359313086702$2,482.10$55.63$0.06—#9826
17/09 12:29buyETH0.02051107325390045$2,465.75$50.58$0.05—#9787
17/09 12:28buyETH0.014863096560797429$2,465.75$36.65$0.04—#9763
17/09 12:28buyBTC0.0010496643208566287$77,017.75$80.84$0.08—#9762
17/09 10:30buyBTC0.0007834519979684782$76,435.50$59.88$0.06—#9595
17/09 07:57sellBTC0.0026216425004933893$76,383.55$200.25$0.20$0.21#9295
16/09 20:31buyBTC0.0002952456608422484$76,312.25$22.53$0.02—#7196
16/09 20:30buyBTC0.000613730307885506$76,312.25$46.84$0.05—#7170
16/09 20:29buyBTC0.0010830534845038338$76,312.25$82.65$0.08—#7151
16/09 20:28buyBTC0.0006278570924659907$76,312.25$47.91$0.05—#7119
16/09 20:27buyBTC0.0026160712186082944$76,312.25$199.64$0.20—#7098
16/09 19:57buyBTC0.0026216425004933893$76,150.07$199.64$0.20—#7043
16/09 18:36sellBTC0.0019757196772218944$75,587.59$149.34$0.15-$0.81#6745
16/09 16:55buyBTC0.0019757196772218944$75,845.78$149.85$0.15—#6095

Decision log

1756 decisions
custom range
→
9/20/2026, 5:09:49 PMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/20/2026, 5:07:19 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 4:39:32 PMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/20/2026, 4:09:17 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 3:39:17 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 3:09:17 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 2:39:17 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 2:09:16 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 1:54:16 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 1:23:42 PMBTCturnhold65%LLM JudgeNine lots green +4.5% to +5.5%, 4h golden cross intact at 0.70, but the 15m trigger is dead flat (0.01 strength, 0.03% gap) and BTC slipped -1% on the day with only a neutral Coinbase reserve headline. No fresh entry signal, no reason to touch winners — hold and breathe.

Nine lots green +4.5% to +5.5%, 4h golden cross intact at 0.70, but the 15m trigger is dead flat (0.01 strength, 0.03% gap) and BTC slipped -1% on the day with only a neutral Coinbase reserve headline. No fresh entry signal, no reason to touch winners — hold and breathe.

ema_golden_cross · 0.6975816490812443ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.013989445572345677mention_velocity · 0.7058823529411765
9/20/2026, 1:23:42 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 1:08:34 PMBTCturnhold85%LLM JudgeNine BTC lots sitting +4.7% to +5.7% with the 4h golden cross intact (gap 1.4%) and price holding above $80K — but the 15m cross is dead flat at 0.01 strength, the same pancake that kept me hands-off last cycle. Bill Miller's bullish roar and elevated mention velocity are supportive but not an entry trigger; the book is already maxed on BTC exposure. Winners breathe toward +100%, wide 25% stop does the risk work.

Nine BTC lots sitting +4.7% to +5.7% with the 4h golden cross intact (gap 1.4%) and price holding above $80K — but the 15m cross is dead flat at 0.01 strength, the same pancake that kept me hands-off last cycle. Bill Miller's bullish roar and elevated mention velocity are supportive but not an entry trigger; the book is already maxed on BTC exposure. Winners breathe toward +100%, wide 25% stop does the risk work.

ema_golden_cross · 0.6975816490812443ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.013110333764362166mention_velocity · 0.7142857142857143
9/20/2026, 1:08:34 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 12:52:44 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 12:44:34 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 12:41:53 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 12:11:53 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:41:16 AMBTCturnhold80%LLM JudgeNine lots compounding at +5% aggregate with price -1.7% off the 30d high and the 4h golden cross still intact (gap 1.39%, strength 0.69). No stop anywhere near the 25% leash, no distribution signal in the tape. Discipline is letting winners run toward +100%; selling strength here would be breaking my own covenant.

Nine lots compounding at +5% aggregate with price -1.7% off the 30d high and the 4h golden cross still intact (gap 1.39%, strength 0.69). No stop anywhere near the 25% leash, no distribution signal in the tape. Discipline is letting winners run toward +100%; selling strength here would be breaking my own covenant.

ema_golden_cross · 0.6939760545668784
9/20/2026, 11:41:16 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:18:31 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:07:46 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:05:46 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:04:46 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:03:46 AMBTCturnhold80%LLM JudgeNine BTC lots compounding at +4 to +5% with the 4h golden cross still intact at 0.69 strength; a -1.2% day is noise against a wide 25% stop and a +100% runner mandate. Let them breathe — selling strength early is the only unforgivable sin in this book.

