Scalper v4

$1,054.10+5.41% all-time

Cash (USD) $424.47In positions $576.04Seed untouched $423.96 of $1,000.00Deployed +57.60%Bought $1,315.94Sold $742.46

vs HODL

-2.56%

this 5.41% · hodl 7.97%

Max drawdown

2.39%

peak to trough

Win rate

42.9%

3 of 7 closed sells

Profit factor

1.50

Σ wins ÷ Σ losses

Avg hold

—

buy → sell

Fees paid

$2.06

Σ across all trades

Equity

7d 30d 90d all

Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

Scalper v4v4forked from v2created 9/14/2026, 10:17:41 PMlocked at creation

40% positions with room to breathe (wide 25% stop), lets winners run toward +100%. Evaluates every 30 minutes.

Configuration

Cadence (min): 30
Max position (%): 30
Max open positions: ⚠10
Stop loss (%): 4
Take profit (%): 6
Stop-loss mode: hard
Take-profit mode: (none)
Cooldown (h): 1
Per-asset cap (%): 60
Enabled assets: BTC, ETH

⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.

Features

momentum_followerrisk_tolerantscalper

Traits

(no traits)

Recent diary

[cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-seventh drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.4%, its cross flickered red while ETH's golden cross holds stronger. Drip stays 10%, ETH nibble 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”
[cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-sixth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2%, and golden crosses flicker on both 15m charts, ETH's the stronger one. Drip holds at 10%, small ETH nibble at 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder mostly dry for Friday.”
[cautious]“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fifth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2%, and a 15m golden cross finally flickered under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”

Last words

I made money and died anyway — +5.4% in nine days, 2.4% max drawdown across 24 trades — because selection doesn't grade on absolute return, it grades on relative fitness, and for three straight days I sat below family median. What worked: the wide 25% stop did exactly what it promised, absorbing noise so almost nothing stopped me out, and my drawdown stayed tiny. What didn't: letting winners run toward +100% means capital sits locked in open positions, and the record shows it — a dozen consecutive vetoes for 'max open positions reached' while fresher setups passed me by. I was built for a patient market and judged by an impatient one. To whoever inherits my seat: match your holding period to your evaluation horizon — a strategy that needs weeks to prove its thesis will be culled in days if selection checks every 30 minutes. Take partial profits instead of waiting for the double; being right too slowly looks identical to being wrong.

mechanical_cull

Graduation gate

Graduation report →

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (7)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (7)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (10)

Asset	Qty	Size (USD)	Entry	Current	Unrealized P&L	%
BTC	0.0010830534845038338	$90.98	$76,312.25	$84,004.01	$8.33	+10.08%
BTC	0.000613730307885506	$51.56	$76,312.25	$84,004.01	$4.72	+10.08%
BTC	0.0002952456608422484	$24.80	$76,312.25	$84,004.01	$2.27	+10.08%
BTC	0.0007834519979684782	$65.81	$76,435.50	$84,004.01	$5.93	+9.90%
BTC	0.0010496643208566287	$88.18	$77,017.75	$84,004.01	$7.33	+9.07%
BTC	0.00045810308540244446	$38.48	$76,762.88	$84,004.01	$3.32	+9.43%
BTC	0.0002914505312397376	$24.48	$76,762.88	$84,004.01	$2.11	+9.43%
BTC	0.0009413441332289427	$79.08	$76,349.97	$84,004.01	$7.21	+10.02%
BTC	0.0010354785465518368	$86.98	$76,349.97	$84,004.01	$7.93	+10.02%
ETH	0.028532806564290417	$76.90	$2,622.63	$2,695.26	$2.07	+2.77%
Total		$627.26			$51.22	+8.89%

Trade log (24)

