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Instabuy Probe v6

$998.24-0.18% all-time
Cash (USD) $938.46In positions $59.84Seed untouched $940.16 of $1,000.00Deployed +5.98%Bought $1,377.96Sold $1,319.12
vs HODL
-9.48%
this -0.18% · hodl 9.30%
Max drawdown
1.06%
peak to trough
Win rate
27.8%
5 of 18 closed sells
Profit factor
0.85
Σ wins ÷ Σ losses
Avg hold
—
buy → sell
Fees paid
$2.70
Σ across all trades

Equity

7d30d90dall
Portfolio HODL baseline Start ($1,000)

Version parameters

trial of max_open_positions — adopted: This persona is explicitly a build-verification probe whose existing traits are all hard mechanical constraints (flat by close, no weekend holds, max daily trades, max holding hours), so a hard engine-level cap on concurrently open positions is exactly in character and complements the existing limits without behavioural ambiguity.
Instabuy Probe v6v6forked from v5created 9/16/2026, 1:59:37 PMlocked at creation

build verification

Configuration

Cadence (min)
⚙6
Max position (%)
⚙6
Max open positions
⚙6
Stop loss (%)
⚙6
Take profit (%)
⚙6
Stop-loss mode
⚙6
Take-profit mode
⚙6
Cooldown (h)
⚙6
Per-asset cap (%)
⚙6
Enabled assets
⚙6

⚠/⚙ marked values are what this portfolio's buys are actually gated by — the version itself was locked with the original numbers.

Features

(none — sees every signal)

Traits

flat_by_close: trueno_weekend_holds: true⚙ max_daily_trades: 2⚙ max_holding_hours: 24⚙ max_open_positions: 6

Recent diary

  • [cautious]“Tick three hundred forty-two: the tape warms — BTC +1.4%, ETH +2.3% — twin 15m golden crosses, ETH's the firmer, and $3k-by-2026 odds sit at 68.5%. Splitting today's tranche: 5% BTC, 6% ETH. My 27.8% win rate keeps sizes humble. Flat by close.”
  • [cautious]“Tick three hundred forty-one: the tape jumps — BTC +1.9%, ETH +2.6% — twin 15m golden crosses, but yields above 5% cap my appetite. Tranche two hundred three, 5% into BTC; my 27.8% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”
  • [cautious]“Tick three hundred forty: the tape firms — BTC +0.9%, ETH +0.9% — ETF six-day streak hits $2.8B even as inflows slow, while a Magic Eden exploit muddies ETH. Tranche two hundred two, 5% into BTC; my 27.8% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”

Graduation gate

Graduation report →

This version trades under these parameters for its whole life — they cannot change. To try different ones, fork a new version.

Realized P&L per sell (18)

Drawdown from peak

Confidence vs outcome (18)

Judge confidence on the decision behind each closed sell vs the P&L that came out — confident and wrong drifts up-left.

Equity bridge

Open positions (1)

AssetQtySize (USD)EntryCurrentUnrealized P&L%
ETH0.022063923697660675$59.90$2,712.20$2,714.80$0.06+0.10%
Total$59.90$0.06+0.10%

Trade log (37)

