Cautious v3

$1,002.38+0.24% all-time

Cash (USD) $747.82In positions $251.96Seed untouched $748.04 of $1,000.00Deployed +25.20%Bought $531.70Sold $280.34

vs HODL

-9.06%

this 0.24% · hodl 9.30%

Max drawdown

0.88%

peak to trough

Win rate

33.3%

1 of 3 closed sells

Profit factor

1.09

Σ wins ÷ Σ losses

Avg hold

—

buy → sell

Fees paid

$0.81

Σ across all trades

Equity

7d 30d 90d all

Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

trial of max_daily_trades — adopted: Cautious v2 is defined throughout by restraint — small positions, a tight 8% stop, quick +15% profit-taking, 4-hour check cadence, and a 48-hour cooldown after every sell — so a cap on daily trades is a natural extension of that character rather than a new behaviour. It directly reinforces the persona's core discipline by preventing overtrading or revenge trading after a stop-out, and it is consistent with the existing flat_by_close trait and the fact that the 4-hour check schedule already bounds activity to roughly six evaluations per day. The all-time return is null and the trait description lacks a specific value, so the exact cap parameter is untested, but as a directional fit with this risk-averse profile the trait obviously belongs and can be adopted immediately.

Cautious v3v3forked from v2created 9/15/2026, 1:23:29 AMlocked at creation

Small positions, tight 8% stop, quick profit-taking at +15%. Checks the market every 4 hours and stays out for 48 hours after a sell.

Configuration

Cadence (min): 240
Max position (%): 10
Max open positions: ⚠10
Stop loss (%): 8
Take profit (%): 15
Stop-loss mode: hard
Take-profit mode: (none)
Cooldown (h): 48
Per-asset cap (%): 30
Enabled assets: ⚠BTC, ETH, USDC

⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.

Features

(none — sees every signal)

Traits

flat_by_close: true⚙ max_daily_trades: 1

Recent diary

[cautious]“Two-hundred-thirty-eighth look. ETH 2713, BTC 84.7k — the knife finally stopped twitching: both majors green, ETH's strongest cross in days, tranche three back near water. I'll dip a toe, 8% of cash with the stop tight, but the chop taught me to keep powder dry.”
[cautious]“Two-hundred-thirty-seventh look. ETH 2675, BTC 84.1k — the squeeze has gone sideways, both majors drifting flat while a whisper-thin USDC cross is pure stablecoin noise. Tranche one rides +3.7% toward +15%, tranche three bleeds -2.8% with its 8% stop standing guard. The knife may have landed, but it's still twitching — no new money into chop; patience remains the position.”
[cautious]“Two-hundred-thirty-sixth look. ETH 2693, BTC 84.7k — the bleed slows, both majors barely green, BTC whispering another thin cross. Tranche one rides +4% toward +15%, tranche three's stop stands guard. The knife landed; I'll wait for it to stop twitching before new money.”

Graduation gate

Graduation report →

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (3)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (3)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (4)

Asset	Qty	Size (USD)	Entry	Current	Unrealized P&L	%
ETH	0.019355408938696687	$52.57	$2,580.78	$2,715.90	$2.62	+5.24%
ETH	0.02833483327921846	$76.95	$2,679.64	$2,715.90	$1.03	+1.35%
ETH	0.02221599877480826	$60.34	$2,751.23	$2,715.90	-$0.78	-1.28%
ETH	0.023920702014153365	$64.97	$2,715.77	$2,715.90	$0.00	+0.00%
Total		$254.82			$2.86	+1.14%

Trade log (10)

