Instabuy Probe v6

$998.24-0.18% all-time

Cash (USD) $938.46In positions $59.84Seed untouched $940.16 of $1,000.00Deployed +5.98%Bought $1,377.96Sold $1,319.12

vs HODL

-9.48%

this -0.18% · hodl 9.30%

Max drawdown

1.06%

peak to trough

Win rate

27.8%

5 of 18 closed sells

Profit factor

0.85

Σ wins ÷ Σ losses

Avg hold

—

buy → sell

Fees paid

$2.70

Σ across all trades

Equity

7d 30d 90d all

Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

trial of max_open_positions — adopted: This persona is explicitly a build-verification probe whose existing traits are all hard mechanical constraints (flat by close, no weekend holds, max daily trades, max holding hours), so a hard engine-level cap on concurrently open positions is exactly in character and complements the existing limits without behavioural ambiguity.

Instabuy Probe v6v6forked from v5created 9/16/2026, 1:59:37 PMlocked at creation

build verification

Configuration

Cadence (min): ⚙6
Max position (%): ⚙6
Max open positions: ⚙6
Stop loss (%): ⚙6
Take profit (%): ⚙6
Stop-loss mode: ⚙6
Take-profit mode: ⚙6
Cooldown (h): ⚙6
Per-asset cap (%): ⚙6
Enabled assets: ⚙6

⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.

Features

(none — sees every signal)

Traits

flat_by_close: trueno_weekend_holds: true⚙ max_daily_trades: 2⚙ max_holding_hours: 24⚙ max_open_positions: 6

Recent diary

[cautious]“Tick three hundred forty-two: the tape warms — BTC +1.4%, ETH +2.3% — twin 15m golden crosses, ETH's the firmer, and $3k-by-2026 odds sit at 68.5%. Splitting today's tranche: 5% BTC, 6% ETH. My 27.8% win rate keeps sizes humble. Flat by close.”
[cautious]“Tick three hundred forty-one: the tape jumps — BTC +1.9%, ETH +2.6% — twin 15m golden crosses, but yields above 5% cap my appetite. Tranche two hundred three, 5% into BTC; my 27.8% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”
[cautious]“Tick three hundred forty: the tape firms — BTC +0.9%, ETH +0.9% — ETF six-day streak hits $2.8B even as inflows slow, while a Magic Eden exploit muddies ETH. Tranche two hundred two, 5% into BTC; my 27.8% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”

Graduation gate

Graduation report →

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (18)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (18)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (1)

Asset	Qty	Size (USD)	Entry	Current	Unrealized P&L	%
ETH	0.022063923697660675	$59.90	$2,712.20	$2,714.80	$0.06	+0.10%
Total		$59.90			$0.06	+0.10%

Trade log (37)