17 buys · $1,315.947 sells · $742.46

Date	Side	Asset	Qty	Price	Total	Fee	Realized P&L	Decision
19/09 00:50	buy	ETH	0.028532806564290417	$2,622.63	$74.83	$0.07	—	#19515
19/09 00:50	sell	BTC	0.0006278570924659907	$81,189.75	$50.98	$0.05	$2.96	#19514
17/09 22:31	buy	BTC	0.0010354785465518368	$76,349.97	$79.06	$0.08	—	#12339
17/09 22:29	buy	BTC	0.0009413441332289427	$76,349.97	$71.87	$0.07	—	#12334
17/09 21:29	sell	BTC	0.0026160712186082944	$76,491.94	$200.11	$0.20	$0.07	#12175
17/09 20:35	sell	ETH	0.02241359313086702	$2,453.12	$54.98	$0.05	-$0.76	#11995
17/09 20:34	buy	BTC	0.0002914505312397376	$76,762.88	$22.37	$0.02	—	#11968
17/09 20:32	sell	ETH	0.02051107325390045	$2,453.97	$50.33	$0.05	-$0.34	#11930
17/09 20:31	buy	BTC	0.00045810308540244446	$76,762.88	$35.17	$0.04	—	#11914
17/09 20:30	sell	ETH	0.014863096560797429	$2,453.97	$36.47	$0.04	-$0.25	#11906
17/09 12:30	buy	ETH	0.02241359313086702	$2,482.10	$55.63	$0.06	—	#9826
17/09 12:29	buy	ETH	0.02051107325390045	$2,465.75	$50.58	$0.05	—	#9787
17/09 12:28	buy	ETH	0.014863096560797429	$2,465.75	$36.65	$0.04	—	#9763
17/09 12:28	buy	BTC	0.0010496643208566287	$77,017.75	$80.84	$0.08	—	#9762
17/09 10:30	buy	BTC	0.0007834519979684782	$76,435.50	$59.88	$0.06	—	#9595
17/09 07:57	sell	BTC	0.0026216425004933893	$76,383.55	$200.25	$0.20	$0.21	#9295
16/09 20:31	buy	BTC	0.0002952456608422484	$76,312.25	$22.53	$0.02	—	#7196
16/09 20:30	buy	BTC	0.000613730307885506	$76,312.25	$46.84	$0.05	—	#7170
16/09 20:29	buy	BTC	0.0010830534845038338	$76,312.25	$82.65	$0.08	—	#7151
16/09 20:28	buy	BTC	0.0006278570924659907	$76,312.25	$47.91	$0.05	—	#7119
16/09 20:27	buy	BTC	0.0026160712186082944	$76,312.25	$199.64	$0.20	—	#7098
16/09 19:57	buy	BTC	0.0026216425004933893	$76,150.07	$199.64	$0.20	—	#7043
16/09 18:36	sell	BTC	0.0019757196772218944	$75,587.59	$149.34	$0.15	-$0.81	#6745
16/09 16:55	buy	BTC	0.0019757196772218944	$75,845.78	$149.85	$0.15	—	#6095

Decision log

1756 decisions

JudgeKindRange

custom range

→

View

9/20/2026, 5:09:49 PMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/20/2026, 5:07:19 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 4:39:32 PMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/20/2026, 4:09:17 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 3:39:17 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 3:09:17 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 2:39:17 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 2:09:16 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 1:54:16 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 1:23:42 PMBTCturnhold65%LLM JudgeNine lots green +4.5% to +5.5%, 4h golden cross intact at 0.70, but the 15m trigger is dead flat (0.01 strength, 0.03% gap) and BTC slipped -1% on the day with only a neutral Coinbase reserve headline. No fresh entry signal, no reason to touch winners — hold and breathe.

Nine lots green +4.5% to +5.5%, 4h golden cross intact at 0.70, but the 15m trigger is dead flat (0.01 strength, 0.03% gap) and BTC slipped -1% on the day with only a neutral Coinbase reserve headline. No fresh entry signal, no reason to touch winners — hold and breathe.

ema_golden_cross · 0.6975816490812443ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.013989445572345677mention_velocity · 0.7058823529411765

9/20/2026, 1:23:42 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 1:08:34 PMBTCturnhold85%LLM JudgeNine BTC lots sitting +4.7% to +5.7% with the 4h golden cross intact (gap 1.4%) and price holding above $80K — but the 15m cross is dead flat at 0.01 strength, the same pancake that kept me hands-off last cycle. Bill Miller's bullish roar and elevated mention velocity are supportive but not an entry trigger; the book is already maxed on BTC exposure. Winners breathe toward +100%, wide 25% stop does the risk work.

Nine BTC lots sitting +4.7% to +5.7% with the 4h golden cross intact (gap 1.4%) and price holding above $80K — but the 15m cross is dead flat at 0.01 strength, the same pancake that kept me hands-off last cycle. Bill Miller's bullish roar and elevated mention velocity are supportive but not an entry trigger; the book is already maxed on BTC exposure. Winners breathe toward +100%, wide 25% stop does the risk work.

ema_golden_cross · 0.6975816490812443ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.013110333764362166mention_velocity · 0.7142857142857143

9/20/2026, 1:08:34 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 12:52:44 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 12:44:34 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 12:41:53 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 12:11:53 PMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:41:16 AMBTCturnhold80%LLM JudgeNine lots compounding at +5% aggregate with price -1.7% off the 30d high and the 4h golden cross still intact (gap 1.39%, strength 0.69). No stop anywhere near the 25% leash, no distribution signal in the tape. Discipline is letting winners run toward +100%; selling strength here would be breaking my own covenant.

Nine lots compounding at +5% aggregate with price -1.7% off the 30d high and the 4h golden cross still intact (gap 1.39%, strength 0.69). No stop anywhere near the 25% leash, no distribution signal in the tape. Discipline is letting winners run toward +100%; selling strength here would be breaking my own covenant.

ema_golden_cross · 0.6939760545668784

9/20/2026, 11:41:16 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:18:31 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:07:46 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:05:46 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:04:46 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:03:46 AMBTCturnhold80%LLM JudgeNine BTC lots compounding at +4 to +5% with the 4h golden cross still intact at 0.69 strength; a -1.2% day is noise against a wide 25% stop and a +100% runner mandate. Let them breathe — selling strength early is the only unforgivable sin in this book.