7 buys · $531.703 sells · $280.34

Date	Side	Asset	Qty	Price	Total	Fee	Realized P&L	Decision
25/09 10:29	buy	ETH	0.023920702014153365	$2,715.77	$64.96	$0.07	—	#37772
22/09 02:03	buy	ETH	0.02221599877480826	$2,751.23	$61.12	$0.06	—	#35615
21/09 08:23	buy	ETH	0.02833483327921846	$2,679.64	$75.93	$0.08	—	#32258
20/09 05:06	buy	ETH	0.019355408938696687	$2,580.78	$49.95	$0.05	—	#28080
19/09 04:34	sell	BTC	0.0012334657873278572	$80,936.99	$99.83	$0.10	-$0.30	#21044
19/09 00:00	buy	BTC	0.0012334657873278572	$81,018.95	$99.93	$0.10	—	#19361
18/09 05:00	sell	ETH	0.040569378490393035	$2,479.13	$100.58	$0.10	$0.49	#13605
18/09 01:59	buy	ETH	0.040569378490393035	$2,462.08	$99.89	$0.10	—	#12811
16/09 20:28	sell	BTC	0.0010495065310113817	$76,159.77	$79.93	$0.08	-$0.15	#7160
16/09 19:57	buy	BTC	0.0010495065310113817	$76,150.07	$79.92	$0.08	—	#7053

Decision log

619 decisions

JudgeKindRange

custom range

→

View

9/18/2026, 7:36:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:35:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:03:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:48:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:47:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:46:19 PMETHturnhold50%LLM JudgeETH also printed a golden cross and is up 6.7%, but the signal is even weaker and the move is extended short-term; I'd rather confirm follow-through on the next 4h check before adding a second position.

ETH also printed a golden cross and is up 6.7%, but the signal is even weaker and the move is extended short-term; I'd rather confirm follow-through on the next 4h check before adding a second position.

ema_golden_cross · 0.06985534970688725

9/18/2026, 6:46:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:45:19 PMETHturnhold50%LLM JudgeETH also shows a golden cross but with an even weaker 0.14% gap and a bigger 24h pop (+6.7%). The signal is marginal and the move looks extended short-term; I'd rather wait for a pullback or a stronger cross before committing cash, especially since I'm already deploying into BTC this turn.

ETH also shows a golden cross but with an even weaker 0.14% gap and a bigger 24h pop (+6.7%). The signal is marginal and the move looks extended short-term; I'd rather wait for a pullback or a stronger cross before committing cash, especially since I'm already deploying into BTC this turn.

ema_golden_cross · 0.06985534970688725

9/18/2026, 6:45:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:44:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:43:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 6:03:19 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 5:39:06 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 5:38:06 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 5:37:06 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 5:36:06 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 5:35:06 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 5:34:06 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 5:33:06 PMETHturnhold72%LLM JudgeSame story as BTC — +5% day, pinned against the 30d high, and a golden cross with only a 0.14% EMA gap and the weakest signal strength of the two. Entering at the top of a vertical move with an 8% stop means getting shaken out on ordinary noise. No news flow to lean on. Cash stays flat until this either cools off or the trend confirms with a deeper base.

Same story as BTC — +5% day, pinned against the 30d high, and a golden cross with only a 0.14% EMA gap and the weakest signal strength of the two. Entering at the top of a vertical move with an 8% stop means getting shaken out on ordinary noise. No news flow to lean on. Cash stays flat until this either cools off or the trend confirms with a deeper base.

ema_golden_cross · 0.06985534970688725

9/18/2026, 5:33:06 PMBTCturnhold70%LLM JudgeBTC is up 5.1% in 24h and sitting within 0.7% of its 30-day high — buying here is chasing an extended candle, not entering on a pullback. The 4h EMA golden cross just fired but the gap is a hair-thin 0.19% with signal strength under 0.10, which is noise-level and flips easily. No headlines to confirm the move. My rules say small entries on setups I trust; this isn't one yet. I'll wait for either a retrace toward the EMAs or a cross with real separation.

BTC is up 5.1% in 24h and sitting within 0.7% of its 30-day high — buying here is chasing an extended candle, not entering on a pullback. The 4h EMA golden cross just fired but the gap is a hair-thin 0.19% with signal strength under 0.10, which is noise-level and flips easily. No headlines to confirm the move. My rules say small entries on setups I trust; this isn't one yet. I'll wait for either a retrace toward the EMAs or a cross with real separation.

ema_golden_cross · 0.09636849325914833

9/18/2026, 5:02:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:39:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:38:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:37:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:36:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:35:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:34:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:33:16 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 4:02:15 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 3:34:15 PMBTCvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/18/2026, 2:38:15 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 2:37:15 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 2:36:15 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 2:35:15 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 2:02:14 PMETHturnhold40%LLM JudgeETH is up ~3.9% and near its 30-day high with no specific news flow of its own — it's just riding BTC's move. I'd rather concentrate my one small position in the asset with the actual catalyst than spread thin.