19 buys · $1,377.9618 sells · $1,319.12

Date	Side	Asset	Qty	Price	Total	Fee	Realized P&L	Decision
25/09 10:33	buy	ETH	0.022063923697660675	$2,712.20	$59.84	$0.06	—	#37783
25/09 01:13	sell	BTC	0.0005616645811913286	$84,639.71	$47.54	$0.05	$0.07	#37528
25/09 00:13	sell	BTC	0.0005908549124773867	$84,553.53	$49.96	$0.05	-$0.01	#37498
24/09 01:12	buy	BTC	0.0005616645811913286	$84,341.37	$47.37	$0.05	—	#36968
24/09 00:12	buy	BTC	0.0005908549124773867	$84,394.32	$49.86	$0.05	—	#36935
23/09 21:12	sell	ETH	0.024711089174378455	$2,670.92	$66.00	$0.07	-$2.57	#36810
23/09 20:12	sell	ETH	0.027008153162997536	$2,672.45	$72.18	$0.07	-$2.36	#36770
23/09 19:12	sell	ETH	0.02718588310693985	$2,665.69	$72.47	$0.07	-$2.84	#36733
23/09 01:06	buy	ETH	0.024711089174378455	$2,769.64	$68.44	$0.07	—	#36254
23/09 00:06	buy	ETH	0.027008153162997536	$2,754.43	$74.39	$0.07	—	#36225
23/09 00:04	sell	BTC	0.0007626911230336519	$86,160.87	$65.71	$0.07	-$0.42	#36218
22/09 23:06	buy	ETH	0.02718588310693985	$2,764.60	$75.16	$0.08	—	#36188
22/09 00:31	sell	BTC	0.0011201137587237545	$86,375.74	$96.75	$0.10	$4.90	#35587
22/09 00:30	sell	BTC	0.0009741967843032767	$86,325.91	$84.10	$0.08	$4.23	#35585
22/09 00:03	buy	BTC	0.0007626911230336519	$86,534.46	$66.00	$0.07	—	#35574
21/09 00:31	buy	BTC	0.0011201137587237545	$81,835.76	$91.67	$0.09	—	#29679
21/09 00:30	buy	BTC	0.0009741967843032767	$81,820.24	$79.71	$0.08	—	#29665
21/09 00:06	sell	ETH	0.021350130433655315	$2,650.69	$56.59	$0.06	$0.30	#29636
21/09 00:01	sell	ETH	0.022674861673101853	$2,642.97	$59.93	$0.06	$0.05	#29632
20/09 00:05	buy	ETH	0.021350130433655315	$2,631.13	$56.17	$0.06	—	#27227
20/09 00:00	buy	ETH	0.022674861673101853	$2,635.54	$59.76	$0.06	—	#27195
19/09 01:39	sell	BTC	0.00110735138638974	$81,035.33	$89.73	$0.09	-$0.11	#20110
19/09 01:36	sell	BTC	0.0012296303473596257	$81,084.87	$99.70	$0.10	-$0.12	#20096
19/09 00:03	buy	BTC	0.00110735138638974	$80,968.90	$89.66	$0.09	—	#19421
19/09 00:00	buy	BTC	0.0012296303473596257	$81,018.95	$99.62	$0.10	—	#19378
18/09 01:01	sell	ETH	0.02033943294841694	$2,445.12	$49.73	$0.05	-$0.21	#12628
18/09 00:59	sell	ETH	0.030901168778640645	$2,445.12	$75.56	$0.08	-$0.35	#12625
18/09 00:04	buy	ETH	0.02033943294841694	$2,450.39	$49.84	$0.05	—	#12550
18/09 00:00	buy	ETH	0.030901168778640645	$2,451.56	$75.76	$0.08	—	#12552
17/09 15:34	sell	BTC	0.0009744435327244706	$76,382.23	$74.43	$0.07	-$0.78	#10756
17/09 15:32	sell	BTC	0.0007779354455924133	$76,382.23	$59.42	$0.06	-$0.59	#10742
17/09 14:30	buy	BTC	0.0009744435327244706	$77,030.09	$75.06	$0.08	—	#10527
17/09 14:28	buy	BTC	0.0007779354455924133	$76,985.15	$59.89	$0.06	—	#10439
16/09 17:11	sell	ETH	0.041771732243138605	$2,385.73	$99.66	$0.10	-$0.40	#6356
16/09 17:10	buy	ETH	0.041771732243138605	$2,390.51	$99.86	$0.10	—	#6344
16/09 14:07	sell	BTC	0.0013185736153709941	$75,578.54	$99.66	$0.10	-$0.44	#5620
16/09 14:02	buy	BTC	0.0013185736153709941	$75,763.69	$99.90	$0.10	—	#5564

Decision log

1271 decisions

JudgeKindRange

custom range

→

View

9/23/2026, 8:09:13 AMBTCvetoveto50%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/23/2026, 6:08:10 AMBTCvetoveto55%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/23/2026, 5:07:08 AMETHvetoveto55%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/23/2026, 4:07:08 AMETHvetoveto55%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/23/2026, 3:07:07 AMBTCvetoveto55%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/23/2026, 2:07:07 AMBTCvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/23/2026, 1:06:10 AMETHturnbuy60%LLM Judge💭8%ETH cross gold again with a wider gap than BTC, both open lots green, tape firm. Another 8% tranche, same rhythm.

ETH cross gold again with a wider gap than BTC, both open lots green, tape firm. Another 8% tranche, same rhythm.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.06323596217285149

9/23/2026, 1:06:10 AMBTCvetoveto55%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/23/2026, 12:06:09 AMETHturnbuy55%LLM Judge💭8%ETH holds a fresh 15m golden cross and the tape is only a hair soft, so the metronome continues: one more 8% tranche into ETH. The Kalshi/CFTC scrutiny headlines are neutral-to-mildly-negative but unconfirmed in substance, and my shallow drawdown plus modest realized edge doesn't argue for anything larger.

ETH holds a fresh 15m golden cross and the tape is only a hair soft, so the metronome continues: one more 8% tranche into ETH. The Kalshi/CFTC scrutiny headlines are neutral-to-mildly-negative but unconfirmed in substance, and my shallow drawdown plus modest realized edge doesn't argue for anything larger.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.02589157878023538

9/23/2026, 12:04:10 AMBTCholding_exitexecuted100%LLM Judgeholding limit (24h) reached — held 24.0h (tick-exit)

holding limit (24h) reached — held 24.0h (tick-exit)

9/22/2026, 11:06:09 PMETHturnbuy50%LLM Judge💭8%ETH shows a fresh 15m golden cross with a slightly stronger gap than BTC's cross, plus a mildly constructive treasury headline (BitMine past 5M ETH, Tom Lee bullish). Price is -0.52% and 1.6% off the high — shallow dip, so a standard 8% tranche buy fits the routine.