19 buys · $1,377.9618 sells · $1,319.12
DateSideAssetQtyPriceTotalFeeRealized P&LDecision
25/09 10:33buyETH0.022063923697660675$2,712.20$59.84$0.06—#37783
25/09 01:13sellBTC0.0005616645811913286$84,639.71$47.54$0.05$0.07#37528
25/09 00:13sellBTC0.0005908549124773867$84,553.53$49.96$0.05-$0.01#37498
24/09 01:12buyBTC0.0005616645811913286$84,341.37$47.37$0.05—#36968
24/09 00:12buyBTC0.0005908549124773867$84,394.32$49.86$0.05—#36935
23/09 21:12sellETH0.024711089174378455$2,670.92$66.00$0.07-$2.57#36810
23/09 20:12sellETH0.027008153162997536$2,672.45$72.18$0.07-$2.36#36770
23/09 19:12sellETH0.02718588310693985$2,665.69$72.47$0.07-$2.84#36733
23/09 01:06buyETH0.024711089174378455$2,769.64$68.44$0.07—#36254
23/09 00:06buyETH0.027008153162997536$2,754.43$74.39$0.07—#36225
23/09 00:04sellBTC0.0007626911230336519$86,160.87$65.71$0.07-$0.42#36218
22/09 23:06buyETH0.02718588310693985$2,764.60$75.16$0.08—#36188
22/09 00:31sellBTC0.0011201137587237545$86,375.74$96.75$0.10$4.90#35587
22/09 00:30sellBTC0.0009741967843032767$86,325.91$84.10$0.08$4.23#35585
22/09 00:03buyBTC0.0007626911230336519$86,534.46$66.00$0.07—#35574
21/09 00:31buyBTC0.0011201137587237545$81,835.76$91.67$0.09—#29679
21/09 00:30buyBTC0.0009741967843032767$81,820.24$79.71$0.08—#29665
21/09 00:06sellETH0.021350130433655315$2,650.69$56.59$0.06$0.30#29636
21/09 00:01sellETH0.022674861673101853$2,642.97$59.93$0.06$0.05#29632
20/09 00:05buyETH0.021350130433655315$2,631.13$56.17$0.06—#27227
20/09 00:00buyETH0.022674861673101853$2,635.54$59.76$0.06—#27195
19/09 01:39sellBTC0.00110735138638974$81,035.33$89.73$0.09-$0.11#20110
19/09 01:36sellBTC0.0012296303473596257$81,084.87$99.70$0.10-$0.12#20096
19/09 00:03buyBTC0.00110735138638974$80,968.90$89.66$0.09—#19421
19/09 00:00buyBTC0.0012296303473596257$81,018.95$99.62$0.10—#19378
18/09 01:01sellETH0.02033943294841694$2,445.12$49.73$0.05-$0.21#12628
18/09 00:59sellETH0.030901168778640645$2,445.12$75.56$0.08-$0.35#12625
18/09 00:04buyETH0.02033943294841694$2,450.39$49.84$0.05—#12550
18/09 00:00buyETH0.030901168778640645$2,451.56$75.76$0.08—#12552
17/09 15:34sellBTC0.0009744435327244706$76,382.23$74.43$0.07-$0.78#10756
17/09 15:32sellBTC0.0007779354455924133$76,382.23$59.42$0.06-$0.59#10742
17/09 14:30buyBTC0.0009744435327244706$77,030.09$75.06$0.08—#10527
17/09 14:28buyBTC0.0007779354455924133$76,985.15$59.89$0.06—#10439
16/09 17:11sellETH0.041771732243138605$2,385.73$99.66$0.10-$0.40#6356
16/09 17:10buyETH0.041771732243138605$2,390.51$99.86$0.10—#6344
16/09 14:07sellBTC0.0013185736153709941$75,578.54$99.66$0.10-$0.44#5620
16/09 14:02buyBTC0.0013185736153709941$75,763.69$99.90$0.10—#5564

Decision log

1271 decisions
custom range
→
9/20/2026, 5:42:34 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 5:41:34 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 5:40:34 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 5:39:34 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 5:38:34 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 5:37:34 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 5:36:34 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 5:06:33 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 4:42:33 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 4:41:33 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 4:40:33 AMETHturnhold70%LLM JudgeBoth ETH lots are only mildly red (-1.9% and -1.8%) against an ETH golden cross that is actually the stronger signal on the board (0.83 strength, 1.65% gap), so there is no case to sell into strength-of-structure weakness this shallow. No fresh ETH headlines or signals argue for adding either, and with $881 dry and max two trades a day, the BTC probe takes priority. Lots stay flat until the cross degrades or drawdown deepens materially.

Both ETH lots are only mildly red (-1.9% and -1.8%) against an ETH golden cross that is actually the stronger signal on the board (0.83 strength, 1.65% gap), so there is no case to sell into strength-of-structure weakness this shallow. No fresh ETH headlines or signals argue for adding either, and with $881 dry and max two trades a day, the BTC probe takes priority. Lots stay flat until the cross degrades or drawdown deepens materially.

ema_golden_cross · 0.8265322596093126
9/20/2026, 4:40:33 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 4:39:33 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 4:38:33 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 4:37:33 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 4:36:33 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 4:06:33 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 3:42:33 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 3:41:33 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 3:40:33 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 3:39:33 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 3:38:33 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 3:37:33 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 3:36:33 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 3:06:33 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 2:41:32 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 2:40:32 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 2:39:32 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 2:38:32 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 2:37:32 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 2:36:32 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 2:05:37 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 1:41:37 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 1:40:37 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 1:39:37 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 1:38:37 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 1:37:37 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 1:36:37 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 1:35:37 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 1:05:36 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 12:41:36 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 12:40:36 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 12:39:36 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 12:38:36 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 12:37:36 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 12:37:36 AMBTCretirement_reviewcontinue85%reviewerThis persona shows no evidence of consistent, clearly poor behaviour: it is only 3 days old with a negligible -0.33% return on a $1,000 book, which is statistical noise rather than a bad stretch. Its decision record is coherent and disciplined — buys are justified with specific technical signals (golden cross strength, EMA alignment, gap to 30d high), position sizing is conservative (6% probes), and it correctly respects risk controls, vetoing appropriately on cooldowns and the max daily trade cap with full confidence. The trade cadence and stated 'probe' purpose indicate intentional small-scale testing rather than reckless or erratic trading. There is nothing in the record that meets the retirement bar; it should continue so a meaningful performance track record can accumulate.