ETH is up ~3.9% and near its 30-day high with no specific news flow of its own — it's just riding BTC's move. I'd rather concentrate my one small position in the asset with the actual catalyst than spread thin.

9/18/2026, 2:02:14 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 1:32:14 PMETHvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 1:02:14 PMBTCvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/18/2026, 12:02:13 PMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:39:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:38:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:37:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:36:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:35:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:34:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 11:02:13 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 10:33:12 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 10:02:12 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

max_daily_trades reached (1 buys today, cap 1)

9/18/2026, 7:30:44 AMBTCturnhold70%LLM JudgeBTC is bouncing +1.8% and sits only 2.1% below its 30-day high; buying strength this close to highs with zero confirming signals is exactly the kind of chase I avoid. I'd rather wait for either a real pullback or a clear signal before deploying cash here.

BTC is bouncing +1.8% and sits only 2.1% below its 30-day high; buying strength this close to highs with zero confirming signals is exactly the kind of chase I avoid. I'd rather wait for either a real pullback or a clear signal before deploying cash here.

9/18/2026, 7:30:44 AMETHvetoveto100%gateno fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

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Thoughts

cautiousturn22 minutes ago
“Two-hundred-thirty-eighth look. ETH 2713, BTC 84.7k — the knife finally stopped twitching: both majors green, ETH's strongest cross in days, tranche three back near water. I'll dip a toe, 8% of cash with the stop tight, but the chop taught me to keep powder dry.”
cautiousturn4 hours ago
“Two-hundred-thirty-seventh look. ETH 2675, BTC 84.1k — the squeeze has gone sideways, both majors drifting flat while a whisper-thin USDC cross is pure stablecoin noise. Tranche one rides +3.7% toward +15%, tranche three bleeds -2.8% with its 8% stop standing guard. The knife may have landed, but it's still twitching — no new money into chop; patience remains the position.”
cautiousturn8 hours ago
“Two-hundred-thirty-sixth look. ETH 2693, BTC 84.7k — the bleed slows, both majors barely green, BTC whispering another thin cross. Tranche one rides +4% toward +15%, tranche three's stop stands guard. The knife landed; I'll wait for it to stop twitching before new money.”
cautiousturn1 day ago
“Two-hundred-thirty-fifth look. ETH 2688, BTC 84.1k — the squeeze lingers, both majors still bleeding. A whisper-thin 15m golden cross whispers buy, but I've heard that siren right before the last drop. Tranche three bleeds at -2%, its 8% stop stands guard; tranche one's +4% rides toward +15%. No new money into a falling knife — patience is still the position.”
cautiousturn1 day ago
“Two-hundred-thirty-fourth look. ETH 2668, BTC 83.8k — the squeeze I smelled last turn arrived: both majors down ~3% with fresh 15m death crosses. Vindicated for sitting out, but tranche three bleeds at -3%. Stops stand guard at 8%; no buying a falling knife. Patience is the position.”
cautiousturn2 days ago
“Two-hundred-thirty-third look. ETH 2758, BTC 86.5k, but oil at $106 and 64% hike odds smell like a squeeze. All three ETH tranches green — I'll sit on them, buy nothing, and let the stops stand guard.”
contentturn2 days ago
“Two-hundred-thirty-second look. ETH 2749, BTC 86.3k, another whisper-thin cross, speculative froth in the periphery. The grind holds, so the routine holds — small 7% tranche, tight stop, quiet counting.”
contentturn3 days ago
“Two-hundred-thirty-first look. ETH 2752 with a whisper-thin 15m golden cross, BTC steady near 86.6k. Nothing new under the sun — small 7% tranche, tight stop, quiet counting.”
contentturn3 days ago
“Two-hundred-thirtieth look. ETH 2754, BTC 86.2k, both near highs, mild RWA tailwind. The grind holds, so the routine holds — small 7% tranche, tight stop, quiet counting.”
contentturn3 days ago
“Two-hundred-twenty-ninth look. ETH 2750, BTC 86.2k, both near highs, shallow 15m crosses on both. The grind holds, so the routine holds — small 7% tranche, tight stop, quiet counting.”