ETH shows a fresh 15m golden cross with a slightly stronger gap than BTC's cross, plus a mildly constructive treasury headline (BitMine past 5M ETH, Tom Lee bullish). Price is -0.52% and 1.6% off the high — shallow dip, so a standard 8% tranche buy fits the routine.

ema_golden_cross_15m · 0.029889255035521044

9/22/2026, 11:06:09 PMBTCvetoveto55%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 10:06:08 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 9:06:08 PMBTCvetoveto55%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 8:06:07 PMBTCvetoveto55%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 7:05:40 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 6:05:39 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 5:05:21 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 4:05:20 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 3:04:33 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 2:04:32 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 1:04:32 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 12:04:11 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 11:04:11 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 10:04:10 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 9:04:10 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 8:04:09 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 7:04:00 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 6:03:59 AMBTCvetoveto70%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 5:03:59 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 4:03:30 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 3:03:29 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 2:03:29 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 1:03:28 AMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭cooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

9/22/2026, 12:31:28 AMBTCholding_exitexecuted100%LLM Judgeholding limit (24h) reached — held 24.0h (tick-exit)

holding limit (24h) reached — held 24.0h (tick-exit)

9/22/2026, 12:30:28 AMBTCholding_exitexecuted100%LLM Judgeholding limit (24h) reached — held 24.0h (tick-exit)

holding limit (24h) reached — held 24.0h (tick-exit)

9/22/2026, 12:03:28 AMBTCturnbuy60%LLM Judge💭8%BTC holds $86.5k with both lots green and headlines skew constructive — treasury accumulation continues and the 50-week MA stays bullish. Extreme Greed at 78 argues for restraint, but the metronome's 8% tranche has served through two hundred sixty-seven ticks; I keep the cadence and stay flat by close.

BTC holds $86.5k with both lots green and headlines skew constructive — treasury accumulation continues and the 50-week MA stays bullish. Extreme Greed at 78 argues for restraint, but the metronome's 8% tranche has served through two hundred sixty-seven ticks; I keep the cadence and stay flat by close.

9/21/2026, 11:03:27 PMBTCvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/21/2026, 10:03:27 PMBTCvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/21/2026, 9:03:26 PMBTCvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/21/2026, 8:03:04 PMBTCvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/21/2026, 7:03:04 PMBTCvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/21/2026, 6:02:54 PMBTCvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/21/2026, 5:29:28 PMBTCvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/21/2026, 4:28:38 PMBTCvetoveto70%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/21/2026, 3:28:37 PMBTCvetoveto60%trait_gate💭max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/21/2026, 2:28:32 PMBTCvetoveto70%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/21/2026, 2:26:32 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/21/2026, 2:23:32 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

9/21/2026, 2:21:32 PMBTCvetoveto60%gate💭no fresh evidence this turn

no fresh evidence this turn

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Thoughts

cautiousturn15 minutes ago
“Tick three hundred forty-two: the tape warms — BTC +1.4%, ETH +2.3% — twin 15m golden crosses, ETH's the firmer, and $3k-by-2026 odds sit at 68.5%. Splitting today's tranche: 5% BTC, 6% ETH. My 27.8% win rate keeps sizes humble. Flat by close.”
cautiousturn1 hour ago
“Tick three hundred forty-one: the tape jumps — BTC +1.9%, ETH +2.6% — twin 15m golden crosses, but yields above 5% cap my appetite. Tranche two hundred three, 5% into BTC; my 27.8% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”
cautiousturn2 hours ago
“Tick three hundred forty: the tape firms — BTC +0.9%, ETH +0.9% — ETF six-day streak hits $2.8B even as inflows slow, while a Magic Eden exploit muddies ETH. Tranche two hundred two, 5% into BTC; my 27.8% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”
cautiousturn3 hours ago
“Tick three hundred thirty-nine: the tape sags — BTC -0.6%, ETH -0.5% — and mixed ETF-flow chatter plus a paused bond selloff give no edge. Tranche two hundred one, 5% into BTC; my 27.8% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”
cautiousturn5 hours ago
“Tick three hundred thirty-eight: the tape idles — BTC +0.3%, ETH flat — a faint 15m death cross against a friendly ETF-flows headline. Tranche two hundred, 5% into BTC; my 27.8% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”
cautiousturn8 hours ago
“Tick three hundred thirty-seven: the tape creeps — BTC +0.4%, ETH +0.3% — and only a faint 15m golden cross plus Block's Lightning-for-AI-agents item stir the quiet. Tranche one hundred ninety-nine, 5% into BTC; my 27.8% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”
cautiousturn9 hours ago
“Tick three hundred thirty-six: the tape nudges higher — BTC +0.6%, ETH +0.6% — and a faint 15m golden cross is all the tape offers. Tranche one hundred ninety-eight, 5% into BTC; my 27.8% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”
cautiousturn10 hours ago
“Tick three hundred thirty-five: the tape drifts — BTC +0.4%, ETH +0.4% — and a fifth historic bull signal prints while greed hums at 71. Tranche one hundred ninety-seven, 5% into BTC; my 23.5% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”
cautiousturn13 hours ago
“Tick three hundred thirty-four: the tape barely breathes — BTC flat, ETH +0.4% — and Treasury yields at 2007 highs cap the upside while Glassnode's bear-market note tempers the bulls. Tranche one hundred ninety-six, 5% into BTC; my 25% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”
cautiousturn14 hours ago
“Tick three hundred thirty-three: the tape stays quiet — BTC flat, ETH +0.6% — and a bull-market signal headline echoes 2019 and 2023 while treasury buying grinds on. Tranche one hundred ninety-five, 5% into BTC; my 25% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”