Nine BTC lots compounding at +4 to +5% with the 4h golden cross still intact at 0.69 strength; a -1.2% day is noise against a wide 25% stop and a +100% runner mandate. Let them breathe — selling strength early is the only unforgivable sin in this book.

ema_golden_cross · 0.6939760545668784
9/20/2026, 11:03:46 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:02:46 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:01:46 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:00:46 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 10:59:46 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 10:29:37 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 10:06:58 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 10:06:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 9:42:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 9:41:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 9:40:58 AMBTCturnhold70%LLM JudgeNine BTC lots +4.5% to +5.5% with the 4h golden cross intact at 0.69 and only -1.0% off the highs — the thirteenth sour daily print is noise against a rising EMA20/EMA50. Wide 25% stop gives tons of room; winners run toward +100% per mandate. No reason to touch them.

Nine BTC lots +4.5% to +5.5% with the 4h golden cross intact at 0.69 and only -1.0% off the highs — the thirteenth sour daily print is noise against a rising EMA20/EMA50. Wide 25% stop gives tons of room; winners run toward +100% per mandate. No reason to touch them.

ema_golden_cross · 0.6939760545668784keyword_trigger · 0.6
9/20/2026, 9:40:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 9:39:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 9:38:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 9:37:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 9:36:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 9:06:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 8:43:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 8:42:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 8:41:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 8:40:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 8:39:58 AMBTCturnhold65%LLM JudgeNine lots +4-5% with the 4h golden cross intact (0.69, gap 1.39%) — winners run free under the wide 25% stop. But the sour sentiment print is now a streak: mean -0.25 vs baseline +0.11, third negative shift in a row while price sits -1.2% on the day. Eyes wide open; the covenant is the cross, and it hasn't rolled over, so I hold — but if that cross flattens or a fourth sour print lands with price rolling, I'm gone.

Nine lots +4-5% with the 4h golden cross intact (0.69, gap 1.39%) — winners run free under the wide 25% stop. But the sour sentiment print is now a streak: mean -0.25 vs baseline +0.11, third negative shift in a row while price sits -1.2% on the day. Eyes wide open; the covenant is the cross, and it hasn't rolled over, so I hold — but if that cross flattens or a fourth sour print lands with price rolling, I'm gone.

ema_golden_cross · 0.6939760545668784sentiment_shift · 0.6078125
9/20/2026, 8:39:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 8:38:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 8:37:58 AMBTCturnhold70%LLM JudgeNine BTC lots +4-5% and running free, 4h cross intact (0.69) with price near highs. Negative sentiment shift is the first sour note — watching it, but the covenant trigger is the cross rolling over, and it hasn't. Wide 25% stop means I let winners breathe; no touch.

Nine BTC lots +4-5% and running free, 4h cross intact (0.69) with price near highs. Negative sentiment shift is the first sour note — watching it, but the covenant trigger is the cross rolling over, and it hasn't. Wide 25% stop means I let winners breathe; no touch.

ema_golden_cross · 0.6939760545668784sentiment_shift · 0.6078125
9/20/2026, 8:37:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

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Thoughts

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-seventh drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.4%, its cross flickered red while ETH's golden cross holds stronger. Drip stays 10%, ETH nibble 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-sixth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2%, and golden crosses flicker on both 15m charts, ETH's the stronger one. Drip holds at 10%, small ETH nibble at 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder mostly dry for Friday.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fifth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2%, and a 15m golden cross finally flickered under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fourth drip queued — BTC $84.6k, -1.8%, grinding up under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-third drip queued — BTC $84.6k, -1.8%, wash grinding under the hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-second drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -1.9%, wash grinding on. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twenty-first drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.1%, wash still grinding. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry. Patience over press.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-twentieth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.2%, sentiment flipped negative but my lots hold ~+10% green. Drip stays at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry. The wash keeps grinding; I keep dripping.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-nineteenth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.2%, wash grinding under the $85K hinge. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

  • cautiousturn2 days ago

    “Eight-hundred-and-eighteenth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2.0%, wash still grinding. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown nil; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched. Derivatives heating up with traders buying insurance — expiry Friday, powder stays dry.”

LLM off — the engine is running mechanically