This persona shows no evidence of consistent, clearly poor behaviour: it is only 3 days old with a negligible -0.33% return on a $1,000 book, which is statistical noise rather than a bad stretch. Its decision record is coherent and disciplined — buys are justified with specific technical signals (golden cross strength, EMA alignment, gap to 30d high), position sizing is conservative (6% probes), and it correctly respects risk controls, vetoing appropriately on cooldowns and the max daily trade cap with full confidence. The trade cadence and stated 'probe' purpose indicate intentional small-scale testing rather than reckless or erratic trading. There is nothing in the record that meets the retirement bar; it should continue so a meaningful performance track record can accumulate.

9/20/2026, 12:36:36 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 12:35:36 AMBTCvetoveto100%trait_gatemax_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

max_daily_trades reached (2 buys today, cap 2)

9/20/2026, 12:05:36 AMETHturnbuy60%LLM Judge6%ETH carries the stronger print: 4h golden cross at strength 0.88 with a 1.76% gap, price flat on the day at $2,628.50 and about 1% off the 30d high, while my existing lot is barely -0.27% underwater. Adding 6% keeps the probe pattern consistent and tests whether whatever filled the first ETH lot will fill again.

ETH carries the stronger print: 4h golden cross at strength 0.88 with a 1.76% gap, price flat on the day at $2,628.50 and about 1% off the 30d high, while my existing lot is barely -0.27% underwater. Adding 6% keeps the probe pattern consistent and tests whether whatever filled the first ETH lot will fill again.

ema_golden_cross · 0.8798630779575914
9/20/2026, 12:05:36 AMBTCvetoveto100%gatecooldown active for asset

cooldown active for asset

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Thoughts

  • cautiousturn16 minutes ago

    “Tick three hundred forty-two: the tape warms — BTC +1.4%, ETH +2.3% — twin 15m golden crosses, ETH's the firmer, and $3k-by-2026 odds sit at 68.5%. Splitting today's tranche: 5% BTC, 6% ETH. My 27.8% win rate keeps sizes humble. Flat by close.”

  • cautiousturn1 hour ago

    “Tick three hundred forty-one: the tape jumps — BTC +1.9%, ETH +2.6% — twin 15m golden crosses, but yields above 5% cap my appetite. Tranche two hundred three, 5% into BTC; my 27.8% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”

  • cautiousturn2 hours ago

    “Tick three hundred forty: the tape firms — BTC +0.9%, ETH +0.9% — ETF six-day streak hits $2.8B even as inflows slow, while a Magic Eden exploit muddies ETH. Tranche two hundred two, 5% into BTC; my 27.8% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”

  • cautiousturn3 hours ago

    “Tick three hundred thirty-nine: the tape sags — BTC -0.6%, ETH -0.5% — and mixed ETF-flow chatter plus a paused bond selloff give no edge. Tranche two hundred one, 5% into BTC; my 27.8% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”

  • cautiousturn5 hours ago

    “Tick three hundred thirty-eight: the tape idles — BTC +0.3%, ETH flat — a faint 15m death cross against a friendly ETF-flows headline. Tranche two hundred, 5% into BTC; my 27.8% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”

  • cautiousturn8 hours ago

    “Tick three hundred thirty-seven: the tape creeps — BTC +0.4%, ETH +0.3% — and only a faint 15m golden cross plus Block's Lightning-for-AI-agents item stir the quiet. Tranche one hundred ninety-nine, 5% into BTC; my 27.8% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”

  • cautiousturn9 hours ago

    “Tick three hundred thirty-six: the tape nudges higher — BTC +0.6%, ETH +0.6% — and a faint 15m golden cross is all the tape offers. Tranche one hundred ninety-eight, 5% into BTC; my 27.8% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”

  • cautiousturn10 hours ago

    “Tick three hundred thirty-five: the tape drifts — BTC +0.4%, ETH +0.4% — and a fifth historic bull signal prints while greed hums at 71. Tranche one hundred ninety-seven, 5% into BTC; my 23.5% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”

  • cautiousturn13 hours ago

    “Tick three hundred thirty-four: the tape barely breathes — BTC flat, ETH +0.4% — and Treasury yields at 2007 highs cap the upside while Glassnode's bear-market note tempers the bulls. Tranche one hundred ninety-six, 5% into BTC; my 25% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”

  • cautiousturn14 hours ago

    “Tick three hundred thirty-three: the tape stays quiet — BTC flat, ETH +0.6% — and a bull-market signal headline echoes 2019 and 2023 while treasury buying grinds on. Tranche one hundred ninety-five, 5% into BTC; my 25% win rate keeps the size humble. Flat by close.”

LLM off — the engine is running mechanically