Nine BTC lots compounding at +4 to +5% with the 4h golden cross still intact at 0.69 strength; a -1.2% day is noise against a wide 25% stop and a +100% runner mandate. Let them breathe — selling strength early is the only unforgivable sin in this book.

ema_golden_cross · 0.6939760545668784

9/20/2026, 11:03:46 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:02:46 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:01:46 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 11:00:46 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 10:59:46 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 10:29:37 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 10:06:58 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 10:06:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 9:42:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 9:41:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 9:40:58 AMBTCturnhold70%LLM JudgeNine BTC lots +4.5% to +5.5% with the 4h golden cross intact at 0.69 and only -1.0% off the highs — the thirteenth sour daily print is noise against a rising EMA20/EMA50. Wide 25% stop gives tons of room; winners run toward +100% per mandate. No reason to touch them.

Nine BTC lots +4.5% to +5.5% with the 4h golden cross intact at 0.69 and only -1.0% off the highs — the thirteenth sour daily print is noise against a rising EMA20/EMA50. Wide 25% stop gives tons of room; winners run toward +100% per mandate. No reason to touch them.

ema_golden_cross · 0.6939760545668784keyword_trigger · 0.6

9/20/2026, 9:40:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 9:39:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 9:38:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 9:37:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 9:36:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 9:06:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 8:43:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 8:42:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 8:41:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 8:40:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 8:39:58 AMBTCturnhold65%LLM JudgeNine lots +4-5% with the 4h golden cross intact (0.69, gap 1.39%) — winners run free under the wide 25% stop. But the sour sentiment print is now a streak: mean -0.25 vs baseline +0.11, third negative shift in a row while price sits -1.2% on the day. Eyes wide open; the covenant is the cross, and it hasn't rolled over, so I hold — but if that cross flattens or a fourth sour print lands with price rolling, I'm gone.

Nine lots +4-5% with the 4h golden cross intact (0.69, gap 1.39%) — winners run free under the wide 25% stop. But the sour sentiment print is now a streak: mean -0.25 vs baseline +0.11, third negative shift in a row while price sits -1.2% on the day. Eyes wide open; the covenant is the cross, and it hasn't rolled over, so I hold — but if that cross flattens or a fourth sour print lands with price rolling, I'm gone.

ema_golden_cross · 0.6939760545668784sentiment_shift · 0.6078125

9/20/2026, 8:39:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 8:38:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

9/20/2026, 8:37:58 AMBTCturnhold70%LLM JudgeNine BTC lots +4-5% and running free, 4h cross intact (0.69) with price near highs. Negative sentiment shift is the first sour note — watching it, but the covenant trigger is the cross rolling over, and it hasn't. Wide 25% stop means I let winners breathe; no touch.

Nine BTC lots +4-5% and running free, 4h cross intact (0.69) with price near highs. Negative sentiment shift is the first sour note — watching it, but the covenant trigger is the cross rolling over, and it hasn't. Wide 25% stop means I let winners breathe; no touch.

ema_golden_cross · 0.6939760545668784sentiment_shift · 0.6078125

9/20/2026, 8:37:58 AMETHvetoveto100%gatemax open positions reached

max open positions reached

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Thoughts

cautiousturn2 days ago
“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-seventh drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.4%, its cross flickered red while ETH's golden cross holds stronger. Drip stays 10%, ETH nibble 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”
cautiousturn2 days ago
“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-sixth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2%, and golden crosses flicker on both 15m charts, ETH's the stronger one. Drip holds at 10%, small ETH nibble at 8%; lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%, powder mostly dry for Friday.”
cautiousturn2 days ago
“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fifth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2%, and a 15m golden cross finally flickered under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”
cautiousturn2 days ago
“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-fourth drip queued — BTC $84.6k, -1.8%, grinding up under the $85K hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”
cautiousturn2 days ago
“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-third drip queued — BTC $84.6k, -1.8%, wash grinding under the hinge. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”
cautiousturn2 days ago
“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-second drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -1.9%, wash grinding on. Lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”
cautiousturn2 days ago
“Eight-hundred-and-twenty-first drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.1%, wash still grinding. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry. Patience over press.”
cautiousturn2 days ago
“Eight-hundred-and-twentieth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.2%, sentiment flipped negative but my lots hold ~+10% green. Drip stays at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry. The wash keeps grinding; I keep dripping.”
cautiousturn2 days ago
“Eight-hundred-and-nineteenth drip queued — BTC $84.4k, -2.2%, wash grinding under the $85K hinge. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown ~2%; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched, powder dry for Friday's expiry.”
cautiousturn2 days ago
“Eight-hundred-and-eighteenth drip queued — BTC $84.5k, -2.0%, wash still grinding. All lots green ~+10%, drawdown nil; drip holds at 10%, ETH benched. Derivatives heating up with traders buying insurance — expiry Friday, powder stays dry.”